The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 21, 19:56z for portions of LMK492
WUUS01 KWNS 211958
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0256 PM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
VALID TIME 212000Z - 221200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 33710058 33280045 32470052 32160087 32030124 32010196
32080235 32720303 33550343 34220336 34730269 34220118
33710058
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 38998414 39358149 39207982 38977895 38567813 37787754
36737762 35977852 33608330 32498626 31758744 30908866
30588930 30219006 30159070 30329150 30849209 31679213
33249129 34418989 36868611 38998414
0.05 33440001 32949975 32349987 32050042 31940098 31970205
32440286 33240332 33930344 34370314 34550266 34570203
34280141 33670031 33440001
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 34220336 34730269 34570203 34220118 33440001 32949975
32349987 32050042 31940098 31970205 32080235 32440286
32720303 33550343 33930344 34220336
MRGL 33249129 34418989 36868611 38998414 39358149 39207982
38977895 38567813 37787754 36737762 35977852 33608330
32498626 30908866 30219006 30159070 30329150 30849209
31679213 33249129
TSTM 28990430 30880453 34700542 36830553 37300541 37650537
38780495 39250452 39360428 39300305 38660245 38100238
37330254 36800247 36470201 36290158 36130078 36190001
36219929 36429800 36629612 36859456 37269251 37499132
37709026 37838939 38098815 38318693 39178494 40158173
40538057 40627926 40257795 39777694 38907606 38147566
37677540 37417515 99999999 31561379 31991387 32511394
33181407 33791438 34231459 34641510 34801572 34831643
34861691 35661879 36431963 37602040 40172176 40492183
40862168 40982145 41042115 40942071 40612036 39821955
39571866 39571794 39741735 40131651 40921510 41281396
41461303 41301189 40361063 39171007 37861038 36631091
35541110 34691095 34001034 33020934 31440738 99999999
41019071 40979217 41379514 41909590 42289593 43159547
43639467 44019239 43849006 43688902 43288861 42468865
41568934 41019071
&&
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
10 SSW CVS 45 NE CVS 35 NNW PVW 30 E PVW 70 SSE CDS 35 N ABI 10
WSW ABI 45 N SJT 35 ESE BGS 10 E MAF 15 NW MAF 25 SE HOB 10 ENE
HOB 60 S CVS 30 SSW CVS 10 SSW CVS
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 SW GLH 20 W UOX 20 ESE BWG 15 ESE LUK 0 - PKB 20 N EKN 50 N
SHD 35 NNE CHO 25 NNW RIC 20 NNE RZZ 15 ENE RDU 25 S AHN 15 NNE
MGM 30 WNW MOB 15 SW ASD 30 WNW MSY 25 SW BTR 40 SSE ESF 20 NNE
ESF 25 SW GLH
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 S MRF 45 NW MRF
45 NNE 4CR 45 SSE ALS 25 ESE ALS 30 ENE ALS 15 WSW COS 30 NNE COS
35 W LIC 35 E LIC 40 SSW ITR 15 E LAA 0 - SPD 35 SSE SPD 35 S EHA
25 S GUY 45 NE BGD 15 WSW GAG 25 ESE GAG 0 - END 10 SSW BVO 20
NNE GMJ 40 SSW TBN 50 SSE VIH 10 ESE FAM 10 WNW MDH 35 W EVV 45
NNE OWB 30 W LUK 15 NNE ZZV 20 W PIT 25 NNE LBE 20 E AOO 30 S CXY
35 WSW DOV 15 SSW SBY 20 SSE WAL 40 SSE WAL ...CONT... 90 SSE YUM
60 SE YUM 40 ESE YUM 50 NE YUM 25 ENE BLH 35 S EED 30 WSW EED 60 E
DAG 20 E DAG 0 - DAG 20 NE BFL 25 SSE FAT 25 NNE MER 25 E RBL 30
NE RBL 45 SE MHS 50 ESE MHS 45 SW AAT 40 S AAT 60 S AAT 25 NNE RNO
0 - NFL 40 W U31 20 NNW U31 40 SSE BAM 35 E EKO 40 N ENV 60 SW MLD
10 NE OGD 50 N PUC 15 NNE U28 30 NE U17 35 ESE PGA 40 NNW INW 25
SSW INW 25 SW SOW 20 NE SAD 60 SSE DMN ...CONT... 25 NE BRL 15 ESE
OTM 45 SSE DNS 15 ENE TQE 25 ESE SUX 15 W SPW 15 W FRM 10 NE RST
10 ESE VOK 30 SW OSH 50 S OSH 20 ESE JVL 45 SSW RFD 25 NE BRL
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 21, 19:56z for portions of LMK---------------
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