Author Topic: [Alert]PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 25, 6:01 PM CDT  (Read 27 times)

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PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 25, 6:01 PM CDT

130 
FXUS63 KPAH 252301
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
601 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Comfortably mild and pleasant temperatures are forecast to
  continue this week.

- Dry weather continues through Friday, with rain chances
  returning to the forecast next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

High pressure maintains solid hold on our weather for nearly the
entirety of this week. The model signals we've been discussing
our past few AFDs for rain chances next weekend are increasing,
but the devil is in the details, specifically wrt to timing.
Some deterministic modelling suggests a dry first half weekend
with best incoming rain chances holding off until Saturday
night-Sunday. The Blend picks up on that but may be overly
broad-brushing with its precursor rain chance Saturday. We'll
see how it plays out in time but that's something that offers a
window of opportunity for fine-tuning given the outdoor events
planned around the area next weekend.

Temperatures will be seasonally near perfect with upper 70s for
highs save a few 80F readings that pop up Wed-Fri. Lows in the
upper 40s/around 50F push toward 60F next weekend as dews rise
with rain chances appearing; this heralds a continued A/A
outlook in our 6-10 and 8-14 Temp/Pcpn projections.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 601 PM CDT Sun Oct 25 2026

VFR flight conditions are expected through the evening. Ground
fog may be a factor in the pre-dawn hours. The probability for
operational impacts is a little higher the further west you go
(CGI/PAH/MWA/MDH compared to EVV/OWB/HVC) but is still only
modest. VFR conditions are expected again on Monday with light
winds.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...JGG

Source: PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 25, 6:01 PM CDT

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