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479 FXUS64 KMOB 242103AFDMOBArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Mobile AL402 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2024...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE....NEAR TERM...(Now through Sunday night)Issued at 402 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2024Drier conditions continue through the weekend as upper level ridging begins to build into the southeast. A subtle upper low will continue to retrograde westward over the northern Gulf and wewill move onto the eastern side of this low on Sunday. The rest of being sandwiched between the upper low and upper high gives us a mostly dry forecast on Sunday with only an isolated shot of a shower along the immediate coast. Subsidence and dry air will likely squash any feeble attempts at storms. Temperatures will continue to range in the low 90s; however, with the strengthening ridge we may sneak some mid 90s in tomorrow. Lows will begin to slowly increase as some very shallow low level moisture moves northward along the coast. Overall, Sunday into Sunday night will be rather similar to today. The high risk of rip currents will likely drop to moderate tonight and remain moderate throughout theweek as the upper level low moves further west. BB/03&&.SHORT AND LONG TERM... (Monday through Saturday) Issued at 402 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2024An upper level low will continue to translate westward intosouthern portions of Texas on Monday while upper level ridgingmeanwhile builds into the north central Gulf Coast region. Theupper level ridge of high pressure will maintain a strong presenceacross the Deep South Tuesday and Wednesday. The ridge then weakenssomewhat late this week into the first part of the upcoming weekend.Deep layer subsidence and dry air underneath the upper level ridgeaxis should allow for continued dry weather conditions across interior portions of southeast MS and southwest/south central AL through Wednesday. Isolated to locally scattered showers and thunderstorms may develop along coastal portions of the forecast area each day Monday through Wednesday along the seabreeze. Deep layer moisture should improve across our forecast area late this week and into the upcoming weekend, so the chances for showers andthunderstorms should trend upward Thursday through Saturday. Highs each day generally range in the mid 90s inland and around 90degrees to the lower 90s along the immediate coast. A few locationsover interior portions of southeast MS and southwest/south centralAL could reach into the upper 90s Tuesday-Friday. Heat index values should trend higher by the middle to latter part of the week with maximum readings potentially ranging between 103-108 degrees. A MODERATE rip current risk continues along area beaches Monday and Monday night before trending LOW Tuesday and Wednesday. /21&&.MARINE...Issued at 402 PM CDT Sat Aug 24 2024High-end exercise caution conditions persist across the Gulf waters this morning with gusts up to 25 knots. Exercise caution conditions will persist through early this afternoon with another round of near exercise caution conditions expected again tonight. Chances for showers and storms remain higher in the overnight hours and should persist through early each morning. 07/mb&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...Mobile 74 93 73 95 73 94 75 94 / 10 20 10 20 10 20 10 30 Pensacola 76 92 76 93 77 93 78 93 / 20 20 10 20 10 30 20 30 Destin 77 91 78 92 77 92 78 93 / 20 20 10 20 10 30 20 20 Evergreen 69 93 68 95 69 97 71 98 / 0 0 0 10 0 10 0 10 Waynesboro 71 94 67 95 68 97 70 98 / 0 10 0 0 0 10 0 10 Camden 69 93 67 93 68 95 72 97 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 Crestview 71 94 71 95 71 95 72 96 / 20 20 10 20 10 20 10 20 &&.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...AL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.FL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204- 206.MS...None.GM...None.&&$$This product is also available on the web at:www.weather.gov/mob
