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930 FXUS64 KMOB 142144AFDMOBArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Mobile AL343 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2024...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE....NEAR TERM...(Now through Sunday night)Issued at 343 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2024A warm and mostly dry weekend will continue through the near termas a west to southwest upper flow pattern remains in place. An upper low over the plains will left northeast into the Great Lakesregion through Sunday. An associated sfc front will moves into the southeast, but likely stall well northwest of the local area. This will keep the best lift well north of the area, leaving much of the area dry with only a few light showers possible. Above normal temps will continue with lows tonight in the low to mid 50sinland to upper 50s along the coast. Highs on Sunday will be in the upper 60s and low 70s. /13&&.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)Issued at 343 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2024An upper trough over the central and northern Plains moves off across the northeastern states through Tuesday. An associated surface cold front approaches the region from the northwest, butstalls before reaching the forecast area due to stubborn surface ridging over the southeast states. Dry conditions prevail Mondaythrough Tuesday night. Another upper trough digs southward overthe Great Plains late Tuesday and progresses across the eastern states midweek into Thursday. We anticipate this system to bring a stronger cold front through the forecast area Wednesdayafternoon and evening. Have continued with chance pops for Wednesday and Wednesday night, then dry conditions develop Thursday morning as a dome of cold and dry high pressure builds into the region in the wake of the front. At this point, sufficient instability looks to develop on Wednesday to support thunderstorm development before the frontal passage, but the potential for severe storm development appears to be low. Highs ahead of the front will be in the 70s and lows will be in the 50s,then temperatures trend much cooler in the wake of the front withlows Thursday night mostly in the 30s and highs on Thursday and Friday in the mid 50s to mid 60s. /22&&.MARINE...Issued at 343 PM CST Sat Dec 14 2024A moderate to occasionally strong easterly flow will slowly decrease tonight. A light to moderate easterly to southeasterly flow will persists through early this week. A stronger cold front moves across the marine area late in the week with a strong northwest flow expected. /13&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...Mobile 56 72 55 72 53 75 56 75 / 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 30 Pensacola 59 70 58 71 56 74 60 74 / 10 10 0 0 0 0 10 30 Destin 59 72 58 72 59 75 62 74 / 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 30 Evergreen 51 70 50 73 51 77 54 75 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 Waynesboro 52 72 53 74 53 75 54 74 / 10 10 0 0 10 10 10 40 Camden 52 69 50 72 50 74 54 73 / 10 10 0 0 10 10 10 40 Crestview 53 73 51 75 51 79 55 77 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 30 &&.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CST this evening for ALZ265-266.FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CST this evening for FLZ202-204- 206.MS...None.GM...None.&&$$This product is also available on the web at:www.weather.gov/mob
