ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 2, 2:08 PM EDT721
FXUS61 KILN 021808
AFDILN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
208 PM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will work into the region and allow for several
days of quiet weather. Precipitation chances and breezy
conditions will return to the region on Sunday as a cold front
moves through the region. Cool and dry conditions will be in
place for early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Progressive mid level trof and associated surface cold front
over the Eastern Great Lakes will continue to push off to the
east today. Northwest to westerly flow aloft with surface high
pressure currently centered over the Mid MS Valley building
into the area today. Post frontal low clouds over the Scioto
River Valley will continue drift south and slowly decrease in
coverage into early this aftn as drier air advects into the
region.
Otherwise...expect flat fair weather cumulus development this
aftn. Temperatures today are expected rise to highs ranging from
the upper 60s to lower 70s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
Dry conditions will be in place through the short term. With
clear to mostly clear skies tonight along with light winds, fog
will be possible. The best chance for fog will be across
southern and southeastern portions of the region, however there
are some indications that anywhere near and south of Interstate
70 will have the chance for at least patchy fog. Temperatures
will be cool with lows in the 40s expected areawide.
On Thursday, pretty quickly get switched to WAA. Temperatures in
the middle to upper 70s are expected with little in the way of
cloud cover.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Progressive pattern with a relatively low amplitude short wave
passing through the Great Lakes on Friday and then a more robust
short wave on Sunday that will get absorbed into a developing long
wave from Hudson Bay to New England for the early part of next week.
The first system will push a rather weak cold front through the
area. This will pass through dry on Friday with only some clouds
associated with it. The second system will bring a stronger cold
front with showers developing along the boundary as it passes
through the area on Sunday. So the chance of rain will be higher in
eastern counties than western.
Temperatures will be above normal through the weekend with only a
very minor cool down on Saturday in the wake of the first front.
Temperatures will then become near or perhaps even a bit below
normal for early next week after the second front.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Northwest to westerly flow aloft with surface high pressure
currently centered over the Mid MS Valley building into the area
today/tonight.
Post frontal low clouds over the Scioto River Valley have
drifted south and decreased in coverage. Few to scattered
shallow cumulus clouds will give way to clearing as drier air is
advected into the region. Fog will be most dense across the
south. Have a mention of MVFR to IFR visibility restrictions at
KCVG, KLUK and KILN.
The fog will improve Thursday morning with VFR conditions
returning. Only expect a few cumulus clouds and some thin high
level thru the remainder of the day.
OUTLOOK....Fog may reduce visibility into Friday morning.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...AR
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...AR
Source:
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 2, 2:08 PM EDT---------------
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