The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 5, 5:44z for portions of IWX121
WUUS01 KWNS 050545
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1244 AM CDT WED JUN 05 2024
VALID TIME 051200Z - 061200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 41418168 41768067 41687889 41557855 40347952 38748184
38558337 38798444 39448532 39758574 40268593 40618584
40668547 41138390 41418168
0.02 37887832 38787872 39527814 39697730 39557676 39187594
38597588 38007678 37687747 37657780 37887832
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 43027947 41938003 41188131 40728279 41138455 41208471
41708514 41988519 42698455 43998321 44548207 44718129
0.05 29550181 30340193 30690160 30630019 30689919 30739800
31389655 31849484 31949361 31979259 32279147 32379063
32238976 31628952 30908961 30199056 29719220 29439305
28649498 28279676 26759881 26649975
0.05 47979717 48379605 48279403 47699214 46759035 45918915
45148854 44498872 44008958 44109105 44359260 44689409
45519534 46179606 46909678 47979717
0.05 42896939 42797092 43417193 44627114 45347034 45606848
45026755 44026716
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 44157790 41557855 40347951 39608064 38758182 38558338
38798442 39748574 40258594 40788581 41978521 43368392
44008318 44318261 44848132
0.05 29550183 30340193 30700160 30640013 30679919 31219797
31959712 32339673 32739592 32999477 33459400 33949342
33759228 33239121 32238977 31598951 30918962 30209054
29779208 28669496 28279675 28239678 27229812 26759880
26639976
0.05 47989716 48369605 48279402 47689216 46779037 45968920
45148854 44508873 44008958 44119106 44379268 44669404
45539533 46239614 46929680 47989716
0.05 39527813 39707729 39537670 39197596 38597588 38007679
37687746 37657779 37877830 38807870 39527813
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 29550184 30340193 30690162 30630011 30679920 31209799
31829728 32329671 32729595 32989479 33449402 33959340
33759228 33239120 32238976 31598951 30918962 30209054
29779208 28669496 28279675 26759880 26639974
MRGL 44097791 41557855 40347951 38758182 38558338 38798442
39748574 40258594 40788581 41978521 43368392 44008318
44558202
MRGL 43998961 44109095 44369261 44669404 45509530 46239613
46899678 47989718 48379604 48269403 47699214 46759036
45928916 45148855 44508872 43998961
MRGL 42906938 42797093 43407195 44637114 45357035 45606849
45036754 44026715
MRGL 39507815 39697727 39537671 39197596 38597588 37997680
37707745 37657779 37867830 38817870 39507815
TSTM 30980653 32180636 34190643 35370650 36550629 37310556
37490478 37580444 37290365 36930331 36190314 35730332
34800380 34140407 33840412 32330349 31300282 30920160
30780030 31539886 32099841 32919777 33349713 33799583
33939494 34229401 34949299 35639219 36969145 38729047
39719006 40798961 41488930 42208948 42599013 42919164
43619359 44359568 46029773 47959908 50149949
&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE
6R6 25 NE 6R6 55 NE 6R6 20 WNW JCT 35 ENE JCT 35 W TPL 15 NNW ACT 25
NW CRS 40 NW TYR 40 N GGG TXK 40 SSW HOT 30 WNW LLQ 20 SW GLH 60 NNW
PIB 15 NW PIB 40 NNE ASD 20 NW MSY 7R4 45 SE LBX 40 SSE VCT 55 NW
MFE 65 SSW LRD.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 N
ROC 20 SSE BFD LBE 30 NNW CRW 45 WNW HTS 20 S LUK 30 E IND 30 W MIE
35 WSW FWA 25 SE AZO 15 SE MBS 20 NNW BAX 70 E OSC.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E
VOK 20 NE LSE 30 N RST 30 N MKT 25 S AXN 45 NW AXN FAR GFK 20 NNE
TVF 35 SW INL 20 SW ELO 20 NW IWD 25 NE RHI 50 NNW GRB 30 W GRB 35 E
VOK.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE
PWM 20 SSW PSM 25 SE LEB BML 65 NE BML 50 SW HUL 25 WNW EPM 65 S
EPM.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW
MRB 25 E HGR 25 N BWI 25 W DOV 25 NW SBY 30 SW NHK 15 NNW RIC 30 WNW
RIC 20 SSE CHO 40 NNE SHD 10 NW MRB.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 S ELP 25 N ELP 30
ENE ONM 25 NNE ABQ 50 NE 4SL 20 ESE ALS 30 WNW TAD 20 NNW TAD 40 E
TAD 35 NNW CAO 20 S CAO 40 NNE TCC 30 SSW TCC 45 WSW CVS 45 NNE ROW
30 SSW HOB 25 NNE FST 70 NNE 6R6 35 WNW JCT 20 SSE BWD 15 WSW SEP 20
ENE MWL 35 SW GYI 25 WNW PRX 30 WSW DEQ 25 ENE DEQ 20 SSE RUE 30 WSW
BVX 30 ENE UNO STL 20 WSW SPI 10 NNE PIA 35 WNW MMO 20 W RFD 35 ENE
DBQ 45 ENE ALO 35 NNW MCW 35 WSW RWF 50 NE ABR 15 SSW DVL 140 N DVL.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 5, 5:44z for portions of IWX---------------
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