[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 30, 16:24z for portions of IWX

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 30, 16:24z for portions of IWX

683 
WUUS01 KWNS 301625
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 AM CDT FRI AUG 30 2024

VALID TIME 301630Z - 311200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   44208340 44208303 44028262 43378241 42808235 42238285
       42088323 42168388 42598404 43178422 43558426 44018412
       44208340
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   42907963 41357981 40338191 39018718 37909091 38329186
       39179187 39749113 40309023 41718741 43308561 44628456
       45168188
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   37128150 38067991 37977910 37107850 36727799 36477660
       36157579 35107575 34617673 34957800 34658077 33828248
       33698319 34118388 34728418 37128150
0.05   42907963 41347980 40198191 38748672 37709058 37329209
       37259320 37429375 37819378 38149352 39339222 41328868
       43368565 44628455 45178186
0.15   42608200 42088325 42158390 42618407 43258418 43518421
       43748414 44018344 44228190
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   42608200 42088325 42158390 42618407 43268419 43518421
       43748415 44018343 44228190
MRGL   42907963 41347980 40198191 38748672 37719056 37329208
       37259319 37429375 37819377 38149353 39339222 41338867
       43368565 44628455 45178186
MRGL   37138149 38067990 37987910 37107851 36727799 36477660
       36157579 35117575 34617673 34957800 34658077 33828248
       33698319 34118388 34728418 37138149
TSTM   31311317 32481311 33151344 33991415 35031500 36221451
       36871375 37081180 36941110 37341040 38320856 38560811
       39240698 39820632 40070569 40010470 39720435 39200412
       37200405 36460325 36400099 36749894 37749700 40449349
       42328946 44638658 48178434 99999999 45517292 45207298
       44017331 43167384 41477709 40267822 39697866 39097803
       38767717 38517610 38357517 38387434 99999999 33157860
       33267964 32978118 32518272 31768371 30898385 30368262
       30278152 30438071 99999999 29049718 29879670 31679575
       32109612 32249675 31979741 31129780 30229821 29529846
       28979859 28799850 28729829 28689776 29049718

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E
MTC 10 SSE DTW 10 WSW ARB 30 ESE LAN 20 SSW MBS MBS 15 NNW MBS 25 NW
BAX 60 ENE BAX.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W
BUF FKL 15 N ZZV 30 S BMG 10 WSW FAM 30 S TBN 10 ENE SGF 25 WNW SGF
45 NNW SGF 40 S SZL 35 N COU MMO 30 ENE MKG 20 NNE HTL 85 E APN.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW
BLF 30 NE SSU 25 SSW SHD 40 NW AVC AVC 25 WNW ECG 25 ESE ECG 10 SW
HSE 35 SSE EWN 25 WNW OAJ 40 SSE CLT 45 NW AGS 20 SSE AHN 35 WNW AHN
60 ESE CHA 20 SW BLF.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 SSW GBN 40 SW GBN
45 WNW GBN 40 NE BLH 30 NW EED 35 ENE LAS 15 SSW SGU 20 WNW PGA 20 E
PGA 20 SE U17 40 WSW MTJ 10 WNW MTJ ASE 35 ENE EGE 45 SW FCL 20 NNE
DEN 30 E DEN 25 W LIC 15 ESE TAD CAO 35 SE GUY 15 W AVK 25 ENE ICT
25 ESE LWD 20 WNW RFD 30 NNW MBL 120 N ANJ ...CONT... 55 NW EFK 40
WNW EFK 35 SSW BTV 15 SW GFL 15 NNW IPT AOO 40 WNW MRB 20 S MRB 10
SW DCA 25 NE NHK 20 E SBY 65 E SBY ...CONT... 40 SSE CRE 35 NE CHS
40 SSW OGB 30 NW VDI 35 ENE ABY 15 SSW MGR 50 SE VLD 20 SSE JAX 50
NE SGJ ...CONT... 20 NW VCT 55 SSW CLL 45 ESE CRS 15 ENE CRS 25 NW
CRS 25 NNW ACT 25 W TPL 30 W AUS SAT 40 S SAT 50 ENE COT 45 WNW NIR
20 NNW NIR 20 NW VCT.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 30, 16:24z for portions of IWX

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