MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 22, 10:10 PM CDT ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...665
FXUS64 KMOB 230310
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1010 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 936 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
- Moderate to strong northeast winds will create hazardous
conditions for small craft over most of the marine area Friday
night continuing into early next week.
- A High Risk of rip currents is expected for beach areas from
Saturday morning through Monday night.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 936 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
Dry, seasonable to slightly below seasonable norms continues for
the foreseeable future across the region. Temperatures generally
stay in the middle to upper 70's most days, with the warmest day
being today where some spots may see lower 80's. Overnight lows
stay chilly in the middle to upper 40's over the interior and
lower 50's near the coast.
We remain on the western periphery of upper troughing the next
couple days before upper ridging begins moving in overhead. A
reinforcing shot of cool, dry air comes in from the northeast
Friday into the weekend as Cold Air Damming sets up across the
Carolinas and spills southwest into our area. This will keep
things quite dry with some fire weather concerns materializing
this weekend as winds strengthen Saturday into Sunday. While
winds won't be particularly strong, wind gusts of 20 to 30mph
can't be ruled out this weekend across the area which could cause
localized issues with any weakened/damaged trees across south-
central Alabama into the western Florida Panhandle. Winds and any
lingering fire danger should relax into early next week, with more
or less the same temperatures and dry forecast anticipated as we
head through the first half of the week. A Low risk of rip
currents today will become moderate tonight. The risk rapidly
increases into daybreak Saturday, with a High risk for rip
currents becoming established Saturday morning, lingering through
the day Monday. The risk will gradually tape into the middle of
the week. MM/25
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 605 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
General VFR conditions expected through the forecast. Light winds
overnight transition to easterly 5 to 10 knots Friday morning.
/16
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 936 PM CDT Thu Oct 22 2026
Light to moderate easterly to northeasterly winds this morning
gradually become moderate to strong this evening into tonight,
remaining that way through at least Monday. Moderate easterly to
northeasterly flow prevails Tuesday into the middle of next week.
Seas increase to 4 to 8 feet Saturday into Sunday, gradually
tapering to 3 to 4 feet by Tuesday. A Small Craft Advisory remains
in effect from 1am Saturday through 1am Monday. MM/25
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 81 51 80 51 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 80 56 79 55 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 78 57 80 54 / 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 80 45 80 43 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 81 45 81 44 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 78 45 77 43 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 81 49 80 47 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory from 1 AM Saturday to 1 AM CDT Monday for
GMZ650-655-670-675.
&&
$$
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 22, 10:10 PM CDT ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...---------------
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