The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 30, 5:42z for portions of PAH970
WUUS01 KWNS 300544
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 AM CDT FRI AUG 30 2024
VALID TIME 301200Z - 311200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 44208340 44208303 44028262 43378241 42808235 42238285
42088323 42168388 42598404 43178422 43558426 44018412
44208340
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 42907963 41357981 40238183 38738677 37729057 38219324
39619250 42368778 43358567 44628456 45168188
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 42907963 41347980 40198191 38748672 37719056 38209325
39649246 42368778 43368565 44628454 45258144
0.05 37138149 37798041 38067991 37987911 37107851 36727799
36477660 36167580 35127574 34617673 34957800 34658077
34208178 33828248 33698319 34118388 34728418 37138149
0.15 42608200 42088325 42158390 42618407 43258418 43508422
43748416 44028345 44248187
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 42608200 42088325 42158390 42618407 43268419 43518421
43748415 44018343 44228190
MRGL 37138149 38067990 37987910 37107851 36727799 36477660
36157579 35117575 34617673 34957800 34658077 33828248
33698319 34118388 34728418 37138149
MRGL 42907963 41347980 40198191 38748672 37719056 38209325
39619250 42368778 43368565 44628455 45178186
TSTM 29049718 29879670 31679575 32109612 32249675 31979741
31129780 30229821 29529846 28979859 28799850 28729829
28689776 29049718 99999999 30598243 30618135 30978059
32527908 32997884 33307925 33267988 32358103 31958178
31898290 31708357 31288375 30918353 30728302 30598243
99999999 45517292 45207298 44017331 43127375 42547486
41917516 41437500 40987466 40847371 40977268 40777150
40637121 40487105 99999999 31331318 31791301 32321250
32751231 33171255 33321347 33751475 35551575 36901482
37311363 37471244 37021167 36941110 37341040 38320856
38560811 39240698 39820632 40070569 40010470 39720435
39240398 37980385 37260364 36790298 36890163 37239991
37869863 38819707 39929495 40869335 42359112 44638882
48098681
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E
MTC 10 SSE DTW 10 WSW ARB 30 ESE LAN 20 SSW MBS MBS 15 NNW MBS 25 NW
BAX 60 ENE BAX.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW
BLF 30 NE SSU 25 SSW SHD 40 NW AVC AVC 25 WNW ECG 25 ESE ECG 10 SW
HSE 35 SSE EWN 25 WNW OAJ 40 SSE CLT 45 NW AGS 20 SSE AHN 35 WNW AHN
60 ESE CHA 20 SW BLF.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W
BUF FKL 15 N ZZV 30 S BMG 10 WSW FAM 40 SSE SZL 35 S IRK 30 S RAC 30
ENE MKG 20 NNE HTL 85 E APN.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW VCT 55 SSW CLL
45 ESE CRS 15 ENE CRS 25 NW CRS 25 NNW ACT 25 W TPL 30 W AUS SAT 40
S SAT 50 ENE COT 45 WNW NIR 20 NNW NIR 20 NW VCT ...CONT... 45 W JAX
20 ENE JAX 50 ESE SSI 60 ESE CHS 50 S CRE 30 SW CRE 25 NNE CHS 20
NNE SAV 35 WSW SAV 35 WSW VDI 40 ENE ABY 15 NNE MGR 15 WNW VLD 15
ESE VLD 45 W JAX ...CONT... 55 NW EFK 40 WNW EFK 35 SSW BTV 15 SSW
GFL 50 SSE UCA 25 NW MSV 20 SSW MSV 30 NW EWR 15 NNE JFK 25 ENE ISP
30 S BID 40 SSE BID 55 SSE BID ...CONT... 115 SSW GBN 80 SSW GBN 45
SSE GBN 25 ESE GBN 20 NNE GBN 50 WNW GBN 10 N BLH 50 SW LAS 50 SSW
P38 15 N SGU 20 SW BCE 15 WNW PGA 20 E PGA 20 SE U17 40 WSW MTJ 10
WNW MTJ ASE 35 ENE EGE 45 SW FCL 20 NNE DEN 30 E DEN 15 W LIC 20 WSW
LHX 40 E TAD 25 NNE CAO 15 NNW GUY 35 S DDC 40 N P28 30 SW MHK 10 N
STJ 35 SSW OXV 20 W DBQ 35 WNW GRB 100 NE CMX.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 30, 5:42z for portions of PAH---------------
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