PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 19, 12:35 AM CDT364
FXUS63 KPAH 190535
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
1235 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A gradual warming trend in temperatures is forecast, with
near-normal temperatures early this week warming to around 8-10
degrees above normal by next weekend.
- No precipitation is forecast for the next seven days.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Mon Oct 19 2026
The first of two upper level ridges that will be in control of
our weather for the next seven days is passing to the east while
the next ridge is building to the west. We are probably amid the
driest airmass we have seen in months. The 00z Nashville RAOB
recorded a column precipitable water of just 0.47 inches.
Through the week deep layer ridging builds in from the
southwest. This keeps the dry airmass locked in place with
gradual warming through the week. Highs work towards the mid to
upper 70s. Deterministic GFS tries to flatten the ridge out
early next week, but ECMWF, ensembles and GFSAI/ECMWFAI do not
seem to think we break from the pattern at that point.
Nevertheless an enjoyable and stable period of weather still
looks likely for the predictable future.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 445 PM CDT Sun Oct 18 2026
High pressure dominates the lower Ohio valley weather with a
cool/dry air mass in place. VFR will be the standing rule with
clear skies and light winds thru the bulk of the forecast.
Time/height cross sections hint FEW-SCT250 may appear toward
the end of the planning phase hours of the forecast, but the
suggestion is marginal at best.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...JGG
AVIATION...
Source:
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 19, 12:35 AM CDT---------------
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