The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Mar 16, 0:47z for portions of ILN470
WUUS01 KWNS 160049
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0747 PM CDT SAT MAR 15 2025
VALID TIME 160100Z - 161200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 28729131 33658835 35908786 37248743 37908685 39008573
40358434 40968332 40418218 38538136 37288044 34468068
33318102 31958168 28708378
0.05 28559110 33598807 35918759 37808586 38118490 37638366
36548284 35678177 33898186 32788219 31098311 29018447
0.10 28509081 30518946 31908847 33598707 35278557 35828489
35408375 34898306 33448275 32218310 30478419 29188520
0.15 30008810 29918894 30158923 31758822 33108684 34128601
34628540 34498470 33358446 32198451 31438483 30498543
30118681 30008810
SIGN 29238916 29139041 29988982 31898847 33278733 35228564
35848491 35368371 34878305 33798294 32068330 30438422
29618494 29928677 29238916
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 28539112 33608806 35928759 36778671 37078568 37418394
36958296 36058222 35008196 34048209 33048244 31348303
29478418
0.15 28399089 31758858 33178741 35178566 35578519 35268409
34338344 32738351 31278391 29898464 29198519
SIGN 30148921 31728825 32338761 32658697 32358593 31898520
30928462 30428473 29738523 29968605 29908890 30148921
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 28749130 33678836 35918787 37248741 39118571 40738383
43018137 42787956 41517890 38757963 35538011 33968065
31808177 28648380
0.15 28479116 31908912 33608806 35948760 37848575 38448429
37858274 37028178 35798118 34798136 33388182 31258303
29008447
0.30 28449085 30518945 31858850 33418720 35308554 36298428
35818339 34918304 33458275 32208310 30518415 28758551
SIGN 35288558 36288427 35788337 34808351 32228371 31128423
30538462 29688533 30108674 31068717 31708736 32278719
33818671 35288558
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MDT 31758822 33058689 34158599 34638538 34508468 33358446
32198451 31438483 30498543 30118681 29898893 30158924
31758822
ENH 28499082 31758858 33788689 35268557 36308428 35818339
34918304 33458275 32208310 30478419 29188520
SLGT 28569110 33608806 35938759 37858586 38428437 37858274
37028178 35798118 34798136 33388182 31098311 29478417
MRGL 43017990 42787956 41517890 38757963 35538011 33968065
31958168 28888365 99999999 28729131 33678837 35948786
37258743 39068572 40258440 43068132
TSTM 45027696 39687867 36327989 33427999 30518160 27958338
99999999 28849150 31868990 32439109 32559327 33679382
34669311 35639151 36919042 37959023 40388840 46228297
&&
THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE
MEI 35 SSW BHM 15 NNE GAD 20 NNW RMG 30 ENE RMG 20 S ATL 35 SE CSG
35 ENE DHN 25 NE PFN 35 SE PNS 35 SSE GPT 20 SSW GPT 50 SE MEI.
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 S
HUM 40 SSE MEI 15 NNW BHM 25 NW CHA 35 NNW TYS 35 W HSS 35 NNW AND
45 W AGS 45 W VDI 10 ENE TLH 40 SSW AAF.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SSW
HUM 20 E CBM 50 SSW CKV 25 SSW SDF 30 NNE LEX 35 SSW HTS 35 WSW BLF
10 ENE HKY 35 ESE SPA 10 E AGS 25 NNE VLD 55 ESE AAF.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 W
BUF 45 WSW BUF 25 N DUJ 15 SE EKN 40 SSW GSO 25 E CAE 30 WSW SAV 60
SSW CTY ...CONT... 70 SSW HUM CBM 55 SSW CKV 35 SSW OWB 50 E BMG 25
NNW DAY 85 ENE MTC.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NNW ART 40 WNW MRB
15 N GSO 35 N CHS JAX 45 W PIE ...CONT... 70 SW HUM 45 NW PIB 55 E
MLU 35 ENE SHV 20 NE TXK 15 N HOT 10 SE BVX 10 NNE POF 15 NE FAM 25
NNW CMI 70 ESE ANJ.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Mar 16, 0:47z for portions of ILN---------------
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