The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Mar 15, 20:04z for portions of IWX282
WUUS01 KWNS 152006
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0304 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2025
VALID TIME 152000Z - 161200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 28349246 28469238 31819119 33808998 35578942 37198831
38468741 41138572 42768421 42878311 39808251 38538136
37288044 34468068 33318102 31958168 28708378
0.05 28399234 31789107 33308997 34878869 36258822 37548727
37968649 38118490 37638366 36548284 35678177 33898186
32788219 31098311 29018447
0.10 28419224 31019115 31689085 33948891 34978824 35978754
36318631 35898496 35408375 34898306 33828293 32108328
30478419 29188520
0.15 30008810 29828960 30089018 30349068 30669091 31049079
32518967 33368872 34838774 34798577 34498470 33358446
32198451 31438483 30498543 30118681 30008810
0.30 32338648 31208833 30858972 31019021 31279025 32358928
32898880 34588739 34468675 33838574 33078578 32338648
SIGN 29238916 29139041 29269080 29419120 29719171 30839123
31739081 32269045 34058882 34878829 35988752 36318628
35888493 35368371 34878305 33798294 32068330 30438422
29618494 29928677 29238916
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 28939222 31819118 32569164 34709110 36139014 37308909
39488770 41368568 41548500 41318423 40798393 39648423
37888376 36958296 36058222 35008196 34048209 33048244
31348303 29478418
0.15 28899216 31789107 32559052 33718966 34858855 36248821
37148759 37128671 36418612 35958534 35268409 34338344
32738351 31278391 29898464 29198519
0.30 35008797 34998672 34138626 32648678 31358725 30468921
30219045 30289131 31639087 32319038 33898892 35008797
SIGN 31699093 32389044 33258965 34038901 35038792 35088678
34998597 34728529 34108530 32848554 31898520 30928462
30428473 29738523 29968605 30118776 29558973 29499169
29969176 31699093
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 28889222 31829118 34129087 34909069 35899029 36988937
37288909 38958819 40718718 42358608 43198518 44088394
44098147 42787956 41517890 38757963 35538011 33968065
31808177 28648380
0.15 28829212 31069133 31809105 33628959 34898868 36238825
38908622 38778469 37858274 37028178 35798118 34798136
33388182 31258303 29008447
0.30 33458275 32208310 30528419 29578530 30308666 30239064
30729127 31709085 32499023 33818898 34888829 36278778
36628704 36588481 35818339 34918304 33458275
0.45 34488468 34388507 34638751 34748780 35778712 36118628
35918499 35368449 34488468
SIGN 36578648 36598483 35788337 34808351 32228371 31128423
30538462 29688533 30228628 31288637 31938750 31748850
31309004 31339086 31819089 32469043 33628932 34318882
35468816 36088747 36578648
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
HIGH 32898879 33448837 34588739 34468673 33838574 33078578
32338648 31218831 30868973 31009022 31289024 32898879
MDT 32538964 33388871 35788712 36098627 35898498 35378450
34508468 33358446 32198451 31438483 30498543 30118681
29828959 30079013 30349067 30649091 31049078 32538964
ENH 28399224 31689086 32259045 33898891 34878831 36258780
36598709 36618612 36598481 35818339 34918304 33458275
32208310 30478419 29188520
SLGT 28439232 31799106 33788961 34878869 36258823 38908622
38778469 37858274 37028178 35798118 34798136 33388182
31098311 29478417
MRGL 43017990 42787956 41517890 38757963 35538011 33968065
31958168 28888365 99999999 28449239 31809119 32559164
34689109 36159011 37268912 39028814 40718718 42358608
43198518 44088394 44098166
TSTM 45027696 39687867 36327989 33427999 30518160 27958338
99999999 28449246 31759124 32539181 34679152 36699117
37959023 40388840 46228297 99999999 49881471 47041110
46121014 42870839 40970645 39660530 38760481 38000478
37080562 36700699 37230836 38721042 40471218 42201323
43571425 44851517 45791598 46491754 46562108 46332314
46412511
&&
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N
MEI 15 SSE CBM 15 SE MSL 15 SSE HSV 20 NNE ANB 35 S ANB MGM 35 N MOB
35 N ASD 20 SE MCB 15 ENE MCB 40 N MEI.
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW
MEI 25 SW CBM 35 SW BNA 25 E BNA CSV 40 SW TYS 30 ENE RMG 20 S ATL
35 SE CSG 35 ENE DHN 25 NE PFN 35 SE PNS 35 NNW BVE 10 ENE MSY 35 NW
MSY 45 SW MCB 20 WSW MCB 55 WNW MEI.
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 S
7R4 25 E HEZ 65 NE HEZ 25 SSW TUP 40 WNW MSL 35 SW CKV 20 E CKV 30
SE BWG 45 NNE CSV 35 W HSS 35 NNW AND 45 W AGS 45 W VDI 10 ENE TLH
40 SSW AAF.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 S
7R4 20 NE HEZ 35 NE GWO 40 N TUP 50 SW HOP 30 SE BMG 25 SSW LUK 35
SSW HTS 35 WSW BLF 10 ENE HKY 35 ESE SPA 10 E AGS 25 NNE VLD 55 ESE
AAF.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 W
BUF 45 WSW BUF 25 N DUJ 15 SE EKN 40 SSW GSO 25 E CAE 30 WSW SAV 60
SSW CTY ...CONT... 95 S 7R4 15 NNE HEZ 25 E MLU 60 NE PBF 35 NE JBR
25 NW PAH 30 SSE MTO 25 NNW LAF 25 NE BEH 25 NE GRR 35 SW OSC 70 ENE
BAX.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NNW ART 40 WNW MRB
15 N GSO 35 N CHS JAX 45 W PIE ...CONT... 95 SSW 7R4 10 NNE HEZ 15 E
MLU 40 E LIT 40 W POF 15 NE FAM 25 NNW CMI 70 ESE ANJ ...CONT... 110
N GPI 35 SSE GTF 25 SW 3HT 15 SSE RIW 45 WSW LAR 25 WSW DEN COS 25
SW PUB 30 SSE ALS 45 N 4SL 15 ESE CEZ 25 SW U28 25 SSW SLC 35 SE BYI
SUN 45 E MYL 30 SW P69 25 WNW LWS 25 W YKM 35 ENE AST 60 WNW AST.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Mar 15, 20:04z for portions of IWX---------------
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