MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jan 25, 12:17 PM CST ...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...069
FXUS64 KMOB 251817
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1217 PM CST Sat Jan 25 2025
...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1217 PM CST Sat Jan 25 2025
VFR conditions expected next 24 hrs. An increase in clouds
is expected going through tonight from west to east but these are
expected to be at high levels. Thus no cig impacts to approaches
and departures. Vsby ok. Winds light. /10
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Sunday Night)
Issued at 1217 PM CST Sat Jan 25 2025
Did make a downward adjustment to dewpoints/ which lowers
humidity levels for today to come more in line with current
observations. 25.12Z upper air maps indicate the deep south is
under a predominantly zonal (west to east) flow aloft. At the
surface, a strong (1030mb) ridge of high pressure was positioned
over the southeast while a quasi-stationary front was draped over
the southern Plains. An attendant wave of frontal low pressure
along the boundary was positioned over western OK. Well southeast
of the front, satellite imagery indicates clouds beginning to
expand northward over southeast TX. There are indications that
moisture, caught up in the westerlies aloft, will be heading on an
eastward trajectory bringing an increase in mainly high based
clouds to the area beginning late tonight and into Sunday. As
southern plains front slips southeast to the Lower MS Valley later
in the day Sunday and into Sunday night, forecasters begin to see
the probability of showers re-entering the forecast. Some small
timing differences rain start late in the day primarily over the
northwest zones noted between the physicals and short range
ensembles. Sunday night looks to be best chance of showers, with
higher (60%+) PoPs aligned up along and north of US Highway 84
and 20-40% chances the further south.
With the high off to the east and an evolving light onshore flow off
the Gulf, overnight lows are favored to trend more modified than
what we have seen over the past several nights. Numbers range
lower to mid 30s interior to mid 40s closer to the coast. Could
see some patchy to widespread frost development late in the night
with the better potential of this over the interior. Highs Sunday
warm mostly into the lower to mid 60s. Sunday night, a chilly
rain, but nothing impactful as lows mostly well into the 40s. /10
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 39 65 49 66 46 67 50 71 / 0 0 40 40 10 0 0 30
Pensacola 45 62 50 65 48 65 53 69 / 0 0 20 30 10 0 0 20
Destin 46 62 52 64 50 65 55 69 / 0 0 10 20 10 0 0 20
Evergreen 33 64 44 61 41 66 47 72 / 0 0 50 60 10 0 0 30
Waynesboro 34 61 46 59 40 64 47 70 / 0 20 70 60 0 0 0 40
Camden 33 62 44 56 39 62 45 69 / 0 10 70 80 10 0 0 40
Crestview 33 63 44 64 43 67 49 72 / 0 0 20 30 10 0 0 20
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
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www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jan 25, 12:17 PM CST ...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...---------------
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