91
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 3, 5:13 AM CST331
FXUS63 KPAH 031113
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
513 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Widespread showers and thunderstorms will move through the
area this afternoon through late tonight. A few strong to
severe storms are possible west of the Mississippi River.
- Dry but mild conditions are expected Wednesday and Thursday.
- A cool down back to typical late fall temperatures is forecast
Friday and into early next week, along with continued dry
conditions.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 513 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
Updated Aviation discussion for the 12z TAF issuance.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1253 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
As of early Tuesday morning, a neutral H5 trough exists across
the southern Plains with surface low pressure organizing over
the western Great Lakes. Expect the trough to become positively-
tilted as it progresses eastward, with the surface low moving
NW. Strong WAA will bring very mild temperatures (highs in the
middle to upper 70s) and elevated dew point temperatures (lower
to middle 60s) to the region this afternoon. Additionally,
gradient winds will gust to 25-35 mph at times from the south
today. With plentiful cloud cover, it will be difficult for
higher gusts to mix down, but isolated gusts up to 40 mph cannot
be ruled out.
SPC has areas near and west of the Mississippi River under a
MRGL risk for its Day 1 outlook. Convection will develop ahead
of the surface cold front across the Ozarks this morning and
afternoon and gradually march to the east. Storm-relative flow
will be more SW to NE, so the overall progression of the
precipitation will be pretty slow.
Looking the the latest CAMs, it does appear that there will be
some very meager SBCAPE over the MRGL risk area this afternoon,
but will quickly dissipate by tonight east of the Mississippi
River. The best shear will actually develop during the evening
hours after the SBCAPE has dissipated. Cannot rule out a few
strong wind gusts mixing down (or even a brief/weak QLCS spin-up
tornado), but overall the ingredients for significant severe do
not appear to line up. Given the SSW- NNE trajectory of the
convective elements within the complex of showers, locally
heavy rain from training thunderstorms will also be possible.
Some locations could receive a quick 0.75-1.5" of rain under the
heaviest activity.
Following the passages of the main complex of showers and
thunderstorms late tonight into early Wednesday morning, a few
wraparound showers from the surface low over the Great Lakes may
impact the EVV Tri-State, followed by a return of dry conditions
with clearing skies. Despite the frontal passage, the parent
surface low will weaken with zonal mid-level flow returning.
This means that temperatures will remain mild (above-normal by
5-10 degrees) Wednesday into Thursday. A couple dry cold fronts
will pass through the region Friday and again Sunday, bringing a
cool down back to near-normal temperatures for the end of this
week into early next week. Temperatures may get cold enough to
allow for another frost or potentially a freeze, which would
bring what's left of the growing season to an end.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 513 AM CST Tue Nov 3 2026
Mid-level cloud cover will increase ahead of a complex of
showers with embedded thunder that will pass through the area
late this afternoon into tonight. Kept things simple for now,
with periods of SHRA with VCTS activity and MVFR cigs.
Additional modifications are likely as convection timing comes
into better focus. Gradient winds will be gusty from the S,
sustained at 10-15 kts with gusts up to around 25 kts.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DWS
AVIATION...DWS
Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 3, 5:13 AM CST--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
92
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Nov 3, 16:26z for portions of LMK932
WUUS01 KWNS 031628
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1026 AM CST TUE NOV 03 2026
VALID TIME 031630Z - 041200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 34489385 35949335 37459319 38759337 39539382 40359422
41389392 42259330 42639232 42679120 42459063 41919009
40528920 38428775 37538704 36178684 35148720 34408766
33658823 32548955 31069103 30219211 29879279 29759400
29979465 30299513 30679541 31439558 32249544 34489385
&&
... HAIL ...
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 31609092 30939153 30269208 29879279 29769401 30059489
30679541 31359553 32299541 32839506 34389396 36209333
38949284 39769299 40519170 40119011 39008828 37978737
36958638 36148622 35348631 34478681 33698816 33018929
31609092
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 32249544 34389396 36309331 37459319 38759337 40359422
41389392 42259330 42639232 42679120 42459063 41919009
38428775 36958638 36148622 35348631 34478681 33648824
32548955 31069103 30219211 29879279 29759400 30059489
30679541 31439558 32249544
TSTM 25249711 26869852 28039899 28509893 29619793 30949644
32469545 34299445 36369343 37859329 38249353 38379388
38409436 38209476 38309560 38679622 39289643 41099581
43329466 44779316 45839137 45618898 44158705 43378674
41618783 40768774 40108716 40008578 38918382 38028297
37308298 36028408 34438445 33218477 32278512 31528496
30758448 29908281 29688162 29838038 99999999 29668772
31558792 32248836 32298857 32188883 30939017 29899078
28589132 99999999 39932463 39592350 38962153 38322080
37622111 37172228 37132335
&&
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
10 SSW TYR 35 NE DEQ 10 WNW HRO 20 NNE SGF 10 ENE SZL 25 SW LWD 15
SW DSM 55 NNE DSM 0 - ALO 30 NW DBQ 0 - DBQ 40 NNE MLI 30 NNW
EVV 0 - BWG 25 E BNA 55 NNE HSV 15 S HSV 10 E CBM 35 ENE JAN 35 N
BTR 10 W LFT 30 SE LCH 15 S BPT 35 NE HOU 0 - UTS 50 N UTS 10 SSW
TYR
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE BRO 50 NNW
MFE 30 SSE COT 20 E COT 10 SE BAZ 25 N CLL 10 NNW TYR 15 N DEQ 15
WNW HRO 45 N SGF 35 S SZL 30 SW SZL 35 SSE OJC 45 S OJC 30 E EMP
25 N EMP 15 NE MHK 15 SSE OMA 25 SSW FRM 10 SSE MSP 55 SSW ASX 25
E RHI 30 E MTW 30 WNW MKG 45 WNW VPZ 40 N DNV 25 SSW LAF 25 SW MIE
35 ESE LUK 35 SW HTS 25 SE JKL 15 NNW TYS 40 E RMG 25 NE LGC 20
SSW CSG 30 ENE DHN 25 NNW TLH 25 NE CTY 25 SW SGJ 60 NE DAB
...CONT... 65 SSW PNS 55 W GZH 25 ESE MEI 10 ESE MEI 10 SSW MEI 25
SE MCB 25 NNW HUM 80 SSW HUM ...CONT... 65 SSW EKA 35 NNW UKI 30 N
SAC 35 NE SCK 20 SSE SCK 25 SW SJC 65 WSW SFO
Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Nov 3, 16:26z for portions of LMK--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
93
JKL issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 2, 9:55 AM EST909
FXUS63 KJKL 021455
AFDJKL
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
955 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A passing disturbance will bring continued chances for showers
this morning.
- A more significant system brings a higher potential for
widespread rain and higher rainfall totals during the middle of
the week.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 954 AM EST MON NOV 2 2026
Models are really struggling with the light precipitation across
the area with this event. Based on radar trends, the NBM was
scrapped in favor of the HREF for the PoP forecast, which seems
to be somewhat representative of what is happening currently. Also
sent out an update for hourly temperatures, using the latest
observations as the starting point.
UPDATE Issued at 715 AM EST MON NOV 2 2026
A few adjustments to hourly pops were made based on radar trends
with the areas of light rain/showers mainly to increase pops over
the next couple of hours in the southeast. Adjustments were also
made to hourly temperatures and dewpoints based on recent
observation trends.
&&
.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 445 AM EST MON NOV 2 2026
Early this morning, a shortwave trough was moving across the Great
Lakes to Lower OH Valley to Appalachians. An area of ridging
meanwhile extended from sections of the Pacific across portions of
Mexico and the Arklatex region to the Lower MS Valley. Further
west, an upper trough extended from near the Alberta and
Saskatchewan border into sections of the Rockies to the Four
Corners region to the Southwest Conus. Further west an upper ridge
extended into portions of the western Conus with an upper trough
upstream over the Pacific. Locally, the passing shortwave trough
has some moisture to work with, with PW on the order of 1 to 1.2
inches or around the 85th to 93rd percentile. However, low level
winds between high pressure centered near the Mid Atlantic coast
and a low pressure system in the Plains is resulting in downslope
southeasterly flow below 850 mb particularly over southeastern
portions of the area and reinforcing drier air in the low levels.
An area of showers continues to progress from west to east and
into eastern KY this morning with other lighter/more isolated
shower activity across the remainder of the area. Overnight
temperatures were on the mild side for early November, in the
upper 40s to mid 50s.
Today, the shortwave trough will continue to move to the east
this morning bringing continued chances for showers, though as
this wave moves to the east of eastern KY, shower chances wane
through the morning. The upper level ridging currently extending
into parts of the MS Valley will build into southeastern portions
of the Conus later today and tonight while the upper trough
progresses into the Plains/Central Conus. The associated sfc low
should track from the Plains to near western Lake Superior by late
tonight, with the trailing frontal zone crossing portions of the
Southern Plains/Texas. For Tuesday, the upper ridge briefly
builds across parts of the southeast into the mid Atlantic states
while an upper low evolves over the Central Conus with the mean
500 mb trough. The sfc frontal zone should near the MS Valley by
late Tuesday evening.
A decrease in cloud cover from south to north is anticipated
behind the departing shortwave by this evening and tonight,
though models do have some mid level moisture remaining into
tonight so some mid level clouds should linger. This should
support enough clearing or breaks in the low and mid level clouds
for a small to moderate magnitude ridge/valley split for the east
and southeast. Some valley fog is also possible following the
ongoing precipitation event. Ahead of the next system and as the
upper ridge builds to the east on Tuesday and warm advection,
highs should return to the 10 to 15 degree above normal range.
.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 535 AM EST MON NOV 2 2026
From Tuesday night through Wednesday, the upper level ridge axis
shifts to the Gulf to the Southeast U.S. Coast. Meanwhile the
upper trough axis remains west of eastern KY through Wednesday as
the upper level low within it evolves over portions of the MS
Valley. A lead shortwave trough rotating around it should reach
the lower OH Valley tonight and gradually move across the
Commonwealth through Wednesday evening/night. At the same time the
upper level low tracks toward the Great Lakes. The associated sfc
frontal zone should progress across the Commonwealth. Deep
southerly flow with this system will transport deep moisture into
eastern KY, with mean PW per the 00Z LREF remaining generally in
the 90th percentile or higher on Wednesday with the PW peaking
between the 95th and 99th percentile range during the afternoon
and evening. This system will have better forcing than the weekend
system as well and showers will be widespread and rainfall totals
greater. The current forecast storm total ranges from around 0.75
in the rain-shadowed areas downstream of the Pine/Black Mtn
vicinity to the 1 to 1.5 inch range for locations further west.
00Z LREF mean rainfall totals were in the 0.50 to 0.8 inch range
though higher end amounts for the 24 hour period ending at 7 AM
EST on Thursday though higher end amounts (95th percentile) were
in the 1 to 1.75 inch range per the 00Z LREF. WPC has maintained
a marginal risk of excessive rain during that period, though our
recent dry trend is a mitigating factor.
In addition to the showers and potential for some thunder, winds
aloft will increase as the system approaches and gusts in the
higher terrain near the VA border are likely to exceed NBM
deterministic values. Wind gusts in the highest terrain were
adjusted upward for Tuesday night to early Wednesday.
Chances for showers will decrease behind the midweek system, but
linger perhaps as late as Thursday night or early Friday. There
remains some uncertainty with the overall pattern to end the week,
but a generally drier period is currently anticipated from later
Friday through Saturday night with temperatures trending colder
under broad troughing over the central to eastern Conus. Some
frost or near freezing temperatures could also occur Friday night
and/or Saturday night. Another upper low may approach the mid MS
Valley/Lower OH Valley vicinity near or after the end of the
period and result in a return of unsettled weather.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
ISSUED AT 725 AM EST MON NOV 2 2026
Mainly VFR or MVFR conditions were observed in eastern KY at
issuance time, with passing areas of showers/light rain. Mainly
VFR, with some MVFR reductions at times will linger during the
first 3 to 6 hours of the period as the light rain/showers
diminish from south to north between 12Z and 18Z. PROB30 groups
were used for a few hours initially for KIOB, KSYM, KJKL, and
KSJS where some sub VFR reductions are most probable in showers.
Once the showers diminish, low and especially mid level clouds
will linger for much of the rest of the period with VFR prevailing.
Some non TAF site valley locations could experience reductions
due to fog late in the period, but at this time, the TAF sites
are not expected to be affected.
&&
.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...CMC
SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...JP
Source: JKL issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 2, 9:55 AM EST--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
94
DAYTON OH Oct 31 Climate Report: High: 63 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"501
CDUS41 KILN 312052
CLIDAY
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
452 PM EDT SAT OCT 31 2026
...................................
...THE DAYTON OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR OCTOBER 31 2026...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD: 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD: 1869 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 63 2:59 PM 80 1900 60 3 54
1950
MINIMUM 48 3:58 AM 20 1908 41 7 39
AVERAGE 56 50 6 47
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.00 1.33 1941 0.10 -0.10 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 1.39 2.95 -1.56 4.82
SINCE SEP 1 5.57 6.26 -0.69 6.50
SINCE JAN 1 42.68 35.21 7.47 37.07
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 0.4 1993 0.0 0.0 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.2 -0.2 0.0
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 9 15 -6 18
MONTH TO DATE 185 300 -115 292
SINCE SEP 1 229 358 -129 310
SINCE JUL 1 229 361 -132 330
COOLING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 33 23 10 29
SINCE SEP 1 248 162 86 165
SINCE JAN 1 1165 1152 13 1184
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 16 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION E (100)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 21 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION E (110)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 9.8
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.9
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 77
LOWEST 38
AVERAGE 58
..........................................................
THE DAYTON OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 59 79 1950
2016
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 40 20 1906
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
OCTOBER 31 2026.......SUNRISE 8:05 AM EDT SUNSET 6:36 PM EDT
NOVEMBER 1 2026......SUNRISE 7:06 AM EST SUNSET 5:34 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: DAYTON OH Oct 31 Climate Report: High: 63 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
95
Ford 'happy as punch' about U.S. midterm results Ontario Premier Doug Ford said he was happy to hear about the Democrats’ victory in Tuesday's U.S. midterm elections, adding he hopes it leads to better trade relations for Canada and the province. Source: Ford 'happy as punch' about U.S. midterm results----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
96
BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST957
FXUS61 KBOX 021733
AFDBOX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
1233 PM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes to the forecast since the last update.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry and anomalous warmth continues into mid-week. Daily high
in the upper 60s to low 70s, with isolated readings into the
mid-70s flirting with daily records.
- Pattern becomes more unsettled late-week into the weekend
featuring periodic chances for rain.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Dry and unseasonably mild into mid-week with highs
mainly in the upper 60s to the lower 70s. Some spots may reach into
the middle 70s for a day or two and challenge record highs.
Little change in the synoptic pattern as a stout upper ridge remains
parked overhead through midweek. With ongoing antecedent dry
conditions, leaned on the warmer envelope of guidance instead of the
MOS/NBM output which continues to run a bit too cool for afternoon
highs. Highs will generally peak in the upper 60s to low 70s (cooler
along the immediate south coast, Cape, and Islands). With 925mb
temps warming to +11C to +15C, peak heating towards mid-week likely
push locations in interior SNE to the mid 70s, likely putting
several daily high records in jeopardy. Only real fly in the
ointment will be scattered high clouds periodically filtering the
full sun through mid-week. High confidence persists in an
unseasonably mild, dry regime through Wednesday.
KEY MESSAGE 2...Pattern becomes more unsettled late-week into the
weekend featuring periodic chances for rain.
Ensemble guidance shows a consensus in a shift of the pattern late
Thursday into Friday as a mid-level trough arrives from the west.
This will advect in a plume of rich moisture 2-3 standard deviations
above normal. This will be accompanied by a frontal system that
pushes across the Ohio River Valley and into the Mid-Atlantic and
Northeast. This will likely bring us our next best shot at
precipitation. Details such as timing, rain amounts/rates are still
lower confidence due to uncertainty in the tracking of the surface
features/best forcing. If the frontal features track closer, this
could put southern New England in better forced environment and
potentially with marginal instability present. This could favor a
few rumbles of thunders or heavier downpours. Timing of this is low
confidence due to the track uncertainties, but the general timeframe
is late Thu through Sat. Lighter/spotty showers may linger at
late as Sunday. However, it likely won't be rain for the entire
timeframe.
Ensemble guidance highlights probabilities of 30-60% for rain totals
of 0.50" or more and low probabilities (10-30%) for 1.0" or greater.
Deterministic solutions have leaned toward the upper percentile
solutions of their ensemble suite showing potential for amounts 1.0
to upward of 2.0" inches. Once guidance comes into better agreement,
confidence will increase in the exact timing of rainfall and totals.
Above normal temperatures are likely Thursday with the mid-level
thermal ridge shifting over southern New England with 925mb
temperatures +13-15C. This will support high temperatures in the
upper 60s to low/mid 70s! Temperatures likely lean seasonably warm
for Friday as well. Depending on how the system tracks, we may get
one more day of milder temperatures Saturday with more
seasonable temperatures arriving by Sunday.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
18z TAF Update...High confidence.
VFR conditions will continue through the middle of the week
with some mid-high level cloudiness at times. Winds will
generally average from the SW at 5 to 15 knots during the
afternoon.
KBOS Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
KBDL Terminal...High confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Wednesday Night through Friday/...
Tuesday Night through Wednesday Night: VFR.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Breezy. Slight
chance RA.
Thursday Night through Friday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR
possible. RA likely.
&&
.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
Today through Wednesday...High confidence.
An upper level ridge of high pressure will keep winds/seas below
small craft advisory thresholds through the middle of the week.
Nonetheless...we may have some SW wind gusts of 20+ knots at times
particularly nearshore during the afternoons. This may result in
some choppy seas at times...but thinking we should remain below the
need for headlines. Greatest chance of 20+ knot winds is this
afternoon across the SE waters.
Outlook /Wednesday Night through Friday/...
Tuesday Night through Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt.
Thursday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching
5 ft. Chance of rain, slight chance of thunderstorms.
Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas up to 5 ft. Rain likely,
slight chance of thunderstorms.
&&
.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Frank/FT
AVIATION...BW
MARINE...Frank/FT
Source: BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
97
Weather Prediction Center issues Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion #1544 concerning HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE558
AWUS01 KWNH 012004
FFGMPD
MSZ000-LAZ000-ARZ000-020200-
Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 1544
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
303 PM EST Sun Nov 01 2026
Areas affected...portions of lower MS Valley
Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible
Valid 012000Z - 020200Z
SUMMARY...Isolated flash flooding may occur through 02Z across
portions of the lower MS Valley. Thunderstorms, a few slow moving,
are likely to form with potential for isolated hourly rainfall
totals over 2 inches.
DISCUSSION...1940Z visible satellite imagery showed a cyclonic
swirl over southwestern LA with confluent/convergent axes noted
over southern portions of the state between I-10 and the coast as
well as in the vicinity of a surface trough extending northward
near the MS River. A second cyclonic swirl was noted near the
junction of AR/MS/LA. Precipitable water values remained high over
the region at 1.7 to 2.0 inches, but OSPO ALPW imagery showed that
this moisture was focused in the lower levels with a significant
layer of dry air sampled in the mid to upper levels.
SPC mesoanalysis data from 19Z showed 500 to 1500+ J/kg MLCAPE
over LA into southern MS with little to no inhibition and
radar/visible satellite imagery was already showing the expanding
development of showers/thunderstorms near the confluent/convergent
axes noted above. 0-6 km winds were less than 10 kt from the
southern AR/MS border into much of LA with the 850-300 mb layer a
bit higher, up to 20 kt. This could promote some slow movement of
cells with hourly rainfall of 1-2 inches, and isolated values of
2+ inches. However, given the different environment with respect
to the kinematic flow and drier air aloft, a repeat of the
isolated extreme rainfall observed on Halloween is not expected to
occur. However, overlap of locally heavy rain with urban areas or
locations that were impacted with heavy rainfall over the past 24
hours could see localized flash flooding through 02Z.
Otto
...Please see www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LCH...LIX...SHV...
ATTN...RFC...ORN...NWC...
LAT...LON 33419106 33139070 32649060 31859077 30919058
30409021 29818956 29508976 29299008 29159088
29449159 29569258 29859299 30219314 30719312
31359285 32799210 33329166
Source: Weather Prediction Center issues Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion #1544 concerning HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
98
MOB continues Rip Currents Statement for Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Coastal [AL] and Escambia Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, Santa Rosa Coastal [FL] till Nov 4, 6:00 PM CST771
WHUS44 KMOB 021121
CFWMOB
Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Mobile AL
521 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
ALZ265-266-FLZ202-204-206-022200-
/O.CON.KMOB.RP.S.0030.000000T0000Z-261105T0000Z/
Mobile Coastal-Baldwin Coastal-Escambia Coastal-
Santa Rosa Coastal-Okaloosa Coastal-
521 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...
* WHAT...Dangerous rip currents.
* WHERE...In Alabama, Mobile Coastal and Baldwin Coastal
Counties. In Florida, Escambia Coastal, Santa Rosa Coastal and
Okaloosa Coastal Counties.
* WHEN...Through Wednesday afternoon.
* IMPACTS...Rip currents can sweep even the best swimmers away
from shore into deeper water.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Swim near a lifeguard. If caught in a rip current, relax and
float. Don't swim against the current. If able, swim in a
direction following the shoreline. If unable to escape, face the
shore and call or wave for help.
&&
$$
Source: MOB continues Rip Currents Statement for Baldwin Coastal, Mobile Coastal [AL] and Escambia Coastal, Okaloosa Coastal, Santa Rosa Coastal [FL] till Nov 4, 6:00 PM CST--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
99
PITTSBURGH PA Nov 2 Climate Report: High: 72 Low: 52 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"697
CDUS41 KPBZ 022127
CLIPIT
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
427 PM EST MON NOV 02 2026
...................................
...THE PITTSBURGH PA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 2 2026...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1871 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 72 209 PM 80 2016 56 16 58
MINIMUM 52 724 AM 25 1879 38 14 35
1905
AVERAGE 62 47 15 47
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.00 1.72 1999 0.09 -0.09 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.00 0.19 -0.19 0.00
SINCE SEP 1 8.39 6.32 2.07 5.38
SINCE JAN 1 42.01 34.10 7.91 30.82
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 2.5 1951 0.1 -0.1 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.5 -0.5 T
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.5 -0.5 T
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 3 18 -15 18
MONTH TO DATE 10 35 -25 34
SINCE SEP 1 332 491 -159 397
SINCE JUL 1 335 501 -166 421
COOLING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0
SINCE SEP 1 177 96 81 111
SINCE JAN 1 995 797 198 1061
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 15 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (200)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 21 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION S (160)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 4.4
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.8
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 69 400 AM
LOWEST 34 200 PM
AVERAGE 52
..........................................................
THE PITTSBURGH PA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 56 82 1961
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 38 22 1951
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
NOVEMBER 2 2026......SUNRISE 652 AM EST SUNSET 516 PM EST
NOVEMBER 3 2026......SUNRISE 653 AM EST SUNSET 515 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: PITTSBURGH PA Nov 2 Climate Report: High: 72 Low: 52 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
100
AKRON CANTON OH Nov 2 Climate Report: High: 66 Low: 53 Precip: 0.01" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"030
CDUS41 KCLE 022216
CLICAK
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH
516 PM EST MON NOV 02 2026
...................................
...THE AKRON CANTON OH CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 2 2026...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0515 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1887 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 66 1155 AM 77 2016 56 10 53
MINIMUM 53 723 AM 22 1905 38 15 34
1911
AVERAGE 60 47 13 44
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.01 0.11 -0.10 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.01 0.22 -0.21 T
SINCE SEP 1 6.02 7.06 -1.04 6.56
SINCE JAN 1 33.50 35.82 -2.32 31.19
SNOWFALL (IN)
TODAY 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 0.4 -0.4 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 0.4 -0.4 0.0
SNOW DEPTH 0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
TODAY 5 18 -13 21
MONTH TO DATE 11 35 -24 39
SINCE SEP 1 339 483 -144 423
SINCE JUL 1 346 492 -146 461
COOLING
TODAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0
SINCE SEP 1 151 109 42 95
SINCE JAN 1 843 869 -26 855
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 17 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION S (180)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 24 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION S (190)
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.9
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
LIGHT RAIN
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 83 700 AM
LOWEST 47 1200 PM
AVERAGE 65
..........................................................
THE AKRON CANTON OH CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 56 80 1961
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 38 18 1951
1991
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
NOVEMBER 2 2026......SUNRISE 658 AM EST SUNSET 520 PM EST
NOVEMBER 3 2026......SUNRISE 659 AM EST SUNSET 519 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: AKRON CANTON OH Nov 2 Climate Report: High: 66 Low: 53 Precip: 0.01" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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