81
JKL issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Nov 2, 1:39 PM EST for 33 forecast zones in [KY]681
FLUS43 KJKL 021839
HWOJKL
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson KY
139 PM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-031845-
Fleming-Montgomery-Bath-Rowan-Estill-Powell-Menifee-Rockcastle-
Jackson-Pulaski-Laurel-Wayne-McCreary-Whitley-Knox-Bell-Harlan-
Elliott-Morgan-Johnson-Wolfe-Magoffin-Floyd-Lee-Breathitt-Knott-
Owsley-Perry-Clay-Leslie-Letcher-Martin-Pike-
139 PM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a portion of eastern Kentucky.
.DAY ONE...Tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Thunderstorms are possible Wednesday and Wednesday night.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
$$
CMC
Source: JKL issues Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) at Nov 2, 1:39 PM EST for 33 forecast zones in [KY]--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
82
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 1, 1:01 AM EDT194
FXUS61 KILN 010501
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
101 AM EDT Sun Nov 1 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A weak mid level disturbance will bring some light rain showers to
the region tonight into Monday. A stronger system will result in
more widespread precipitation for the middle part of the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1)
A weak mid level short wave will move across the Ohio Valley today
through Monday morning. The low levels will remain quite dry through
this afternoon, so while it will be tough to rule out a few
sprinkles, think the main effect for the daytime period will mainly
just be some mid level cloudiness. Ahead of the short wave, a
developing 20-30 knot low level jet will lift up into our area this
evening into tonight. As we continue to moisten up, this will lead to
developing scattered showers this evening. These will continue
through tonight and then linger into Monday morning before
dissipating.
Models have trended a little slower with the upper level trough
moving out of the central U.S. through mid week. Nonetheless,
increasing southerly flow ahead of this system will allow for decent
moisture advection into the Ohio Valley. This will lead to
widespread showers overspreading our area on Wednesday, with
precipitation chances then persisting into Thursday. MU capes look to
be minimal at best so would think any embedded thunder chances would
be limited. A secondary mid level short wave moving through the
Great Lakes region will lead to additional chances for showers on
Friday.
Above normal temperatures will prevail through the period.
&&
.AVIATION /04Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Mid level clouds will prevail into this evening ahead of a weak mid
level short wave moving through the Ohio Valley. A weak low level
jet ahead of the short wave will lead to a developing chance for
showers this evening and into the overnight hours. As the low levels
moisten up, cigs will lower into MVFR category later tonight.
OUTLOOK...MVFR cigs and vsbys possible at times Wednesday and
Thursday.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JGL
AVIATION...JGL
Source: ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 1, 1:01 AM EDT--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
83
Minister Paul Calandra played behind-the-scenes role in OCDSB Pride parade controversy Internal emails show Ontario's education ministry was looped in at key moments as the OCDSB decided not to register for this summer's Pride parade, prompting intense blowback. Minister Paul Calandra's office says he encouraged them to participate. Source: Minister Paul Calandra played behind-the-scenes role in OCDSB Pride parade controversy----------------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
84
WORCESTER MA Nov 2 Climate Report: High: 67 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0"682
CDUS41 KBOX 030525
CLIORH
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOSTON/NORTON MA
1225 AM EST TUE NOV 03 2026
...................................
...THE WORCESTER MA CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 2 2026...
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 1892 TO 2026
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME RECORD YEAR NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
...................................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
YESTERDAY
MAXIMUM 67 301 PM 79 1950 53 14 49
MINIMUM 48 648 AM 20 1925 37 11 28
1965
AVERAGE 58 45 13 39
PRECIPITATION (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.00 2.52 1897 0.13 -0.13 0.00
MONTH TO DATE 0.00 0.27 -0.27 0.00
SINCE SEP 1 9.24 9.35 -0.11 8.70
SINCE JAN 1 39.25 40.25 -1.00 38.92
SNOWFALL (IN)
YESTERDAY 0.0 0.1 1959 0.1 -0.1 0.0
MONTH TO DATE 0.0 0.1 -0.1 0.0
SINCE SEP 1 0.0 1.2 -1.2 0.0
SINCE JUL 1 0.0 1.2 -1.2 0.0
DEGREE DAYS
HEATING
YESTERDAY 7 20 -13 26
MONTH TO DATE 29 40 -11 48
SINCE SEP 1 535 630 -95 507
SINCE JUL 1 540 662 -122 547
COOLING
YESTERDAY 0 0 0 0
MONTH TO DATE 0 0 0 0
SINCE SEP 1 33 50 -17 48
SINCE JAN 1 610 501 109 610
...................................................................
WIND (MPH)
RESULTANT WIND SPEED 12 RESULTANT WIND DIRECTION W (250)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 16 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION W (250)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 23 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION SW (220)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 11.8
SKY COVER
POSSIBLE SUNSHINE MM
AVERAGE SKY COVER 0.0
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED YESTERDAY.
NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER WAS OBSERVED.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 61 100 AM
LOWEST 30 300 PM
AVERAGE 46
..........................................................
THE WORCESTER MA CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TODAY
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 53 73 1982
2003
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 36 21 1930
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
NOVEMBER 3 2026......SUNRISE 623 AM EST SUNSET 438 PM EST
NOVEMBER 4 2026......SUNRISE 624 AM EST SUNSET 437 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: WORCESTER MA Nov 2 Climate Report: High: 67 Low: 48 Precip: 0.0" Snow: 0.0"---------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
85
LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 1, 3:32 PM CST ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...083
FXUS64 KLIX 012132
AFDLIX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
332 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 330 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
- Wind speeds will slack off some over the Gulf but expect them to
remain out of the east through Monday and pick back up to 15 to
20 knot mainly over open gulf waters. This will continue to
create minor coastal flooding along sections of the Mississippi
and Louisiana gulf coasts during high tide times each day
through the weekend. A coastal flood advisory is in effect for
locations expected to get minor coastal flooding.
- Stronger system impacts the region Tuesday and Wednesday. Rain
will begin during the day Tuesday impacting election day while
strong to severe storms look possible Tuesday night through
early Wednesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Now through Wednesday night)
Issued at 330 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
Last night was rough. Tried to highlight some of the ingredients and
the setup which could lead to very efficient thunderstorms and
isolated heavy rain however, at no point did it cross my mind that
we could possibly get up 12-17" in Pearl River County much less the
5-8" around the immediate Southshore. In addition it looked like the
potential for heavy rain would have been a little more over our
northwest but it didn't work out that way. There was another
isolated storm that produced over 12" of rain last night near
Oakdale between Lafayette and Alexandria, so there was very heavy
rain to our west-northwest just outside of our outlook area. The
other highly unusual aspect of this that wasn't that there was one
storm that led to these extreme rainfall amounts, it was that most
of the area struggled to receive anything more than a few hundredths.
Only a handful of locations saw 0.25-0.5" but the fact that there
were not one, not two, but multiple yet very isolated locations that
saw multiple inches of rain with 2 locations that saw more than 12"
of rain is quite rare. This is what is making the forecast for the
remainder of the afternoon and evening difficult.
We don't have the same set up but any means. The PW's are lower
around 1.6-1.7 but that is still around the 90th percentile for this
time of the year however, we are missing one key feature. The jet is
not in the right spot. Last night we were in the prime location
(LFQ) leading to strong diffluence aloft. We don't have that right
now and it won't improve over night. That said there is the
potential for isolated heavy rain. By no means are we expecting
anything similar to last night but one or two storms anchored
leading to 3 to 5 inches is not out of the question. The rain
chances should drop off considerably late this evening and
overnight. As for tomorrow we should be drier with s/w ridging over
the area but since we won't completely clear out the moisture we
could have isolated to scattered light showers after we start to
warm up. May also have a little help from isentropic lift.
The main concern is the system Tuesday and Tuesday night. This
system is already coming onshore. The models are already coming into
better agreement again and I expect to see them continue to converge
on a solid solution over the next 12-24 hours. The biggest shift in
the models is the potential for strong to severe storms does appear
to be much lower than previously thought and even the amount of rain
anticipated with this time system looks much lower. Main issue is
that models now are in agreement that the bulk of the dynamics will
remain well north of here and the trough will be more broad as it
moves through the Lower MS Valley. Like was mentioned yesterday the
mid level jet max that merges with the L/W trough does cause the
system to pull farther north. The broader trough means the trough
axis moves in and passes through the area Wednesday morning. This is
slower than previously advertised and this is also more broad lift
and not as strong as a sharper negatively tilted trough would have
caused. The sfc low is well north of the area with a weak elongated
front moving in overnight and early Wednesday. This all suggest a
lower potential for strong/severe storms however it does not remove
the threat completely. Instability will be lacking especially is we
have a good bit of cloud cover and even light showers Tuesday. This
will keep the area from recovering. This doesn't lead to steep lapse
rates either especially given the less dynamic system we will have
to work with. Any LL jet that tries to develop will be well north
placing us at the base if not even farther south from the base of
the LL jet. One positive aspect is the jet. We could still feel the
possible effects of a coupled jet like structure with enhanced
diffluence and divergence aloft especially over the northwestern
portions of the CWA. And it is that locations that has the best
chance of seeing strong storms.
SPC has a Marginal Risk in place for the far northwest and it will
mainly be with any storms associated with the front overnight. WPC
also has a Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall for the northwest
3rd of the CWA but given the lack of support now and weak front we
are looking at rainfall totals with this system likely below 0.5"
for much with the area with isolated locations possibly up to 1-
1.5". /CAB/
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Saturday night)
Issued at 330 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
After our system on Tuesday night/Wednesday the forecast gets a
little quieter and overall the medium range guidance is in decent
agreement. The continuity within the models hasn't been the
greatest but it has just mainly been some timing and strength
issues the consistency between the models has actually not been
that bad and to be honest over the last 3-4 days they have had
better consistency between them for Wednesday and into next
weekend compared to yesterday through Tuesday night. You would
think it would be the opposite a lot of times but given the change
in the pattern and rather potent east Pac trough that isn't
unreasonable. Typical models struggle with pattern changes,
usually timing but also strength at times. However, once the
pattern does transition or the models think it has they tend to
come back into better agreement. All that to say yeah confidence
is a lot higher in the forecast in hours 72 to 144 than in the 1st
72 hrs (last night was just an example of how difficult the first
3-6 hours can be).
Once the L/W trough moves through Wednesday we will actually move
under more zonal flow thanks to another disturbance quickly on the
heels of this one. By Wednesday afternoon it will already be moving
east across the 4 corners and into the southern Plains early
Thursday. This disturbance will quickly surge east-southeast through
the Lower MS Valley Thursday night and off the east coast by Friday
afternoon/evening. At the surface high pressure builds in slowly
behind the front with a weak reinforcing cold front early Friday.
Our front Wednesday won't bring much in the way of cold air but it
will help to drop the dewpoint down a touch. The front Friday will
bring more dry air and some slightly cooler air in time for the
weekend.
Previous model solutions showed the possibility of rain late next
weekend but latest shows the weekend remaining dry since we will
never be able to recover. Models do start to diverge next weekend
mainly timing and strength but they do show another strong
disturbance digging into through the Plains this weekend and even
with the differences in depth of how far the system digs they all
still still show a drier scenario with possibly another reinforcing
cold front late this weekend. /CAB/
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 330 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
Widespread MVFR cigs are currently impacting most terminals but the
low clouds should begin to scatter out some this afternoon.
That said terminals from BTR to NEW and southwest look like they
will be dealing with showers and thunderstorms this afternoon.
Terminals will likely move into VFR status are times this afternoon
but expect MVFR and even IFR cigs this evening and overnight. /CAB/
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 330 PM CST Sun Nov 1 2026
A prevailing easterly wind will remain in place across the waters
through Monday night before becoming more southeasterly ahead of a
cold front Tuesday night/early Wednesday. Winds will generally be
around 10-15 knots however we can not rule out a few periods of
winds around 15-20 knots especially in the open waters. Winds will
briefly become offshore Wednesday afternoon and into Thursday before
becoming more light and variable as high pressure builds in. Showers
and thunderstorms will be possible at times over the coastal waters
until after the front moves through. /CAB/
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CST Monday for LAZ070-
076-078.
GM...None.
MS...Coastal Flood Advisory from 1 AM to 9 AM CST Monday for MSZ086.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...CAB
LONG TERM....CAB
AVIATION...CAB
MARINE...CAB
Source: LIX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 1, 3:32 PM CST ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
86
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 2, 12:14 PM CST ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...059
FXUS64 KMOB 021814
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1214 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1211 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
- A High Risk of life-threatening rip currents exists at all area
beaches through Tuesday. Surf heights up to 5 feet are
expected through Tuesday, with rough surf expected.
- Moderate to strong easterly winds will create hazardous
conditions for small craft through midweek.
- A cold front will move through the area on Wednesday into Thursday,
with showers and thunderstorms likely across the area. The
threat for severe thunderstorms is low at this time.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1211 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
Through Thursday, an upper low moving east over the northern/central
Plains with a trough stretching south over the southern Plains
contends with an upper ridge over the eastern Conus and another
upper low that develops off the East Coast (from the upper trough
that passed yesterday). As the Plains system pushes east, the upper
ridge deflects the main part of the system northeast. Guidance is
advertising the trough south of the main system taking a negative
tilt as it moves over the Lower Mississippi River Valley to over
the Southeast, but with the northeast deflection of the main system,
the better enhancement of the dynamics gets deflected generally
north of us here on the northern Gulf coast. Timing of this system
is a bit earlier than yesterday, with the initial rainshowers and
thunderstorms developing on the north-central Gulf coast Tuesday
night. Overnight Tuesday night, we have MLCapes of 800-1300J/kg
along with EBWD shear around 35kts. Guidance is advertising an 850mb
passing over the western half of the Southeast, with the strongest
part of the jet being over the northern part of the region and
Tennessee River Valley. The jet is strong enough for some guidance
to advertise Tds increasing into the low 70s into Wednesday, but
that is Wednesday. Back to Tuesday night, guidance is advertising 0-
1km helicities > 100m^s/2^s touching areas north of Highway 84. All
in all, there is a low chance of rowdy storms Tuesday night, with
the best chance being north of Highway 84. Low but feel not zero.
Wind damage, maybe a spinner, are the primary threats. Mid level
lapse rates are low (helped buy the instability limiting mid level
height falls being very, very limited over the northern Gulf Coast),
so the chance of large hail is expected to be small. Timing is soon
after sunset over western portions of the forecast area moving to
near the Tombigbee River by sunrise Wednesday. Heading into
Wednesday, the increased dewpoints help instability to rise a bit
(MLCapes rising into the 1000-1500J/kg range), but with the upper
dynamics moving off, the better wind shear and upper support moves
east or northeast, respectively, of the forecast area. The risk of
rowdy storms decreases though the morning as the instability and
dynamics separate. Still a possibility, though, with wind damage the
primary threat. Timing still remains an issue, both with everything
getting started as the tail end of the trough passes over the
Southeast, along with path. Will continue to monitor. As of this
writing, SPC has placed the forecast area under a general thunder
coverage for Tuesday night through Wednesday.
Later Wednesday through Thursday night, a weakening cold front
approaches the forecast area, eventually stalling over the forecast
area. So far, using the dew point front as a guide, drier air
approaches the northwestern quarter of the forecast area by Thursday
evening and stalling. Comparing the deterministic and ensembles,
there continues to be inconsistency. There is consistency in
temperatures remain above seasonal norms. High temperatures in the
upper 70s to low 80s. Low temperatures in the 60s tonight rise into
the mid/upper 60s Tuesday night. With a drop overall in deep layer
moisture and clearing as the system passes, low temperatures drop
into the around 50 north of Highway 84 to upper 50s, near 60 along
the coast by Thursday night.
Friday through the weekend, another upper level shortwave trough
approaches the Southeast. With inconsistency in the amount of
moisture drop after mid-weeks system passage, PoPs are inconsistent
in how high, though consistent in better PoPs being southeast of
Interstate 65. The stalled front moves southeast after it passes,
though the question is how far. Ensemble guidance is advertising a
drop in temperatures into the weekend, to around or below
seasonal norms.
Taking a look at coastal areas, a High Risk of rip currents is
maintained into Tuesday night, before decreasing to Moderate
Wednesday into Thursday as east to southeast flow decreases and
tidal cycle heads towards a neap tide.
/16
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1133 AM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
Mainly MVFR ceilings across much of the western Florida panhandle,
southwest Alabama and southeast Mississippi improve to VFR this
afternoon. MVFR ceilings then redevelop across the area during the
late night and early morning hours, then improve somewhat to
MVFR/VFR ceilings towards late morning on Tuesday. Easterly winds
around 10 knots diminish to mostly around 5 knots this evening,
then increase to around 10 knots Tuesday morning. Winds will
potentially be a bit higher near the coast through the period.
/29
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1211 PM CST Mon Nov 2 2026
A moderate to strong easterly flow continues through Tuesday with
a tight pressure gradient over the northern Gulf. Winds will
shift southeasterly Tuesday night as a system approaches the area
from the west. Winds gradually decrease and turn southerly
Wednesday, becoming offshore Wednesday night through the weekend.
Seas remain near 5-7 feet today and will gradually decrease
throughout the week.
/16
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 65 80 67 82 / 0 50 60 60
Pensacola 68 79 70 81 / 0 20 70 60
Destin 68 80 70 80 / 0 10 60 70
Evergreen 61 80 64 80 / 0 20 50 90
Waynesboro 61 80 64 80 / 0 30 70 60
Camden 62 78 64 78 / 0 10 60 90
Crestview 63 82 66 81 / 0 20 50 80
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday afternoon for FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST Tuesday for GMZ650-655-670-
675.
&&
$$
Source: MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 2, 12:14 PM CST ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
87
PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 2, 6:30 PM EST485
FXUS61 KPBZ 022330
AFDPBZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
630 PM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No major changes accompany this latest forecast update.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Area temperature rises nearly 20 degrees above normal
Tuesday/Wednesday ahead of the incoming cold front.
2) Rain returns late Wednesday and Thursday, with an unsettled
pattern through the weekend
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Dry sub-700mb air has continued to ensure any lift resulting in
precipitation formation only translates to isolated, brief
sprinkles for portions of eastern OH through northwest PA
today/tonight.
Strengthening warm, moist advection in southwest flow plus
height rises aloft results in high temperatures approaching 20
degrees above the daily averages Tuesday/Wednesday. Though no
records are forecasted to be broken, there are scenarios where
enough cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling could result in a
few instances of near to record high minimum temperatures.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
Models have fairly high consistency in lifting an initially
closed upper low and its surface low center NW of the region
Wednesday into Thursday morning, with the surface low becoming
occluded near central MI. The result is broad ascent within WSW
flow combining with weakening surface convergence along the cold
front to produce swaths of rain showers traversing the regional
with a low probability for lightning (less than 15%). Dry
advection plus dry slotting aloft quickly ends rain chances
post-frontal Thursday while slowly dropping temperature (but
remaining above normal) and waiting for the next trough axis to
cross with marginal precipitation chances Friday/Saturday.
Mean ensemble model accumulations for Wednesday/Thursday range
between 0.25" to 1" that preclude flooding concerns. Lower QPF
scenarios exist where forcing splits between a northern/southern
embedded jet that dampens lift to keep rain on the lighter
side. Higher end QPF scenarios (which could touch 2") combine a
better positioned jet with a slimmer of buoyancy to better
maximize the 95th percentile PWAT values in the region for more
efficient rains. Even these high- end scenarios is unlikely to
result in flooding; the most likely impact is nuisance flooding
aided by clogged storm drains from recent leaf loss.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
IFR/MVFR ceilings continue at ZZV this evening, but lifting is
expected by 04z as the shortwave departs. At other sites,
scattered to broken high-based stratocumulus, generally at 5 to
7 thousand feet, will linger into the overnight as a weak warm
front crosses. Light and variable wind is expected through the
overnight.
Clouds are forecast to decrease late tonight and towards sunrise
behind the warm front as mid-level ridging takes hold. Light
southerly wind will dominate through the afternoon, along with
VFR conditions.
Outlook...
VFR is expected through under a ridge of high pressure until an
approaching surface front returns rain chances late Wednesday
and Thursday. Subsequent upper troughing could continue
restriction and rain chances into Friday.
&&
.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
OH...None.
WV...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Frazier
AVIATION...Rackley/CL
Source: PBZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 2, 6:30 PM EST--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
88
CLE issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 3, 12:12 AM EST612
FXUS61 KCLE 030512
AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
1212 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes to the forecast.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Warming trend Tuesday and Wednesday.
2) Showers expected ahead of and with a cold front Wednesday into
Wednesday night.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
Expansive high pressure will drift off the mid Atlantic coastal
region providing the southern Great Lakes with deep southerly flow
in the next couple of days. With 850mb temperatures climbing into
the lower teens with warm air advection, expecting high temperatures
10-20 degrees above normal for Tuesday and Wednesday, possibly
pushing record highs in places Tuesday. Wednesday should lag a bit
with the potential introduction of showers into the region ahead of
the cold front marching in from the west.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
Deep upper low will push from the southern high plains towards the
upper Mississippi Valley, driving a Pacific cold front west to east
into the CWA. Line of showers moves into the western zones after 15Z
Wednesday. Looking at the low level f-gen for this system, it
appears the system may turn weakly frontolytic as it moves through
the CWA Wednesday, with the line possibly becoming more scattered as
it does so. This would correlate with the occluding nature of the
surface and upper level low pressure systems, but still expect
precipitation for all zones of the CWA and will need to watch for
the development of surface waves along the cold front. Temperatures
back down towards normal for the end of the week and into the
weekend with continued upper level troughing over the CWA and off
and on rain chances during this time as well.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
A band of lower clouds and some light showers is lifting
northeast across the area right now, bringing a period of MVFR
ceilings with some occasional IFR also observed. Drier air and
higher ceilings will lift in from the south-southwest this
morning, allowing conditions to return to VFR. VFR is then
expected to persist through the remainder of the TAFs. The main
challenge with this set of TAFs was timing the improvement to
VFR, and some AMDs may be needed early this morning. South-
southeast winds in the 5-10kt range will shift south-southwest
and increase slightly to 8-14kt with some 20-25kt gusts Tuesday.
Outlook...Non-VFR possible in rain Wednesday into Thursday.
&&
.MARINE...
Offshore winds 10-20kts through early Wednesday ahead of a cold
front will mean wave heights increase progressively away from shore.
In general, 2ft or less for the nearshore zones, and 2-4ft in the
open water zones should be expected during this time. A cold front
late Wednesday/Wednesday night turns winds more southwesterly 10-
20kts through Thursday, with wave heights in the nearshore zones
east of Cleveland now in the 1-3ft range while wave height forecast
s for the other zones remains the same.
&&
.CLIMATE...
Daily Record High Maximum Temperatures
Date Toledo Mansfield Cleveland Akron Youngstown Erie
11-03 77(1987) 76(2015) 79(1961) 80(1961) 80(1961) 80(1961)
11-04 80(2003) 77(2015) 79(2003) 76(2015) 77(2003) 78(2015)
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...Sullivan
MARINE...26
Source: CLE issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 3, 12:12 AM EST--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
89
IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 2, 5:56 AM EST349
FXUS63 KIWX 021056
AFDIWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
556 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Light rain showers continue at times through this evening
(20-30% chances).
- Much better chances for rain (80-100%) arrive late Tuesday
night into early Wednesday.
- Highs will be well into the 70s on Tuesday with breezy
conditions but otherwise highs remain around 60 the rest of
the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 120 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
Scattered, light rain showers/drizzle will persist through today as
broad 295-300K isentropic upglide continues. This isentropic ascent
is very gentle though and we are still battling some dry air
concerns so there will be plenty of rain-free areas as well and have
maintained just broad-brushed 20 PoP's through this evening. Best
chances appear to be east of I-69 late this afternoon into the
evening as models indicate another weak shortwave rippling through
the area. This wave exits overnight and isentropic surfaces orient
more parallel to increasing southwest flow. Therefore, expect dry
conditions to return late tonight through most of the day Tue.
Overcast skies today yield highs only in the low/mid 60s. Tue high
temp forecast is tricky. Strong SW flow/WAA develops ahead of
approaching trough but cloud cover is still a question. Some peaks
of sun are likely, especially in our SE, and this could push highs
to near record territory (76). Tempered NBM highs downward a bit as
they are likely biased by the last few weeks of very warm/sunny
conditions. If full sun materializes then it's possible but expect
at least some clouds given degree of moisture streaming into
the region.
Very few changes regarding Tue night's frontal passage. Upper trough
and low level cyclone will be rapidly lifting and occluding over the
Upper Midwest late Tue. This combined with surface low track toward
Lake Superior will support a healthy midlevel dry slot moving into
the area Wed morning and bringing a quick end to rain. Maintained
categorical PoP's out of respect for the moisture advection but
westward displacement of better mid/upper level dynamics and
southward displacement of any meaningful instability will likely
leave our area with just some brief, light rain showers late Tue
night into Wed morning. Rainfall amounts around 0.25" with no
thunder anticipated. While steady/moderate rain ends Wed afternoon,
a prolonged period of general cyclonic flow is expected to develop
Wed night into next week as several upper lows pinwheel through the
Great Lakes. This supports periodic low chances for light rain,
particularly downwind of still warm Lake Michigan. The only
exception looks to be a brief break in between systems on Sat.
Temps return to more seasonable values to end the week but still
trending slightly above normal with highs around 60 and lows
around 40.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 556 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
Satellite and observing stations indicate MVFR ceilings are
steadily spreading north this morning; quickly closing in on
KSBN. Observations in central IN and central IL show IFR
ceilings in place; perhaps not completely out of the realm of
possibility for our local area for at least a brief time. Weak
ascent through an increasingly saturated atmosphere still lends
the opportunity for passing light showers or sprinkles today.
The low level jet strengthens tonight ahead of a mid-latitude
cyclone moving into the Midwest. LLWS may be a concern through
most of Tuesday morning before the LLJ eases in the afternoon.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...AGD
AVIATION...Brown
Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 2, 5:56 AM EST--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
90
BLOOMINGTON IN Nov 2 Climate Report: High: 59 Low: 54 Precip: 0.02" Snow: Missing115
CDUS43 KIND 022134
CLIBMG
CLIMATE REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
434 PM EST MON NOV 02 2026
...................................
...THE BLOOMINGTON IN CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR NOVEMBER 2 2026...
VALID TODAY AS OF 0400 PM LOCAL TIME.
CLIMATE NORMAL PERIOD 1991 TO 2020
CLIMATE RECORD PERIOD 9999 TO 9999
WEATHER ITEM OBSERVED TIME NORMAL DEPARTURE LAST
VALUE (LST) VALUE FROM YEAR
NORMAL
.......................................................
TEMPERATURE (F)
TODAY
MAXIMUM 59 359 PM 60 -1 52
MINIMUM 54 816 AM 38 16 36
AVERAGE 57 49 8 44
PRECIPITATION (IN)
TODAY 0.02 0.12 -0.10 0.01
MONTH TO DATE 0.02 0.25 -0.23 0.01
SINCE SEP 1 2.04 7.55 -5.51 4.48
SINCE JAN 1 36.88 40.15 -3.27 41.10
.......................................................
WIND (MPH)
HIGHEST WIND SPEED 16 HIGHEST WIND DIRECTION SE (150)
HIGHEST GUST SPEED 23 HIGHEST GUST DIRECTION SE (140)
AVERAGE WIND SPEED 9.1
SKY COVER
AVERAGE SKY COVER 1.0
WEATHER CONDITIONS
THE FOLLOWING WEATHER WAS RECORDED TODAY.
LIGHT RAIN
FOG
RELATIVE HUMIDITY (PERCENT)
HIGHEST 100 400 AM
LOWEST 93 1200 AM
..........................................................
THE BLOOMINGTON IN CLIMATE NORMALS FOR TOMORROW
NORMAL RECORD YEAR
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 59 MM MM
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE (F) 38 MM MM
SUNRISE AND SUNSET
NOVEMBER 2 2026......SUNRISE 715 AM EST SUNSET 544 PM EST
NOVEMBER 3 2026......SUNRISE 716 AM EST SUNSET 543 PM EST
- INDICATES NEGATIVE NUMBERS.
R INDICATES RECORD WAS SET OR TIED.
MM INDICATES DATA IS MISSING.
T INDICATES TRACE AMOUNT.
$$
Source: BLOOMINGTON IN Nov 2 Climate Report: High: 59 Low: 54 Precip: 0.02" Snow: Missing--------------- If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
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