Author Topic: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 29, 0:44z for portions of PAH  (Read 520 times)

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 29, 0:44z for portions of PAH

526 
WUUS01 KWNS 290046
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0744 PM CDT WED AUG 28 2024

VALID TIME 290100Z - 291200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   47770068 48140020 48059902 47429808 45949729 43879794
       43459874 43690100 45140117 47130058 47770068
0.05   47179929 46739887 45819867 45069914 45110008 45560035
       46610018 47060019 47179929
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49249742 46939680 44069762 43449872 42970015 43330160
       44750175 47230112 49390176
0.15   44569829 43799957 43940125 45150121 47260058 48250090
       48469970 48279871 47409806 46409777 44569829
0.30   46300014 47049997 47109923 46639887 45879883 45379928
       45189998 45420048 46300014
SIGN   45599874 44119919 43809955 44170087 45830059 47340035
       47660007 47439928 47009866 45599874
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   49219557 47449575 44059759 43439872 42980020 43340160
       44750171 47200109 49370173
0.05   37947483 38307614 38417993 38398202 38018580 37168938
       36409141 36739253 37789222 39108749 39618185 39907770
       40807676 40877476 40007313
0.15   44579828 43819959 43960123 45150121 47240058 48240090
       48479970 48299874 47409807 46409777 44579828
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    45420049 46250016 47059994 47119923 46669889 45909881
       45379928 45189998 45420049
SLGT   48250090 48479970 48279871 47409806 46409777 44579828
       43799957 43940125 45140121 47210058 48250090
MRGL   49219557 47449575 44059759 43439872 42970015 43330160
       44750173 47180109 49380177
MRGL   37947483 38307614 38378197 37998586 37168930 36409141
       36739253 37779209 39068745 39578204 39877771 40817676
       40867478 40017314
TSTM   28380261 30460350 31620315 32790136 33019853 33369573
       33139465 32169367 32149252 32899103 33358906 33438662
       32408421 31128302 29558243 28808170 28988073 29718030
       29917967 99999999 36897488 37597741 37817970 37688324
       37258623 36688856 35859096 35339266 35399402 36019560
       36709709 37359751 38129686 38499535 38999373 39849240
       40199078 40108849 40188635 40458416 40698389 41338407
       42818395 43128341 42988224 42208076 41657874 41787625
       41647481 41137346 40107210 99999999 49339339 47489368
       45309464 44369464 44189310 43599190 42699202 41879431
       41909567 42379676 42599787 42419948 42030099 40870199
       40480259 40510369 41190418 42800374 43920347 44840349
       50260380 99999999 31491287 32231278 33011233 34281299
       35201241 35471118 36491041 37720953 38470715 37800509
       37910378 37210300 34490359 32170454 30240569

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW
MBG 45 SE BIS 45 ENE BIS 30 WNW JMS 20 SSW JMS 35 NNW ABR 40 W ABR
35 SE MBG 10 SSW MBG.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E
MOT 45 NW DVL 15 NE DVL 45 NE JMS 55 SE JMS 15 N HON 15 W 9V9 20 ESE
PHP 45 SW MBG 30 NNE BIS 20 E MOT.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW
RRT 40 W BJI 30 NE MHE 40 SE 9V9 20 ENE VTN 50 S PHP 50 N PHP 30 NNW
BIS 80 NNW MOT.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E
WAL 15 E NHK 20 W CRW 15 SSW SDF 15 ESE CGI 35 NW ARG 35 W UNO TBN
30 SSW HUF 25 NNE UNI 10 N HGR 30 SSE IPT 35 WNW EWR 55 S ISP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 SSW 6R6 30 ENE
MRF 10 SSE INK 40 NNE BGS 30 WNW MWL 25 SW PRX 45 WSW TXK 20 SSE SHV
40 SW MLU 40 S GLH 40 WSW CBM 10 SE BHM 40 WSW MCN 30 NNE VLD 15 SW
GNV 30 NW ORL 25 SE DAB 60 NE DAB 95 ENE DAB ...CONT... 75 E ORF 10
NW RIC 35 E SSU 10 NE JKL 20 NNE BWG 30 SSE PAH 15 W JBR 25 ENE RUE
20 ENE FSM 20 SE TUL PNC 20 SSW ICT 40 WSW EMP 40 SW OJC 20 NNW SZL
20 SSE IRK 30 NE UIN 10 WNW CMI 30 N IND 40 N DAY 25 SSW FDY 20 SW
TOL 15 SW FNT 20 ENE FNT 40 NE MTC 30 WNW ERI 10 SSW BFD 30 SSW BGM
MSV 20 W BDR 70 SE ISP ...CONT... 55 N INL 40 W HIB 35 WSW STC 25
ESE RWF 35 WNW RST 40 SE RST 20 ENE ALO 40 NW DSM 15 WSW DNS 20 W
SUX 35 SW YKN 30 ESE ANW MHN 30 NW IML 40 ENE AKO 35 NW AKO 35 E CYS
30 W CDR 25 WSW RAP 50 S 2WX 145 N ISN ...CONT... 100 S GBN 50 S GBN
20 ENE GBN 40 SW PRC 40 N PRC 35 NE FLG 65 ESE PGA 10 NNW 4BL 15 WSW
GUC 45 SW PUB 15 WSW LHX 20 WSW SPD 15 WNW CVS 20 SW CNM 100 W MRF.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 29, 0:44z for portions of PAH

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