MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 11, 2:46 PM CDT ...New UPDATE...866
FXUS64 KMOB 111946
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
246 PM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 246 PM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026
- Near record highs in the upper 80s to low 90s are expected this
week. With many areas still without power and recovery efforts
from Hurricane Isaias ongoing, these temperatures could lead to
an increased risk for heat-related illnesses.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 246 PM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026
Based on beach reports, have cancelled the High Risk of rip
currents for the remainder of this afternoon and replaced it with
a Moderate Risk. For tonight, a low risk is expected for the
Alabama beaches with a moderate risk for the western Florida
panhandle beaches. A low risk then follows for Monday through
Thursday. /29
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1104 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026
Dry conditions are expected through Saturday. Post-Tropical
Cyclone Isaias, currently located over Kentucky, lifts off to the
northeast and dissipates over West Virginia this evening. A ridge
of dry surface high pressure meanwhile builds into the forecast
area and gradually becomes oriented along the northern Gulf coast
by Thursday. A cold front approaches from the north late in the
week and is expected to move through the forecast area late Friday
into Friday night and ushers in cooler and drier air. Deep layer
moisture looks to remain too limited to support precipitation with
the frontal passage. Near record high temperatures are expected
Monday through Thursday with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s,
and possibly on Friday as well depending on how quickly the cold
front moves through. Lows tonight range from around 60 well inland
to the mid 60s at the coast then trend a bit warmer by Thursday
night to range from the lower 60s well inland to the upper
60s/around 70 near the coast. In the wake of the cold front, highs
on Saturday will be in the lower to mid 70s, and lows trend by
Saturday night to the upper 40s well inland ranging to the mid 50s
near the coast. A High Risk of rip currents continues through
this afternoon, then a moderate risk follows for tonight. A low
risk of rip currents is expected for Monday through Thursday. /29
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026
VFR conditions expected through the forecast. General
northwesterly winds though the forecast will see a temporary
switch to southerly near the coast as a seabreeze develops and
moves inland this afternoon.
/16
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1104 AM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026
Light westerly to northwesterly winds are expected through tonight.
A diurnal flow cycle follows for Monday through Friday with an
offshore flow developing late each night into the morning hours then
becoming onshore near the coast during the afternoon. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 63 89 63 88 / 0 0 0 0
Pensacola 66 88 66 87 / 0 0 0 0
Destin 68 86 68 85 / 0 0 0 0
Evergreen 57 89 58 90 / 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 60 91 59 92 / 0 0 0 0
Camden 58 88 59 89 / 0 0 0 0
Crestview 59 88 60 88 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 11, 2:46 PM CDT ...New UPDATE...---------------
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