ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 6, 2:45 AM EST310
FXUS61 KILN 060745
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
245 AM EST Fri Nov 6 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Frost is possible tonight and a Frost Advisory has been issued.
Temperatures at or below freezing temperatures tomorrow night may
necessitate a Freeze Warning.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A strong upper low will cross east through the lower Great Lakes
today and this weekend. This will bring cooler temperatures, and a
chance for light showers along and north of the I-70 corridor.
2) Temperatures will make a return to above normal for high
temperatures for the first half of next week, returning to near
normal for the second half.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1)
A weak cold front will cross the region early this morning as a
closed low pressure center tracks east through the lower Great Lakes
on today and Saturday. In its wake, temperatures over the Ohio
Valley will drop under northwest flow. Overnight temperatures will
drop to the low to mid 30s tonight, and a frost advisory has been
issued. Tomorrow night will see readings dropping a little more,
solidly in the lower 30s with some upper 20s possible.
KEY MESSAGE 2)
A dry forecast is expected after Friday through most of next week as
northwest flow aloft becomes more westerly. Starting Monday,
temperatures will modify a little each day, generally in the low to
mid 60s for highs and mid-upper 30s for lows. For Thursday and
Friday, a l/w trough will cross the region, bringing temperatures
back down to the 50s for highs and lower 30s for lows.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
MVFR conditions are found as a weak cold front pushes toward the
area this morning. Some light showers will skirt north of Dayton
this morning, and a few hours of IFR clouds are possible at this
terminal.
Northwest wind will pick up to around 10 kts before daybreak,
afterward, 10-15kt with gusts to 20 kts will occur in the late
morning and afternoon as the front crosses. MVFR cigs will lift and
scatter out in the late day with VFR conditions expected tonight.
OUTLOOK...MVFR cigs possible into Saturday.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM EST Saturday for
OHZ073-077>082-088.
KY...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM EST Saturday for
KYZ089>100.
IN...Frost Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM EST Saturday for
INZ073>075-080.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Franks
AVIATION...Franks
Source:
ILN issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Nov 6, 2:45 AM EST---------------
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