[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 4, 12:54z for portions of BOX

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 4, 12:54z for portions of BOX

391 
WUUS01 KWNS 041256
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0754 AM CDT SUN AUG 04 2024

VALID TIME 041300Z - 051200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   29358459 30418434 31088380 31668251 31858054
0.05   29488431 30098428 30778330 30898138 30318137 29198096
       26998124 26068170 25818212
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   45689629 45769514 44439021 43538928 42089031 41869169
       41869334 42059474 42539639 44119747 45219751 45689629
0.05   46017069 45956871 45986738 99999999 45336679 44306908
       43737100 42957242 41877378 41577497 41967614 42517632
       43327551 44797450 45357447
0.05   47370820 47180520 46500292 45550320 44770534 44980767
       45440943 46351013 46910987 47370820
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   47360821 47170515 46490292 45540320 44760533 44380730
       44320901 44631009 45591058 46331053 46900987 47360821
0.05   29328461 30408435 31098381 31658254 31818053
0.05   46467079 46226853 46496730 99999999 42246940 41417176
       40487346 40337492 40987580 42527633 43337550 44817449
       45347448
0.05   43538928 42109029 41869173 41869329 42059476 42519639
       44149747 45219750 45689629 45769515 44459022 43538928
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   29508432 30098428 30798327 30908139 30298138 29198096
       27018123 26068169 25828211
MRGL   46331053 46900987 47360821 47180516 46500293 45550321
       44760533 44380730 44320901 44631009 45591058 46331053
MRGL   45229752 45689629 45769514 44459022 43538928 42089031
       41859172 41859330 42059477 42529638 44149748 45229752
MRGL   29388460 30428434 31108381 31658253 31848051
MRGL   42256938 41387181 40477344 40347490 40977580 42527634
       43327553 44797451 45367447 99999999 46447082 46216853
       46496725
TSTM   27779654 27549829 27489979 99999999 32021446 33071455
       34131448 36311393 37831342 38911367 39171445 37921855
       38941957 40241787 41451724 42131779 42361847 42652128
       43422206 44592219 46021906 46641692 47871559 48541609
       49261774 99999999 49220156 48320020 46599491 45609273
       45159061 45128836 45938725 46558584 46768435 99999999
       43097746 43527810 41718198 41278356 40978553 41099141
       41389504 41919656 41969848 42219950 43180060 43070164
       41900299 39860322 38080405 36720419 35740466 34830463
       34280398 34630217 32910063 32029999 31469851 30629531
       30439255 31428939 35908313 36268162 38178016 40757858
       43097746

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE
AAF 20 S TLH VLD 20 SSE SSI 20 N SGJ DAB 45 S AGR 10 SE APF 30 SW
APF.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW
3HT 20 WSW LWT 65 ENE LWT 15 W GDV 20 SSW DIK 15 E 2WX 30 NNE GCC 30
SSW SHR 15 S COD 50 E WEY 10 SW LVM 35 WSW 3HT.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NW
ATY 25 NNE VVV 15 ESE AXN 35 SW CWA 30 N MSN 30 SE DBQ CID 30 NE DSM
30 E DNS 10 N SUX 35 WSW BKX 25 NW ATY.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE
AAF TLH MGR 30 NNW AYS 45 ESE SAV.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NE
HYA 15 ENE GON 20 ESE JFK TTN 25 S AVP ITH 15 NNW UCA 20 ESE MSS 35
NNE MSS ...CONT... 125 N BML 35 W HUL 35 NE HUL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 E CRP 20 SW ALI 20
WSW LRD ...CONT... 45 S YUM 30 N YUM 40 NNE BLH 55 SSW SGU 20 WNW
CDC 50 NW MLF 20 ESE ELY 40 NNW BIH 25 E TVL 40 ENE LOL 50 NE WMC 30
S REO 35 WSW REO 40 NNE LMT 75 SW RDM 45 ESE SLE 25 NNW PDT 10 SE
PUW 20 NNW 3TH 75 NNW 3TH 100 NE OMK ...CONT... 65 N MOT 50 E MOT 40
WNW BRD 55 NNE MSP 45 ENE EAU 45 NNW GRB 15 NNW ESC 70 W ANJ 20 N
ANJ ...CONT... 10 E ROC 35 NW ROC 20 NNW CLE 20 NNE FDY 20 W FWA 25
NW BRL 45 SSE DNS 20 WNW TQE 35 ENE BUB 35 NNW BUB 25 N VTN 55 WNW
VTN 15 SW AIA 20 S AKO 30 ESE PUB 15 E RTN 30 ENE LVS 65 WSW TCC 40
W CVS 40 NW PVW 65 WNW ABI 35 SSW ABI 35 SE BWD 10 SE UTS 40 WNW LFT
PIB 20 W HSS 40 NNW HKY 30 NNE SSU 35 SSE DUJ 10 E ROC.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 4, 12:54z for portions of BOX

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