Author Topic: [Alert]IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 18, 1:15 AM EDT  (Read 20 times)

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IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 18, 1:15 AM EDT

123 
FXUS63 KIWX 180515
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
115 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Steadily warming temperatures through the weekend with highs well
  into the 70s by Sunday.

* The next low chance (10-20%) of rain is not until Tuesday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 205 PM EDT Thu Oct 17 2024

Pleasant mid October wx through Monday as an impressive Eastern
CONUS upper ridge dominates with ample sunshine, light winds and dry
conditions. Weak return flow on the backside of sfc high pressure
will also result in a gradual warming trend with highs reaching near
70F Friday-Saturday, and the low to mid 70s by Sunday and Monday.
Dry airmass will make for for ~30F diurnal temp ranges each day with
cool/typical mornings through the period.

Chances for some cloud cover and possibly a few showers does enter
the forecast around Tuesday as the upper ridge breaks down and a
Four Corners upper low finally releases east into the Midwest and
Great Lakes. Poor moisture quality and lacking deep layer forcing
warrants nothing more than a slight chance PoP. A little cooler
behind this system then for the remainder of the week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 115 AM EDT Fri Oct 18 2024

Strong subsidence and abundant dry air throughout the column
will ensure ideal aviation conditions through the period. Fog is
highly unlikely this morning given crossover temps in the upper
20s and expected low temps only in the mid 30s. Southerly winds
will remain below 10 kts through the period.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Steinwedel
AVIATION...AGD

Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 18, 1:15 AM EDT

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