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91
EVANSVILLE IN Dec 11 Climate Report: High: 37 Low: 31 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

633 
CDUS43 KPAH 112227
CLIEVV

CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
427 PM CST THU DEC 11 2025

...................................

...THE EVANSVILLE IN CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR DECEMBER 11 2025...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0425 PM LOCAL TIME.

CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1896 TO 2025


WEATHER ITEM   OBSERVED TIME   RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST     
                VALUE   (LST)  VALUE       VALUE  FROM      YEAR     
                                                  NORMAL           
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)                                                         
 TODAY                                                               
  MAXIMUM         37    341 PM  73    1931  47    -10       42       
  MINIMUM         31    838 AM  -2    1962  30      1       25       
  AVERAGE         34                        38     -4       34     

PRECIPITATION (IN)                                                   
  TODAY            0.00          1.60 2000   0.12  -0.12      T       
  MONTH TO DATE    0.11                      1.41  -1.30     0.55     
  SINCE DEC 1      0.11                      1.41  -1.30     0.55     
  SINCE JAN 1     54.90                     45.54   9.36    43.62     

SNOWFALL (IN)                                                             
  TODAY            0.0                                        T       
  MONTH TO DATE    0.8                                       1.2     
  SINCE JUL 1      1.1                                       3.2     
  SNOW DEPTH       0                                                 

...................................................................


WIND (MPH)                                                           
  HIGHEST WIND SPEED    10   HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION     W (270)       
  HIGHEST GUST SPEED    17   HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION     W (260)       


RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
 HIGHEST    72                                                       
 LOWEST     54                                                       

..........................................................


THE EVANSVILLE IN CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
                         NORMAL    RECORD    YEAR                     
 MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   46        72      2015                     
 MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F)   30        -7      1962                     


SUNRISE AND SUNSET                                                   
DECEMBER 11 2025......SUNRISE   656 AM CST   SUNSET   431 PM CST     
DECEMBER 12 2025......SUNRISE   657 AM CST   SUNSET   431 PM CST     


-  INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R  INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T  INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.




$$

Source: EVANSVILLE IN Dec 11 Climate Report: High: 37 Low: 31 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0" Snow Depth: 0"

---------------
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92
LMK issues Public Information Statement (PNS) at Dec 13, 8:03 AM EST ...Snow Reports for Louisville County Warning Area Climate Sites...

032 
NOUS43 KLMK 131305
PNSLMK

Regional Snow Observations
National Weather Service Louisville KY
0803 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

...Snow Reports for Louisville County Warning Area Climate Sites...

Location                          Snowfall Since    Total Snow
                                     Midnight       on Ground
                                   Through 12z       at 12z
                                     (Inches)        (Inches)

Lexington (Official)                   0.0             1
Louisville International (Official)    0.0             T
Louisville NWS Office                  0.0             1
Fort Knox                              M               M
Bowling Green (Official)               0.0             0

$$

CJP

Source: LMK issues Public Information Statement (PNS) at Dec 13, 8:03 AM EST ...Snow Reports for Louisville County Warning Area Climate Sites...

---------------
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93
JKL issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 12, 5:13 PM EST

241 
FXUS63 KJKL 122213
AFDJKL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Jackson KY
513 PM EST Fri Dec 12 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...
 
- Dry weather is expected through Saturday morning.

- Another light to possibly moderate snowfall is likely Saturday
  evening into early on Sunday, mainly north and east of a
  Stanton to Jackson to Whitesburg line.

- An arctic airmass moves into our region for late Saturday night
  and Sunday with significantly below normal temperatures and cold
  wind chills.

- Nearer to if not above normal temperatures are expected from
  Tuesday through the end of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday night)
Issued at 4 PM EST FRI DEC 12 2025

Late this afternoon, an upper level low was centered in southwest
Ontario within an upper level trough that extended from Central
portions of Canada into the mid to upper MS Valley downstream of
an upper ridge over much western Conus. Weak height rises are
currently occurring the OH Valley behind the system that crossed
eastern KY last night to early this morning. At the surface, a
frontal zone extended from the Carolinas to a sfc wave eastern TN
with this boundary trailing into the Southern Plains to CO front
range/lee of the Rockies. Further upstream, a sfc low associated
with the upper low in Ontario was centered in Ontario with a cold
front trialing into the Central Plains. Some breaks in the low
clouds and clearing has developed over much of the Commonwealth
though low clouds persisted in much of the northern half of the
CWA. Temperatures have reached the upper 30s to low 40s where the
clouds scattered or cleared with mainly low to mid 30s under the
low clouds.

Tonight and Saturday, the upper low should meander to the northern
Great Lakes vicinity with an initial shortwave rotating around it
moving across the Great Lakes tonight and into Sunday. Meanwhile,
a shortwave moving around the ridging in the western Conus to
southwest Canada is expected to trek southeast to the western
Great Lakes to mid MS Valley by Saturday evening. Guidance also
has a jet streak north of the OH River on Saturday. This jet
streak likely provides some favorable potential right entrance
region dynamics in the more northern portions of the area Saturday
evening before it departs to the north and east overnight. This
will coincide with the mid level shortwave trough rotating into
the Lower OH Valley late Saturday afternoon and evening. The axis
of this shortwave trough should move east of eastern KY late
Saturday night. Meanwhile, at the surface, the low tracking across
Canada should track from Ontario to Quebec to the Maritimes/St.
Lawrence Valley through the period. The trailing cold front should
cross eastern KY during the day on Saturday. The colder air will
gradually move in with 850 mb temperatures progged to drop below
0C from north to south from late Saturday afternoon into Sunday
evening. The 850 mb temperatures continue to drop as the shortwave
moves through the region and should be in the -10C to -15C range
by around dawn on Sunday. 

Moisture with the shortwave is generally progged to be not only
deeper in the far north with a more ideal but rather brief max in
omega within the DGZ. Not only is QPF anticipated to a bit higher
there but also snow ratios should be higher for a longer duration
as compared to areas further south in the winter weather advisory
probably due to a bit more upper level jet dynamics/forcing. Some
of the limiting factors to snow ratios and snow amounts on the
southern end of the advisory are a warmer column. Also there,
although there will be some omega in the DGZ, the more significant
omega in the DGZ will be briefer and a secondary max in the
warmer clouds nearer to the surface is progged in the GFS and NAM.
There will also be some stronger winds aloft which could fracture
dendrites a bit. The high resolution convective allowing models
are also lighter with amounts thus far with the global models
more solidly in advisory range in the north and east in line with
the current forecast. There is also an upslope component with
this event as well and increasing lower level lapse rates should
make snow in the second half of Saturday night more showery in
nature and that part of the event should have some omega near or
within the DGZ. Overall, if snow ratios were to end up a little
lower areawide or in the south, eventual snowfall could fall a
little under the current forecast in all or some of the advisory
area. Despite the uncertainty in the snowfall forecast, the
falling temperatures into and through the 20s and to the teens
should contribute to travel concerns as untreated surfaces may
freeze. Thus, opted to issue a winter weather advisory from Powell
through Breathitt to Letcher Counties and points to the north and
east even though the southern portions of the advisory area
should be lower end of criteria.

Temperatures are progged to drop into mainly the 10 to 20F range
by late Saturday night. Northwest winds Wind chills should near or
reach the single digits in many locations late Saturday night and
could fall as low as a couple of degrees below 0F in a few spots
in the west from Fleming County south to Pulaski county. In that
area these wind chills near Cold Weather Advisory criteria.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 359 PM EST FRI DEC 12 2025

Sunday opens with a deep 510-dm low centered over Southeastern
Ontario and Southern Quebec. Its trough axis extends back west-
southwest, with frontogenetic forcing expected to produce snow showers
along a line extending through the Northeast US, back through the
Appalachian, including portions of Eastern Kentucky. By morning,
light snow showers and flurries might remain across Southeast
Kentucky, with cold Arctic air. Morning temperatures may be in the
single digits north of the I-64 corridor, with low teens in south.
Apparent Temperatures (Wind Chill), will be in the single digits
across the area, with coldest values around and north of the
Mountain Parkway. Temperatures in these areas will feel as cold as 5
below zero.

Cold Arctic air continues to be re-enforced from the northwest
through the day. High temperatures will be a shock to the system,
only reaching the mid to upper teens north of the Hal-Rogers-KY-80
Parkway, and low to mid 20s in areas south.  Winds will be light out
of the northwest, 5-10 mph, with gusts 15-20 mph. Temperatures will
feel like they're 10-15 degrees through the day.

High pressure begins to build back into the area Sunday night. This
will lead mostly clear skies, light and variable winds, and cold
overnight lows in the single digits. As high pressure continues to
build back into the region on Monday, temperatures warm into the low
30s near the Mountain Parkway, and mid to upper 30s south of the Hal-
Rogers/KY-80 Parkway. Monday night temperatures will likely cool
into the teens and low 20s.

Under somewhat zonal flow, conditions should be quiet through the
better part of Wednesday, with the warming trend continuing through
Thursday, highs could climb into the mid to upper 50s. A trough
amplifies heading into Thursday, leading to an increase in POP
chances through the day. P-type looks likely to be rain at this
time. Models diverge Friday, but the overall trend looks like rain
showers should be tapering off early as the Thursday system exits the
area.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
ISSUED AT 105 PM EST FRI DEC 12 2025

Low and some mid level clouds remain across much of the region
following the snow last night and this morning. VFR was reported
at issuance time in southwestern portions of the area including
near KJKL, KLOZ, and KSME with MVFR and even some IFR in the more
northern and eastern locations including KSYM and KSJS. Guidance
lingers low level moisture through the period and after the
improvements over the past few hours in the southwest that may
spread toward KSJS, a gradual deterioration in categories is
expected by the 20Z to 02Z timeframe into the more southwestern
locations first through the MVFR ranges and eventually IFR 03Z to
09Z. The more southwestern locations may improve back to MVFR
before the end of the period. However, KSYM should experience
prevailing IFR through the period. Generally light and variable
winds are expected through the period.

&&

.JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Weather Advisory from 3 PM Saturday to 10 AM EST Sunday
for KYZ044-050>052-059-060-104.

Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM Saturday to 1 PM EST Sunday
for KYZ106>110-112-113-115-118>120.


&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...GINNICK
AVIATION...JP

Source: JKL issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 12, 5:13 PM EST

---------------
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94
3 ESE Lebanon [Warren Co, OH] NWS Employee reports Snow of 5.60 Inch at 13 Dec, 8:36 PM EST --

976 
NWUS51 KILN 140136
LSRILN

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
836 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0836 PM     Snow             3 ESE Lebanon           39.42N 84.15W
12/13/2025  M5.6 Inch        Warren             OH   NWS Employee     

             


&&

$$

Source: 3 ESE Lebanon [Warren Co, OH] NWS Employee reports Snow of 5.60 Inch at 13 Dec, 8:36 PM EST --

---------------
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95
Canadian boycott of U.S. hitting border states hard: Congressional report

'a

The drop in Canadian tourism to the United States in response to U.S. President Donald Trump’s actions is hurting American businesses in several border states, a new report by a congressional committee has found.


Source: Canadian boycott of U.S. hitting border states hard: Congressional report

-----------------------
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96
BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 7, 6:18 AM EST

003 
FXUS61 KBOX 071118
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
618 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry and cold today. An arctic front moves through overnight
tonight into Monday morning with a low chance for brief
scattered snow showers, primarily for northern MA. Well below
normal temperatures Monday with an arctic airmass overhead. More
unsettled overall next week with a few systems moving through
the region. This will bring periodic chances for rain/snow
showers starting Tuesday night, continuing into Saturday. Very
gradual warming trend into Tuesday with highs around normal
Wednesday/Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Key Message:

* Mix of sun and clouds through the day

High pressure builds in for the start of the day ahead of a weak
mid-level shortwave moving in from the west. Light winds prevail for
much of the day with high pressure overhead, coming from mainly the
NW for the first half of the day. Some brief clearing is expected in
the mid morning hours before filling in through the afternoon ahead
of the shortwave. Highs supported by 925 mb temperatures around
-5C will likely be in the mid 30s for most, with low 40s for
 Cape Cod and the Islands.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
Key Messages:

* Low chance for scattered snow showers tonight

* Arctic air returns for Monday

Associated with the shortwave moving across the region late Sunday
is a moisture-starved cold front. This will usher in another arctic
airmass to start the week, with 925 mb temperatures tanking to
between -11C and -15C late tonight into Monday morning. Lows tonight
will dip back into the mid to upper teens for most and into the low
20s for Cape Cod and the Islands.

Latest guidance has trended precipitation chances over southern New
England down a bit and drier air aloft will aid in decreasing
chances for spot snow shower or two. At most, a low chance for some
snow showers lingers for northern MA.

NW winds pick up Sunday night into Monday post-front with good
mixing, so gusts between 20-30 MPH are possible through much of
Monday. The arctic airmass aloft remains over the region and high
pressure builds back in briefly post-front. So, not much improvement
from overnight temperatures is expected; 925 mb temperatures remain
around -11C through the day, so highs in the 20s and 30s can be
expected.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Key Messages:

* Periodic chances for precipitation next week starting Tuesday
  night, continuing through Saturday. 

* Uncertainty in pattern details (timing, amounts, precip type),
  especially Wednesday onward.

Details...

Surface high pressure shifts into the region Monday night helping
relax the pressure gradient. This will support decreasing winds;
however, elevated winds may linger a bit longer over the waters
overnight. Clear skies, light wind, and a well below normal airmass
aloft will support temperatures dropping into the single digits and
teens Monday night. Can't rule out a few higher elevation spots
dropping a little below zero.

There is a consensus among ensemble guidance for shift to an active
pattern starting later Tuesday, continuing through next weekend. The
pattern features the passage of several embedded disturbances in the
flow aloft bringing periodic chances of rain/snow showers through
the week. However, there is still uncertainty in the details
including timing of showers and expected amounts, especially mid-
week onward.

The first shot at showers comes Tuesday night. Ensembles show light
amounts with scattered snow showers bringing mainly a trace to an
inch, with the greatest chance at an inch or greater for the higher
elevations of interior MA. For the south coast and Cape/Islands,
rain/snow showers are possible. Another round or two of showers is
likely sometime Wednesday into Thursday. Precip type will become
more clear as we gain more details about the system track and
timing. Temperatures lean warmer for Wednesday during the day. This
would favor rain or rain/snow showers higher up. The cold front
swings through Weds nigh which may bring another round of rain/snow
showers with it. 

Some cold advection showers are possible later in the week. There is
potential for yet another wave to move through Friday-Saturday.
There is still plenty of uncertainty in the timing and track of the
wave and low pressure which will influence the precipitation
chances. Things will become more clear as we get closer. Something
that is higher confidence is the arrival of colder air by the end of
the weekend with below normal temperatures returning to the region.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

12Z TAF Update:

Today...High Confidence.

VFR. NW winds 5-10 kts. After 18z, winds briefly may go VRB
before shifting to the S and SE/ESE for BOS. Other terminals may
see a similar pattern. Winds continue to shift toward the W/WSW
after 00Z. Mid-level ceilings move in during the afternoon.

Tonight...High Confidence.

VFR. Mid-level ceilings early tonight. Winds shifting toward WSW
after 00z 5-10 kts. Frontal passage overnight between 05-09Z.
Gusts start to pick up after 06z at around 20 kts. Low chance
of -SN for northern terminals. Probabilities too low to include
in TAF.

Monday...High Confidence.

VFR. Gusty NW winds with gusts 20-30 kts. Winds gradually
decreasing after 18Z.

KBOS Terminal...High Confidence in TAF.

KBDL Terminal...High Confidence in TAF.

Outlook /Monday Night through Thursday/...

Monday Night through Tuesday: VFR. Breezy.

Tuesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Windy with
local gusts up to 30 kt. Slight chance RA, slight chance SN.

Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Windy with
local gusts up to 30 kt. Chance RA, chance SN.

Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy.
Chance RA.

Thursday: VFR. Breezy.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels...

Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Today through Monday...High confidence.

Tranquil boating conditions expected through today, with winds
and seas below small craft advisory thresholds. Light S winds
continue into most of today, then become NW tonight around 10-15
kt. Seas 3 ft or less all waters thru Sun.

Winds pick up post-front tonight into Mon and seas build to 5-7
ft over the outer waters through Mon. Gusts between 20-30 kt
are possible across all waters Mon morning, with occasional
gusts to 35 kt possible for the northern outer waters. Small
Craft Advisories have been issued for the waters starting at 06z
tonight, continuing through 06z Tue for the outer waters and
ending at 21z today for the coastal waters.

Outlook /Monday Night through Thursday/...

Monday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Local rough seas.

Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.

Tuesday Night: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds
with gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Slight chance of
rain.

Wednesday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Chance of rain.

Wednesday Night: Strong winds with gusts up to 35 kt. Areas of
rough seas. Chance of rain.

Thursday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with
gusts up to 30 kt. Areas of rough seas. Slight chance of rain.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM to 4 PM EST Monday for
     ANZ231>235-237-251.
     Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday for
     ANZ250-254>256.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Hrencecin/Mensch
NEAR TERM...Hrencecin
SHORT TERM...Hrencecin
LONG TERM...Mensch
AVIATION...Hrencecin/Mensch
MARINE...Hrencecin/Mensch

Source: BOX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 7, 6:18 AM EST

----------------
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97
LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 29, 5:25 PM CST ...New AVIATION...

448 
FXUS64 KLIX 292325
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
525 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 458 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025
 
 - Hazardous marine conditions for much of the next 5 days.
   
 - Entering a wetter pattern beginning later today into Sunday,
   with additional periods of rainfall, possibly heavy, Monday
   night into Tuesday, and possibly again on Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Sunday)
Issued at 1137 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

A weak shortwave was moving across Mississippi this morning with a
deeper trough over the northern and central Plains States. At the
surface, high pressure was centered from Ohio to the Carolinas. Low
pressure was centered just northeast of Oklahoma City with a warm
front into east Texas. Clouds were increasing across the area this
morning, and radar indicates there could even be a few sprinkles of
rain over southwest Mississippi. Temperatures were mainly in the
60s.

The lead shortwave should be into Alabama by early afternoon. The
main trough axis and surface low will move into the Great Lakes by
Sunday afternoon, which will pull a cold front across the area late
tonight and Sunday morning. Precipitable water values that were near
the 25th percentile this morning (0.6 inches) will increase to about
the 50th percentile (0.9 inches) by sunset and the 75th percentile
(1.2 inches) Sunday morning. At this point, it appears that any
precipitation is likely to be post-frontal stratiform rain, with
totals generally below one-half inch. Instability is extremely
limited, with very little, if any thunder expected. 

High temperatures Sunday will be tricky depending on the timing of
the frontal passage at any one location. Areas behind the front are
likely to remain in the 50s, while areas ahead of the front (mainly
near and south of the I-10/12 corridor) could be as warm as the
lower 70s before falling off.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through Friday)
Issued at 1137 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

We never really clear out behind the frontal passage on Sunday, with
moisture levels remaining high, precipitable water values around
1.25 inches. The next trough in the progressive pattern will move
across the lower and middle Mississippi River Valley Monday night
and Tuesday. This trough is stronger and further south than the one
in the first 24 hours of the forecast. Moisture content will also be
higher, with precipitable water values around 1.6 inches, which
is at or above the 90th percentile for early December. With a
difluent pattern aloft and favorable jet dynamics, low pressure is
expected to develop over the Gulf Monday night and race
northeastward. Once again, much of the rain is expected to be to
the north and west of the front with only a very limited threat of
thunder. There will be a band of heavy rainfall to the northwest
of the low pressure track, but some uncertainty exactly where this
sets up. One to three inches of rain, locally heavier, will be
possible with the heavy rain band, but with the rather dry
antecedent conditions, not anticipating a Flood Watch with that
system as of this time.

Beyond the Tuesday system, the GFS and ECMWF continue to have
divergent solutions with the GFS operational runs continuing to
bring another system across the area late Thursday into Friday,
while the ECMWF keeps the area considerably drier until the weekend.

Through the daytime hours Tuesday, most of the temperature guidance
is at least in the ballpark. Have noted that the GFS/ECMWF guidance
from the 29/00z run is warmer than the runs from the last couple
days, and the NBM numbers will probably end up coming up several
degrees in later packages. Won't make changes for now, but have
noted the trends.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 458 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Expect VFR conditions to prevail for most terminals through
06-09Z. Main focus will be increasing mid-level clouds and some
light returns via KHDC radar across northern/northwestern
terminals. Not anticipating any impacts other than very
brief/isolated -RA thru 12z. Then, expecting more SHRA to build in
from the west around daybreak, following a steady decrease in
CIGs revealing prevailing MVFR with intermittent/steady IFR at
times, especially KBTR to KMCB. Still expecting the eastward
extent of SHRA to dissipate going beyond 18Z Sun, but could see
brief -SHRA at times for central and eastern terminals in the
afternoon. Main impacts will remain to be low CIG's through the
day on Sunday. KLG

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1137 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

At least in the near term, will terminate headlines as pressure
gradient and cold advection has ended. We'll be back in the
hazardous conditions beginning Sunday night, with headlines
necessary for much of the period from Sunday night through at least
Tuesday night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  49  57  42  55 /  70  90  40  70
BTR  54  63  46  60 /  70  80  40  70
ASD  51  70  47  64 /  20  60  20  60
MSY  59  72  54  66 /  20  60  20  60
GPT  54  71  50  67 /  10  50  10  50
PQL  49  71  47  67 /  10  40  10  50

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...KLG
MARINE...RW

Source: LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 29, 5:25 PM CST ...New AVIATION...

---------------
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98
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 4, 9:09 AM CST ...New UPDATE, MARINE...

897 
FXUS64 KMOB 041509
AFDMOB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
909 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New UPDATE, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 848 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

  - Periods of heavy rain are expected today through Saturday
    with the potential of localized flooding.
 
  - Sustained winds around 20 knots gusting to 25 to 30 knots
    will be possible through today across the offshore Gulf
    waters. A Small Craft Advisory is now in effect until
    Midnight.

  - There is a moderate risk of life threatening rip currents
    tonight through Friday night for the beaches of Alabama and
    the western Florida Panhandle.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 848 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

A wet cold forecast remains on track with a band of beneficial
rainfall occurring just north of the I-10 corridor this morning.
This band should slowly track south and east towards the coast
over the next few hours with steady rain north of this band
persisting the remainder of the day. Some localized nuisance
flooding will be possible if this band sets up over the coastal
urban areas through the afternoon; however, given ongoing drought
conditions this rain should be primarily beneficial. Best chances
for any issues would be primarily the Mobile, Pensacola metros and
any low lying poor drainage barrier islands this afternoon. BB-8

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1244 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Deep west-southwesterly flow will bring abundant moisture into the
region today, with precipitable water (PWAT) values increasing to
1.5- 1.8 inches by this evening. An inverted surface trough will
advance from the western Gulf to the north central Gulf today,
followed by a surface low and warm front lifting north toward the
Florida Panhandle tonight. This surface low will then shift east
of the area Friday morning. Meanwhile, a series of upper level
impulses will traverse the region through the remainder of the
week, resulting in definite precipitation chances (pops) today
into the evening hours, followed by likely to definite pops late
this evening through Saturday. Embedded elevated non-severe
thunderstorms are expected south of the U.S. Highway 84 corridor
today into the evening hours, followed by embedded thunderstorms
across much of the forecast area late this evening through around
noon on Friday. Primarily moderate rain is forecast Friday
afternoon through Saturday as the surface low shifts east of the
area. Our entire area is outlooked for a marginal risk of
excessive rainfall on Friday, and for areas southeast of the I-65
corridor on Saturday as there remains a signal for modest
probabilities for the potential of heavy rain. Widespread rainfall
amounts of 2.5 to 3.5 inches are forecast for much of the area,
with locally higher amounts up to 6 inches possible. The entire
system will exit the area near the end of the weekend, with a dry
period returning through the middle of next week.

Beach Forecast: A LOW risk of rip currents today will increase to
MODERATE tonight through Friday night, and is expected to drop
back to LOW over the weekend. /22

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 525 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

High coverage of rain is expected through the evening hours, then
coverage diminishes from west to east overnight. Predominately
VFR/MVFR conditions decrease to IFR through the early afternoon
hours with LIFR conditions possible. East to northeast winds
around 5 knots increase to 5-10 knots through the morning hours,
with a switch to a north to northeast direction late tonight. /29

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 848 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Moderate to strong northeast to east winds this morning will
increase to strong this afternoon as an inverted surface trough
advances from the western Gulf to the north central Gulf. A Small
Craft Advisory has been issued through tonight. A moderate
onshore flow is likely over the Gulf tonight as a surface low and
warm front lift north toward the Florida Panhandle, while winds
remain northeasterly to easterly over the bays and sounds. Winds
will then shift northerly on Friday in the wake of the departing
low pressure area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile      54  46  56  47 / 100  80  70  70
Pensacola   58  51  61  52 /  90  80  90  80
Destin      59  52  66  53 /  80  80  90  80
Evergreen   52  43  56  44 /  90  90  80  70
Waynesboro  47  40  52  41 / 100  90  60  50
Camden      47  40  52  40 /  90  90  70  50
Crestview   53  45  60  48 /  90  90  90  70

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ650-655-
     670-675.

&&

$$

Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 4, 9:09 AM CST ...New UPDATE, MARINE...

---------------
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99
2 SE Versailles [Allegheny Co, PA] Public reports Snow of 3.80 Inch at 13 Dec, 7:44 PM EST -- Still snowing.

928 
NWUS51 KPBZ 140052
LSRPBZ

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
752 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     Snow             2 SE Versailles         40.29N 79.81W
12/13/2025  M3.8 Inch        Allegheny          PA   Public           

            Still snowing.


&&

$$

AK

Source: 2 SE Versailles [Allegheny Co, PA] Public reports Snow of 3.80 Inch at 13 Dec, 7:44 PM EST -- Still snowing.

---------------
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100
CLE continues Winter Weather Advisory valid at Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST for Mahoning, Stark [OH] till Dec 14, 7:00 PM EST

475 
WWUS41 KCLE 130713
WSWCLE

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
213 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

OHZ011>014-089-132200-
/O.EXT.KCLE.LE.W.0007.251213T1500Z-251215T1200Z/
Cuyahoga-Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
Including the cities of Eastlake, Conneaut, Geneva, Chardon,
Painesville, Ashtabula, Jefferson, Cleveland, Willoughby,
Willowick, Burton, Roaming Shores, Orwell, Wickliffe,
Chesterland, Andover, Bainbridge, Mentor, South Russell, and
Middlefield
213 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations
  of 5 to 10 inches. Greatest accumulations expected across eastern
  Cuyahoga County, southern Lake County, inland Ashtabula County,
  and much of Geauga County. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph will
  produce blowing and drifting snow.

* WHERE...Ashtabula, Cuyahoga, Geauga, and Lake Counties.

* WHEN...From 10 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult due to slippery road
  conditions and poor visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snow will favor northern
  portions of the area, along and near Lake Erie, late this morning
  into the afternoon. Widespread snow and embedded heavier lake
  effect snow will impact the entire area late this afternoon and
  evening. Additional periods of lake effect snow are expected in
  the area overnight tonight through Sunday night. Snowfall rates up
  to 1 to 2 inches per hour are expected at times, especially this
  afternoon through Sunday evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

&&

$$

PAZ001>003-132200-
/O.CON.KCLE.LE.W.0007.251213T1200Z-251215T1200Z/
Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford-
Including the cities of Titusville, Erie, Corry, Edinboro,
Meadville, and Union City
213 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING
TO 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy lake effect snow expected. Total snow accumulations
  of 7 to 14 inches. Greatest accumulations expected in the higher
  terrain of southern Erie County.

* WHERE...Crawford and Erie Counties.

* WHEN...From 7 AM this morning to 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Travel will be very difficult due to slippery road
  conditions and poor visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The heaviest snow will favor Erie County
  later this morning through Saturday afternoon. Widespread snow and
  embedded heavier lake effect snow are expected this evening across
  northwest PA. Additional periods of lake effect snow are expected
  in the area overnight tonight through Sunday night. Snowfall rates
  up to 1 to 2 inches per hour are expected at times, especially
  late this morning through Sunday evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

The Pennsylvania Department of Transportation and Pennsylvania
Turnpike Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all travel
restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.511pa.com for
the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

&&

$$

OHZ010-020>023-132200-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0025.251213T1800Z-251215T1200Z/
Lorain-Medina-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-
Including the cities of Warren, Niles, Kent, Streetsboro,
Brunswick, North Ridgeville, Medina, Aurora, Wadsworth, Akron,
Lorain, Elyria, Avon Lake, and Ravenna
213 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 8 inches
  from a combination of lake effect snow and widespread snow.

* WHERE...Lorain, Medina, Portage, Summit, and Trumbull Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and poor visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread snow is expected this afternoon
  and evening. Periods of localized lake effect snow are then
  expected overnight tonight through Sunday night. Snowfall rates up
  to 1 inch per hour are expected at times, especially this
  afternoon through Sunday evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

&&

$$

OHZ029>031-036>038-047-132200-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0025.251213T1800Z-251214T1200Z/
Richland-Ashland-Wayne-Marion-Morrow-Holmes-Knox-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Cardington, Millersburg,
Rittman, Killbuck, Mount Vernon, Ashland, Marion, Wooster, Mount
Gilead, and Orrville
213 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 5 inches.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and northeast Ohio.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 AM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and poor visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The bulk of snow is expected to occur this
  afternoon and evening.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

&&

$$

OHZ032-033-132200-
/O.CON.KCLE.WW.Y.0025.251213T1800Z-251215T0000Z/
Stark-Mahoning-
Including the cities of Boardman, Massillon, Canton, Austintown,
Youngstown, and Alliance
213 AM EST Sat Dec 13 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST SUNDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 6 inches
  from a combination of widespread snow and then periodic lake
  effect snow.

* WHERE...Mahoning and Stark Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM EST Sunday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and poor visibility.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Widespread snow is expected late this
  afternoon and evening. Periods of localized lake effect snow are
  expected overnight tonight through Sunday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

The Ohio Department of Transportation and Ohio Turnpike and
Infrastructure Commission strongly encourage motorists to heed all
travel restrictions and delay unnecessary travel. Visit www.ohgo.com
for the latest travel, roadway, and traffic conditions.

&&

$$

Jaszka

Source: CLE continues Winter Weather Advisory valid at Dec 13, 1:00 PM EST for Mahoning, Stark [OH] till Dec 14, 7:00 PM EST

---------------
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