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879 FXUS64 KMOB 200644AFDMOBArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Mobile AL143 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE....NEAR TERM...(Now through Monday night)Issued at 143 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024The upper ridge extending from the western Gulf of Mexico to the midwest states will breakdown late tonight through Monday as the upper cut-off low over the Desert Southwest ejects toward the east-northeast. Meanwhile, a surface high pressure area will remain intact across the southeastern US. A dry airmass will continue through Monday as a slug of very dry air invades from the northeast, with afternoon relative humidity values dropping into the low to mid 20s all the way to the coast. This will pose a risk for hazardous fire conditions, and caution is advised when trying to burn. High temperatures today will be slightly above normal, and range from 77 to 81 degrees. Highs Monday should be 2 to 3 degrees warmer, ranging from 79 to 83 degrees, or around 5 degrees above normal. Low temps tonight will range from 46 to 51 degrees inland, 52 to 57 degrees near the coast, and around 60 degrees at the beaches. Lows Monday night will be about 2 degrees warmer across the board. The rip current risk will remain HIGH through this afternoon, becoming MODERATE tonight and Monday, then becoming LOW Monday night. /22SHORT AND LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday)Issued at 143 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024Not much change to the sensible weather pattern is expected for the short and long term periods, as surface high pressure remains anchored over the eastern CONUS. Broad upper ridging over the southwest CONUS will persist through the end of the work week, keeping a northwesterly component to the upper level flow over thearea. Skies will remain mostly clear through the period, with ample daytime heating allowing highs to moderate above seasonal norms, with highs in the mid to upper 80s by the end of the week. Meanwhile, light flow each night will lead to good radiational cooling and overnight lows will fall into the 50s. /73&&.MARINE...Issued at 143 AM CDT Sun Oct 20 2024Small craft should exercise caution well offshore through tonight. A light to moderate northeasterly to easterly flow will persist into Tuesday, and then become variable less than 10 knots through Thursday. Seas will gradually subside into midweek. /22&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...Mobile 81 50 82 53 83 57 85 57 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Pensacola 80 56 81 59 80 62 83 62 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Destin 78 58 81 62 81 64 83 64 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Evergreen 79 45 82 48 83 54 85 53 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Waynesboro 79 45 81 47 83 52 85 54 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Camden 78 44 80 46 81 51 83 53 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Crestview 81 46 82 51 83 55 85 53 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 &&.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...AL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for ALZ265-266.FL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.MS...None.GM...None.&&$$This product is also available on the web at:www.weather.gov/mob