PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 24, 6:52 PM CDT967
FXUS63 KPAH 242352
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
652 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Fire danger will be heightened Tuesday across the southeast MO
Ozarks due to dry and breezy conditions.
- Severe weather potential enters the forecast with
thunderstorms next weekend.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 652 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
Updated aviation section for 00z TAF issuance.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 115 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
High pressure slides east tonight as low pressure lifts a warm
front across the area. Associated with its lift will be a chance
of showers, but instability and overall moisture being marginal
should limit any thunder that might accompany it.
After that surface high pressure again takes hold for a dry
middle week. Nwly flow aloft keeps seasonal temps mostly in the
60s thru this period. Heights build and temps warm late in the
week into next weekend. That's when our next best chance of rain
comes, which will include a chance of thunderstorms. This system
is already in the outlook with potential for strong-severe
storms but it's far enough out for now to remain in monitor
mode. As with most such systems, it looks now like the shear
will be there, it's just a matter of instability and moisture
return in the right spots at the right times for our svr wx
chances.
After the warmup into the 70s to end the week/extend over the
weekend, the aforementioned system's passage should return dry
weather and seasonally cooler temps in the 60s to begin the new
week.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 652 PM CDT Mon Mar 24 2025
Mid level clouds at BKN060-100 expected through the overnight
hours. Some light rain showers are possible near KMVN from
03z-08z, and at KEVV/KOWB from 08z-14z with minimal to no vsby
restrictions with showers. BKN mid clouds will become SCT
between 14z-21z. Winds overnight will be light and variable to
S-SE at 5-10kts, becoming NW around 10kts after 13z.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...RST
Source:
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Mar 24, 6:52 PM CDT---------------
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