Author Topic: [Alert]MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Feb 5, 9:47 PM CST ...New Mesoscale Update...  (Read 491 times)

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MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Feb 5, 9:47 PM CST ...New Mesoscale Update...

548 
FXUS64 KMOB 060347
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
947 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2025

...New Mesoscale Update...

.NEAR TERM...
(Tonight) Issued at 934 PM CST Wed Feb 5 2025

Weak onshore flow continues to support the development of mainly
low stratus across mainly coastal Alabama into southeast
Mississippi this evening. Latest VAD profile from KMOB radar as
of 0323z continues to show 2-3kft winds between 15 and 20 kts
which is near the top of the low level moisture layer. This
suggests that there will be enough mixing of the boundary layer to
keep mainly low stratus in place with only patchy fog expected.

Further east, skies remain mostly clear with light low level winds
which is allowing for the development of dense fog in several
locations east of I-65. This will continue to be the case through
the night, although even here mixing near the top of the moisture
layer could support eventual low stratus development as well. So
expecting a mix of low stratus and dense fog in these areas.

There remains some uncertainty with respect to potential dense fog
development west of I-65, but considering the light near surface
winds and nearly saturated low level airmass, will continue the
dense fog advisory areawide through Thursday morning.

Temperatures will remain mild overnight with lows mainly in the
upper 50s and lower 60s with continued humid conditions. The
current forecast remains on track so not planning any forecast
updates at this time. Near record high temperatures in the mid 70s
to near 80 degrees are once again expected on Thursday afternoon
as fog and low stratus quickly mix out and give way to partly
cloudy skies after noon. /JLH

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      60  75  60  76  60  76  60  78 /  10  20  10  10  10   0   0  10
Pensacola   62  73  63  74  63  74  63  75 /  10  10  10  10  10  10   0   0
Destin      62  73  63  73  64  74  64  74 /  10  10  10  10  10  10   0   0
Evergreen   57  79  59  79  58  81  60  80 /  10  20  10  10  10   0   0  10
Waynesboro  59  79  60  80  59  80  60  78 /  10  20   0  10  10   0   0  10
Camden      58  76  60  78  58  79  60  77 /  10  20  10  20  10  10  10  20
Crestview   58  79  58  79  59  79  60  81 /  10  10  10  10  10   0   0  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Thursday for ALZ051>060-
     261>266.

FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Thursday for FLZ201>206.

MS...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Thursday for MSZ067-075-076-
     078-079.

GM...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Thursday for GMZ630>636-650-
     655.

&&

$$

This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob

Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Feb 5, 9:47 PM CST ...New Mesoscale Update...

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