[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 19, 5:51z for portions of BOX

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 19, 5:51z for portions of BOX

518 
WUUS01 KWNS 190552
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1251 AM CDT MON AUG 19 2024

VALID TIME 191200Z - 201200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   45581122 45231342 45461451 46321494 47031436 47341359
       47601208 47581134 47031058 46451009 45811043 45581122
0.05   49520413 46340362 44400320 41260303 39540295 38500306
       37830363 37820499 38890525 41530514 44240569 45480670
       46610720 49510716
0.05   32729290 33269273 33249202 32289142 30309106 29449154
       29459239 29629267 32729290
0.15   40280466 40800460 41070405 40630363 39310364 38580378
       38240419 38240456 38570481 39850471 40280466
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   34127611 34627757 35377928 35997988 36877946 38367806
       40047613 41897496 42857451 43297409 43837346 44237249
       44017096 43187030 42407057 41797149 40407292 38827318
0.05   28889269 32179290 33249288 33969268 34059228 33419170
       31729081 30999047 28388972
0.05   29608633 30258431 30658222 30898072 99999999 29778065
       29038372
0.05   49370309 46970270 39340218 38050268 37610352 37840500
       39020535 41780580 42190659 42180767 40850954 38681056
       38011226 37961309 38211416 39991465 41261474 42971407
       43851313 44551235 45021252 45241401 45431457 46501498
       47901444 49861339
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   40800460 41070405 40630363 39310364 38580378 38240419
       38240456 38570481 40800460
MRGL   29648620 30258431 30898072 99999999 29778065 29038372
MRGL   49370309 46850268 39590218 38200252 37590352 37820499
       39020535 41780580 42190659 42180767 40850954 38681056
       38011226 37961309 38331428 40021466 41251470 43051402
       44011297 44551235 45021252 45431457 46501498 47901444
       49521357
MRGL   28949269 32659293 33309284 33939262 34019222 33349161
       31419063 28388972
MRGL   34127611 34627757 35377928 35997988 36877946 38427810
       39767634 40867559 42897445 43857341 44197247 44017087
       43107027 42447050 41907134 41227215 40407292 40027298
TSTM   49830130 47740141 46450068 44399854 41369837 39939738
       38449484 37429325 36429190 35219138 33209066 31508993
       30438894 30008778 30248637 30728566 31398328 32028125
       33198077 34208229 34988333 36358366 38068233 38698081
       39757795 40977688 42567719 45987389 99999999 28779360
       31259410 35179575 36019692 36449821 36500172 35840523
       35040686 32970798 30810816 99999999 31471338 32931298
       33401247 33911298 34691417 36171516 39401546 41711514
       42921431 43661426 43901506 44551607 45551617 47581610
       49631501

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE
CYS 40 E CYS 40 NW AKO LIC 40 NNW LHX 15 E PUB PUB 20 SSW COS 25 SSE
CYS.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW
PFN 10 SSE TLH 45 ESE SSI ...CONT... 45 ESE SGJ 55 SW CTY.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NNE
ISN DIK 25 NNE ITR 15 NE LAA 30 S LHX 40 SW PUB 35 WNW COS 30 NNW
LAR 40 NE RWL 35 NW RWL 30 N VEL 20 NNE 4HV 20 NNW BCE 20 N CDC 50
NNE P38 50 N ELY 50 NW ENV 35 SSE SUN 50 SW MQM MQM 15 S DLN 40 WNW
SMN 40 NE P69 30 SSW GPI 80 NW CTB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SSW
7R4 40 S ELD ELD 45 WSW PBF 20 WSW PBF 20 SSE LLQ 20 NNW MCB 70 SSW
BVE.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SSW
HSE 15 S OAJ 10 NNE SOP 10 SSE GSO 20 NNW DAN 30 NE CHO 40 W ILG 15
NNW ABE 35 WNW ALB 30 NW RUT MPV 30 SE MWN 25 E PSM 25 E BOS 15 NNE
PVD 10 SW GON 30 SSE ISP 55 S ISP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 N MOT N60 25 S
BIS 15 W HON 25 N GRI 30 NNE CNK 30 SSW OJC 15 NNE SGF 25 S UNO 40
SSE BVX 25 SE GLH 35 W PIB 10 ENE GPT 50 SW PNS 40 SSE CEW 30 WSW
MAI 35 NE MGR 10 SSW SAV 20 SSE OGB 30 SE AND 50 NW AND 40 NNE TYS
25 SSE HTS 50 ENE CRW 15 WNW HGR 20 S IPT 30 NNW ELM 85 NNE MSS
...CONT... 80 ESE GLS 40 E LFK 20 N MLC 20 NNW CQB 15 WNW END 20 SW
GUY 15 NNW LVS 15 W ABQ 25 NNE SVC 95 ESE DUG ...CONT... 110 SE YUM
15 W GBN 25 W PHX 60 SSW PRC 25 ESE EED LAS 30 ESE P68 55 ESE OWY 30
NNE TWF 10 N SUN 45 NW SUN 25 S MYL 45 N MYL 35 W 3TH 95 NNW GPI.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 19, 5:51z for portions of BOX

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