[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 16, 17:29z for portions of IND

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 16, 17:29z for portions of IND

819 
WUUS02 KWNS 161730
PTSDY2

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT FRI AUG 16 2024

VALID TIME 171200Z - 181200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... TORNADO ...

0.02   38318556 38798427 38708348 38368320 37868329 37378353
       36828416 36818459 36968542 37258616 37638628 38318556
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   33759090 34249337 34999440 36079467 36599413 36409321
       35789237 35858996 36538886 37208777 38348705 39288572
       39568499 40128351 40108226 39808166 39318136 38608173
       37858212 37378264 36708368 35588517 34288629 33938689
       33698776 33688885 33759090
0.05   49340367 47390311 46370313 46300365 46600434 49340646
0.05   40140270 40700217 40650132 40300098 39870051 39430048
       38840089 38480130 38400208 38500245 39030273 40140270
0.05   43402135 41732236 41292304 41432344 41872354 43092332
       44802308 45672297 46592255 47192206 47392122 46522062
       44922083 43402135
0.15   38728355 38288381 37798432 37358511 37198567 37368621
       37678626 38018617 38368577 38748544 39018491 39138463
       39148411 39058369 38728355
0.15   42832286 44682248 45892217 46312200 46482172 46222139
       44772146 44052175 43442209 42902245 42832286
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   44337679 42037671 39927640 38817651 37407709 36667814
       36537885 36128026 35298219 34218434 33348545 32528688
       32358931 32519004 33019111 33899300 35029442 35519418
       35829365 35649228 35758989 36518891 38678699 39708506
       40578377 41618297 42268263 42878188
0.05   39430298 39950274 40330218 40410158 40350106 39910049
       39340047 38560101 38170138 38130237 38620302 39430298
0.05   49430386 48460345 47300319 46300316 46240355 46850422
       49370621
0.05   41601275 41641141 41521000 40910854 40160833 39250849
       37531014 35641177 35501219 35971416 37041465 38641473
       39791461 40761442 41601275
0.05   42002253 42002311 42312327 43082330 45662296 46512296
       47202240 47782183 48062085 48081981 47601934 46841890
       46301913 45801964 44692067 43412144 42392210 42002253
0.15   36808390 36368499 36348602 36488652 36808684 37688640
       38588562 39068458 39138347 38958250 38458213 37818233
       37368296 36808390
0.15   46742070 45992081 45582088 44942107 44522160 44532218
       45622220 46412213 46772161 46742070
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   38018617 38748544 39138463 39138347 38958250 38458213
       37818233 36808390 36368499 36348602 36488652 36808684
       38018617
SLGT   45852218 46412213 46772161 46742070 45582088 44942107
       44572154 44052175 42902245 42832286 45852218
MRGL   44337679 42037671 39927640 38817651 37407709 36667814
       36128026 35298219 34218434 33348545 32528688 32358931
       32519004 33899300 35029442 36079467 36599413 36409321
       35789237 35858996 36518891 38678699 39708506 40578377
       41398299 42348244 43118158
MRGL   45692296 46512296 47782183 48062085 48081981 47601934
       46841890 46301913 44692067 41732236 41292304 41432344
       41872354 45692296
MRGL   49340367 47390311 46370313 46300316 46240355 46600434
       49340646
MRGL   40761442 41601275 41641141 41521000 40910854 40160833
       39250849 37531014 35641177 35501219 35971416 37041465
       38641473 40761442
MRGL   39430298 39970270 40700217 40650132 39910049 39340047
       38560101 38170138 38130237 38620302 39430298
TSTM   45637445 43597495 42617451 40957336 38977389 37327567
       35687805 34897983 32748214 31088404 29688667 99999999
       26248258 27218163 27118049 26157938 99999999 28009589
       28469644 29139658 30049609 31289420 31989394 32769607
       32569773 33259999 33290253 33310365 32640517 32340658
       31250750 99999999 31521326 33301296 33921354 36581515
       39401571 41281595 42541471 42821284 42050872 41460509
       41540379 43090320 47240584 49930862 99999999 49860223
       47220158 45600067 42349834 40499831 39539828 38519686
       38049530 36589182 36759016 37858954 39208790 40008770
       41208999 42289224 43729386 44459345 44789250 44699082
       45208964 46378838 46608620 47238377 99999999 49531730
       47771726 46281870 44772006 42692083 40472171 39542297
       39932513

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW
SDF 40 NNE SDF 10 W LUK 50 E LUK 25 SW UNI 25 ENE HTS 40 SSE HTS 20
SSE LOZ 30 N CSV 40 ENE BNA 25 NNE BNA 25 WSW BWG 25 WSW SDF.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE
PDX 55 SE OLM 50 WNW YKM 15 NNW YKM 15 E DLS 45 S DLS 30 NW RDM 35
WSW RDM 40 NNE MFR 30 N MFR 30 NE PDX.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 WNW
ART 15 SE ELM 30 SE CXY 25 SSE BWI 15 ESE RIC AVC 20 W GSO 20 ESE
AVL 40 N ATL 30 SE ANB 15 NNE SEM 35 W MEI 70 S GWO 40 S HOT 10 E
RKR 30 W FYV 25 SSW UMN 10 NNW HRO 30 S FLP 35 WSW DYR 40 SSW PAH 40
SSW BMG 40 SSE MIE 30 S FDY 45 NE FDY 25 SE MTC 70 ENE MTC.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW
PDX 30 S OLM 30 NE SEA 55 NNW EAT 30 SSW OMK 20 NNE EPH 45 SE EPH 45
WNW ALW 40 NE RDM 30 N MHS 35 W MHS 45 NE ACV 35 E CEC 20 WNW PDX.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 N
ISN 45 NNW DIK 35 SSW DIK 40 SSW DIK 35 ESE BHK 15 NNW BHK 80 N GGW.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W
ENV 45 SSW MLD 30 NW EVW 50 W RKS 55 SSE RKS 50 WSW CAG 10 NNE GJT
30 E U17 30 SE GCN 30 S GCN 50 NNW IGM 40 S P38 45 S ELY 20 W ENV.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE
LIC 30 ESE AKO 30 WNW IML 20 ENE IML 20 SSE MCK 35 W HLC 45 NNW GCK
40 WNW GCK 15 ENE LAA 40 NNW LAA 40 ENE LIC.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE MSS 40 NE UCA
35 WSW ALB 20 NW ISP 50 SE ACY 40 NE ORF 15 SW RWI 35 SW SOP 40 NNE
VDI 15 W MGR 60 SSE PNS ...CONT... 50 WSW FMY 35 SSW AGR 35 S VRB 55
SE PBI ...CONT... 55 SSE PSX 20 SSW PSX 30 NE VCT 40 SSE CLL 35 E
LFK 35 SSW SHV 45 E DAL 25 SE MWL 60 NNW ABI 50 WSW LBB 50 NNW HOB
55 ESE ALM 40 NNW ELP 70 S DMN ...CONT... 105 SSW GBN 30 NNW GBN 70
ENE BLH 35 N LAS 15 ESE P68 35 NNW EKO 15 WNW TWF 15 WSW PIH 35 NNE
RKS 25 NNW CYS 25 SSW BFF 20 NNW CDR 50 W GDV 110 NNE HVR ...CONT...
120 NNW MOT 30 SSW N60 15 WNW MBG 20 ESE ONL 10 SE HSI 35 W CNK 40
WNW EMP 30 NNE CNU 10 SSE UNO 15 E POF 15 WNW MDH 30 SE MTO 15 SSW
DNV 30 ESE MLI 20 SSE ALO 30 E FRM 30 NE MKT 35 E MSP 35 ESE EAU 20
N AUW 40 NNW IMT 65 E MQT 60 NNE ANJ ...CONT... 125 NE OMK 15 NE GEG
25 WNW ALW 65 NE RDM 40 NNW LKV 35 NE RBL 30 NNE UKI 80 SW EKA.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 16, 17:29z for portions of IND

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