National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 4 for TROPICAL STORM NADINE991
WTNT35 KNHC 191457
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Nadine Advisory Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152024
1000 AM CDT Sat Oct 19 2024
...NADINE ABOUT TO MAKE LANDFALL IN BELIZE...
...HEAVY RAINS AND TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS SPREADING OVER PARTS
OF BELIZE AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.3N 87.9W
ABOUT 25 MI...40 KM SE OF BELIZE CITY
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SSE OF CHETUMAL MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Belize City, Belize to Cancun, Mexico, including Cozumel
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.
Interests elsewhere in Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico
should monitor the progress of this system.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Nadine was
located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 87.9 West. Nadine is
moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h). A faster westward
motion is expected during the next day or so. On the forecast
track, Nadine is expected to make landfall near Belize City later
this morning, and then move across Belize, northern Guatemala, and
southern Mexico this afternoon through Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 50 mph (85 km/h)
with higher gusts. Weakening is expected after the storm moves
inland, and it will likely dissipate by late Sunday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 195 miles (315 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Nadine can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT5 and WMO header WTNT45 KNHC
and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT5.shtml
RAINFALL: Widespread 4 to 8 inch rainfall amounts are expected with
Nadine across northern Belize, northern Guatemala, and southern
Mexican states from Quintana Roo westward to Veracruz. Isolated
areas of amounts exceeding 12 inches are also possible through late
Tuesday.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Tropical Storm Nadine, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?rainqpf.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area
through this afternoon.
STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding is possible in areas of onshore
winds near and to the north of where the center moves inland.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi/Torres-Vazquez
Source:
National Hurricane Center issues ADVISORY 4 for TROPICAL STORM NADINE---------------
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