Author Topic: [Alert]IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 7, 6:43 AM EDT  (Read 697 times)

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IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 7, 6:43 AM EDT

718 
FXUS63 KIWX 071043
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
643 AM EDT Wed Aug 7 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Clear to partly cloudy skies all of the way through early next
  week. No rain is expected at this time.

- Generally seasonably cool with low humidity. Highs mostly in
  the 70s, although warm Thursday with highs around 80 to 85.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 314 AM EDT Wed Aug 7 2024

A long, dry and relatively cool period is ahead through early next
week as an omega type upper block sets up over western Canada. This
block will basically work in tandem with the extension of the
subtropical ridge that has built and settled into the southwest
CONUS, helping to slow movement of systems. A large upper low
over Ontario Province will likely bring some clouds near and
north of the Michigan border Saturday, but GFS BUKFIT soundings
appear too dry to support rain. This system will be very slow to
lift northeast and will likely be just lifting out of the area
Monday. Next week, there will be a very slow transition to a
warm pattern as the large southwest upper ridge slowly builds
northeast. Have removed blended chances for showers next week,
keep the entire forecast dry. Very warm weather appears poised
to return after the end of the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 643 AM EDT Wed Aug 7 2024

Post frontal MVFR based stratus shield had eroded out invof KSBN but
will take until this aftn to reach KFWA time with more vigorous
subsident mixing/drying. Otherwise gusty northeast winds up to 20kts
with peak mixing this aftn.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...Beach Hazards Statement until 10 AM CDT this morning for
     INZ103.
OH...None.
MI...Beach Hazards Statement until 11 AM EDT this morning for
     MIZ177-277.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 5 PM EDT this afternoon for LMZ043-
     046.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Skipper
AVIATION...T

Source: IWX issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Aug 7, 6:43 AM EDT

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