ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 27, 7:58 PM EDT251
FXUS61 KILN 272358
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
758 PM EDT Sun Oct 27 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
A notable warming trend will occur through mid-week as southerly
flow brings in warmer air. Temperatures 10 degrees above normal
Monday will rise to 20 degrees above normal on Tuesday and
Wednesday. The next rain maker in the region will be a cold
front that crosses later Thursday, bringing measurable rainfall
for everyone.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 AM MONDAY MORNING/...
Another seasonably cool night will have low temperatures range
from around 40 from Cincy southward and along the Ohio River,
mid 30s elsewhere. Lower temperatures and some shallow fog can
be expected in low-lying and rural areas.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 AM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Monday will mark the beginning of a rather substantial weather
pattern shift as NW flow aloft becomes more zonal and LL flow
becomes more southerly. This will help usher in a warmer (and
more moist) airmass into Monday night, with daytime highs on
Monday expected to reach into the lower 70s amidst some cirrus.
Again, do think that dewpoints will end up mixing down a bit in
the afternoon, but /some/ moisture advection will also be
underway, so widespread fire weather concerns are not expected
at this time.
Temps Monday night will be considerably warmer than will be the
case tonight, will temps by daybreak Tuesday generally in the
mid to upper 50s as the region begins to feel the impact of the
expanding midlevel ridge across the SE CONUS.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Weather will stay dry Tuesday and Wednesday as high pressure
remains anchored along the Atlantic Coast. Winds are likely to
gust over 20 knots as the pressure gradient tightens ahead of a
cold front. Showers will be definite on Thursday when the front
pushes through with a plume of deep Gulf moisture, while winds
stay gusty. Drier weather returns for Friday with high pressure.
Showers may occur again on Saturday and Sunday in isentropic
lift ahead of deepening low pressure.
Temperatures will be far above normal Tuesday and Wednesday, with
highs in the upper 70s to around 80. Readings slip Thursday due to
clouds and precip along the cold front, with highs ranging from the
low 70s west up to the upper 70s east. A more significant drop in
temperatures is forecast for Friday due to cold advection behind the
front leading to highs around 60. A rebound into the 60s to low 70s
is indicated for Saturday and Sunday as warm advection recurs in the
return flow around the high.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Clear skies are expected through tomorrow morning with some
cirrus entering from the northwest in the later afternoon. A few
fair wx cu may occur with a bit of moisture pooling underneath
a temperature inversion around 3kft. Wind becoming calm
overnight will become light from the ese in the early morning,
then s in the later morning but remain under 8kt. The calm wind
and clear skies may bring some shallow ground fog in the river
valleys resulting in some MVFR, possibly IFR vsby at KLUK.
Crossover dewpoint temperature this afternoon and overnight low
suggest a slight chance of fog with little stratus development.
OUTLOOK...Gusty winds will be possible Tuesday and Wednesday.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Franks
NEAR TERM...Franks
SHORT TERM...KC
LONG TERM...Coniglio
AVIATION...Franks
Source:
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 27, 7:58 PM EDT---------------
If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
