The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 15, 12:52z for portions of PAH811
WUUS01 KWNS 151253
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0752 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2026
VALID TIME 151300Z - 161200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 39108968 39518952 39918920 40198824 40328608 40158552
39728535 39258560 38958615 38628713 38428815 38588910
39108968
&&
... HAIL ...
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 38398608 37998877 37999013 38189087 38729124 39179116
39739068 40728725 41358258 41368135 41018100 40718095
40358126 39728231 38558532 38398608
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 39179116 39739068 40728725 41358258 41368135 41018100
40718095 40358126 39728231 38558532 37998877 37999013
38189087 38729124 39179116
TSTM 27958342 28058266 27068171 27008105 27258017 28057959
99999999 30340554 31700412 33130261 33970174 36299880
36419848 37849627 38429543 39009528 39529540 39849581
40049642 40809691 41479679 41739627 42209193 42458868
42488809 42748495 43268147 99999999 43637962 43847620
43557495 42937447 42357454 41487510 39997632 37967849
36967942 36308062 36248189 36308361 36318488 36278696
36169004 35779161 34599401 33009626 30639871 29559963
27840044 99999999 27529651 28599659 29249628 29889570
30289484 30329386 29929244 29369042 28838859
&&
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
55 S UIN 30 ESE UIN 25 NW LAF 35 N MFD 30 N CAK 25 SW YNG 30 ESE
CAK 40 SSE CAK 25 SW ZZV 35 NE SDF 25 SSE MVN 20 NE FAM 35 NW FAM
50 NE VIH 55 S UIN
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W PIE 10 N PIE
35 NNE FMY 50 SSE AGR 30 SSE VRB 60 ENE VRB ...CONT... 90 W MRF 45
SSE CNM 45 NE HOB 15 S PVW 35 SSW AVK 25 SSE AVK 35 S EMP 45 SSE
TOP 20 ESE TOP 35 NNE TOP 20 SW FNB 25 SE BIE 10 WSW LNK 30 E OLU
0 - TQE 25 NNW CID 20 ESE JVL 25 SW RAC 20 W LAN 80 NE MTC
...CONT... 65 NW BUF 15 SW ART 35 NE UCA 35 WNW ALB 45 NNE MSV 20
SW MSV 30 ESE CXY 10 S CHO 25 N DAN 40 WNW GSO 35 ESE TRI 40 NNE
TYS 25 NNE CSV 20 WNW BNA 35 WNW DYR 0 - BVX 45 NNE DEQ 35 ENE
DAL 65 WNW AUS 30 WNW HDO 65 WNW LRD ...CONT... 65 ESE CRP 25 WSW
PSX 35 N PSX 30 WNW HOU 50 NNE HOU 25 NNE BPT 20 WNW 7R4 20 SE HUM
60 SE BVE
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Oct 15, 12:52z for portions of PAH---------------
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