MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 12, 10:57 PM CST ...New AVIATION...265
FXUS64 KMOB 130457
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1057 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
...New AVIATION...
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1055 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
VFR conditions expected through the forecast with increasing high
clouds Friday into Friday night. General northeast to easterly
winds expected through the forecast. 5 to 10 knots will decrease
to less than 5 knots overnight. Winds will then rise to around 10
knots during the day Friday and remain so into Friday night.
/16
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 509 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024/
..New AVIATION...
AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 505 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
VFR conditions expected through the forecast. General northeast to
easterly winds expected through the forecast. 5 to 10 knots will
decrease to less than 5 knots overnight. Winds will then rise to
around 10 knots during the day Thursday.
/16
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 349 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024/
.New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...
NEAR TERM...
(Now through Friday Night)
Issued at 349 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
Surface high pressure will move east of the area tonight into
Friday. This will allow sfc winds to turn easterly on friday with
moisture levels slowly increasing. One more cold night tonight
with clear skies and light winds, lows will fall into the low 30s
inland to low 40s along the coast. Increasing clouds expected on
Friday with warmer temps. Highs on Friday will be in the upper 50s
and low 60s. Lows Friday night will range from the upper 30s and
low 40s inland to low 50s along the coast. /13
LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 349 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
An upper trough pushes across the region to begin the period
Saturday bringing with it the opportunity for isolated to
scattered showers. Best chances for rain will likely stay closer
to and north of the Highway 84 corridor where better forcing for
ascent will exist. The associated cold front with this system will
remain well northwest of the forecast area, so we will stay in a
warm advection regime through at least the early to middle part
of next week. Another upper trough glances the forecast area to
the north early in the week, and may help bring some increased
rain chances over interior portions of the forecast area Monday
into Tuesday. Temperatures will remain in the lower to perhaps
even middle 70's for highs through at least Monday while overnight
lows remain in the lower to middle 50's through Monday night.
Models suggest a more amplified upper trough will push across the
central and eastern CONUS by midweek, bringing a more defined cold
front towards the forecast area to end the extended period.
There's a decent spread in the guidance on timing of this, which
will determine when better rain chances could exist during the
Wednesday into Thursday timeframe. Temperatures will likely remain
in the upper 60's to lower 70's through Wednesday, with somewhat
cooler temperatures by Thursday depending on how quickly the cold
front comes through the area. Overnight lows to end the period
will fall into the lower to middle 40's over the interior
Wednesday night with upper 40's nearer the coast. A High risk of
rip currents will be in place Saturday, becoming a Moderate risk
by Sunday, and a Low risk by Monday. MM/25
MARINE...
Issued at 349 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024
A light to moderate easterly flow develops Friday, strengthens
Friday night, then slowly diminishes Saturday night. Easterly to
southeasterly flow persists through early next week. /13
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
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www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 12, 10:57 PM CST ...New AVIATION...---------------
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