[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 17, 0:51z for portions of PAH

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 17, 0:51z for portions of PAH

678 
WUUS01 KWNS 170052
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0751 PM CDT FRI AUG 16 2024

VALID TIME 170100Z - 171200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   34289892 34060094 34250188 34680206 35410076 36289981
       37039903 37909748 38299495 36949111 35769067 34339200
       33869361 34729565 34839739 34289892
0.15   35189457 35909691 36219909 37089848 37609684 37599529
       36389190 35409237 34969324 35189457
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   36969093 35728835 34098823 33478924 33189193 34689561
       34839744 34259892 34050091 34230188 34680207 35450075
       37059902 37929750 38289493 36969093
0.15   36209909 37079849 37619688 37599525 36959348 36379189
       35399239 34959326 35189456 35919691 36209909
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   35899694 36209910 37089848 37619687 37589530 36389190
       35399238 34959326 35179458 35899694
MRGL   34098827 33448929 33189201 34709565 34829746 34289895
       34060093 34240190 34690207 35420075 37039900 37929746
       38289501 36979107 35728839 34098827
TSTM   45407544 41787543 39987631 37357777 35777998 34158258
       33368362 31908579 31168652 30748658 29768615 29398580
       99999999 25998241 25587942 99999999 29159353 30829359
       31839306 32769379 33419673 33060029 32160588 30730617
TSTM   31571317 32511252 33371211 34521295 35581237 35811078
       35150967 35180798 35250721 35460624 36020555 36900539
       37890528 38380442 38150358 37960160 38319973 39139758
       39089624 38749456 38079207 37228981 35718677 35448527
       35808370 36838200 37858195 38468268 39068365 39988390
       40418502 40348770 40648989 41679062 42418954 43278882
       44498893 45459019 46639243 47579254 48939024
TSTM   49880603 48560525 46570433 43410172 42600190 42910352
       45020770 45270917 44481198 44311374 44821454 46131415
       46931308 48321337 48851428 48741620 48411830 48372008
       48742074 49512104

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNW
CQB 45 SSW AVK 15 SSE P28 30 E ICT 10 ESE CNU 25 S UNO 40 ENE RUE 25
SSW RUE 10 N RKR 15 NNW CQB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE
TUP 45 E GWO 35 SSW LLQ 15 SSE MLC 35 ESE CHK 30 SE LTS 45 SW CDS 10
WNW PVW 40 NNW PVW 40 ESE BGD 25 NW AVK 20 N ICT 40 SSW OJC 35 WNW
POF 30 ENE MKL 30 ESE TUP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NW MSS 35 W MSV 30
ESE CXY 25 WSW RIC 25 S GSO 25 SSE AND 45 SSW AHN 15 E TOI 25 N CEW
CEW 40 SW PFN 50 WSW AAF ...CONT... 40 WSW APF 55 ESE MIA ...CONT...
65 SSE BPT 30 WSW POE IER 20 N SHV 20 S GYI 55 NW ABI 40 NE ELP 75 S
ELP.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 SSW GBN 30 SSE
GBN PHX 30 WSW PRC 30 SSW GCN 55 N INW 55 WSW GUP GNT 35 WNW ABQ 15
SW SAF 35 NW LVS 45 SE ALS 45 NE ALS 10 NNE PUB 10 NNW LHX 50 W GCK
40 NNE DDC 25 N SLN 25 E MHK 10 SE OJC 15 WSW VIH 15 W CGI 30 S BNA
30 N CHA 15 E TYS 35 NE TRI 40 SSW CRW 10 NW HTS 40 E LUK 20 ENE DAY
25 ENE MIE 10 NNW DNV 10 W PIA 15 NNW MLI 25 WNW RFD 25 ENE MSN 40 W
GRB 35 WSW RHI 20 SW DLH 20 NE HIB 80 N GNA.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 NNE GGW 35 NNE
OLF 15 NNW BHK 45 S PHP 55 NW MHN 20 WNW CDR 40 WNW SHR 50 SW BIL 20
ESE MQM 55 S SMN 40 WSW SMN 55 S MSO 20 N 3DU 40 E GPI 35 N GPI 90
NNW 3TH 55 E OMK 25 WSW OMK 60 WNW OMK 85 NE BLI.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 17, 0:51z for portions of PAH

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