MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 26, 12:02 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...593
FXUS64 KMOB 260502
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1202 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
- Moderate to strong northeast winds will create hazardous
conditions for small craft over most of the marine area this
morning, potentially returning mid to late week.
- A High Risk of rip currents is expected for beach areas today,
and potentially again Thursday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1035 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026
Dry weather conditions continue to prevail across the region this
week. Highs remain in the middle to upper 70's today, with upper
70's to lower 80's becoming common the remainder of the week.
Overnight lows stay just below normal for this time of year, with
middle to upper 40's over the interior and lower 50's nearer the
coast through midweek. Lows more noticeably warm to well above
normal late week into the weekend with middle and upper 50's over
the interior and lower to middle 60's near the coast.
Upper ridging over the area through Tuesday gives way to southwest
flow aloft Wednesday. After this, ridging will once again attempt
to build in as we head into late week before a more pronounced
trough approaches the area this weekend. Warm air advection will
begin across the area late week ushering in well above normal
overnight temperatures and ample moisture into the area. Some
solutions are a bit intriguing with a more pronounced southern
stream shortwave that might try to bring a semi-favorable overlap
of shear and CAPE to the region, although this is a bit of an
outlier solution at this point. Regardless, rain chances are going
to increase this weekend with isolated to scattered showers and
storms possible, particularly west of the I-65 corridor. A High
risk of rip currents continues today, tapering to a Moderate risk
Tuesday into Wednesday before potentially increasing once again to
a High risk Thursday. MM/25
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1202 AM CDT Mon Oct 26 2026
VFR conditions prevail through the period. The current light
northeasterly winds increase this morning to around 10 knots with
periodic gusts up to 15-20 knots, especially closer to the coast.
SS/97
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1035 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026
Moderate to strong northeasterly winds prevail this morning, then
diminishing to a moderate northeasterly flow this afternoon. The
offshore flow begins to strengthen again Tuesday night, with a
moderate to occasionally strong northeasterly flow following for
Wednesday through Friday. A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect
through 1pm today for all the open gulf waters. Additional
advisories may become necessary later this week for the open gulf
waters. MM/25
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 53 79 53 80 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 59 79 60 79 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 60 79 62 79 / 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 47 80 47 79 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 48 81 47 80 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 47 78 46 77 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 49 80 51 79 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through this afternoon for FLZ202-204-206.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ650-
655-670-675.
&&
$$
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 26, 12:02 AM CDT ...New AVIATION...---------------
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