The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 22, 16:24z for portions of MOB319
WUUS01 KWNS 221626
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 AM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
VALID TIME 221630Z - 231200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 39231125 39181180 39231322 39771393 40251393 40721384
41221352 41851284 42441184 42721051 42620853 42390806
42090790 41590833 40620923 40021001 39571056 39231125
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 33008404 32688500 32168691 32218744 32408785 32678822
33078821 33848780 34448715 35328552 35838379 35858235
35608107 35348046 34857987 34418003 33988083 33468244
33008404
0.05 38310808 37830837 37670916 37700967 37951033 38361064
39001110 39201169 39211234 39181328 39811391 40751373
41721231 41921032 42160982 42660927 42640850 42230791
41460776 38310808
CIG1 37891049 38931100 39191176 39161324 39781390 40701379
41271302 41641235 41921032 42150984 42650926 42640851
42220791 41450776 38430804 37780832 37660926 37891049
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
MRGL 33078821 33848780 34448715 35328552 35838379 35858235
35608107 35348046 34857987 34418003 33988083 32168691
32218744 32678822 33078821
MRGL 40721384 41221352 41851284 42441184 42721051 42640850
42230791 41460776 38310808 37830837 37670916 37700967
37951033 39001110 39191167 39181328 39771393 40721384
TSTM 31511288 33461214 34301201 35371217 35951197 36921201
37631225 37881297 37991446 38721614 39951682 41241715
42051773 42411826 42421867 42101965 41142125 41302181
41942178 44781898 46371609 47161457 47421161 47391109
47070784 47380512 46760352 45990292 45660283 45190233
44340102 43729941 42469897 41749956 40620181 39880223
36840104 34909951 34789886 34939822 35209710 35329590
35859212 35849080 36048944 36338822 37198570 37378532
37478513 38158433 39128421 40978396 42098360 42598271
42968172 99999999 42898040 42438055 41828054 40647898
39347761 38007608 37377418 99999999 40958849 40078996
40149093 40869093 41928968 42208902 42308852 42058814
41448801 41098828 40958849 99999999 26129968 27739867
29329774 30449797 30629920 30190112 29920198 29060252
99999999 33649051 33649051
&&
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
35 WSW TCL 45 NNW TCL 25 SW HSV 25 NW CHA 10 E TYS 30 NNE AVL 20
ESE HKY 30 ENE CLT 40 SW SOP 25 NW FLO 15 ENE CAE 15 SSE SEM 30
WSW SEM 40 NE MEI 35 WSW TCL
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
10 E ENV 45 NE ENV 35 SW MLD 30 NE MLD 25 WNW BPI 15 SE LND 45 NW
RWL 35 SW RWL 15 SW MTJ 40 NNE CEZ 20 ENE 4BL 15 NW 4BL 35 NE U17
45 SSW PUC 45 ESE U24 45 WSW U24 65 S ENV 10 E ENV
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 S GBN 0 - PHX
35 SE PRC 35 WNW FLG 10 E GCN 30 W PGA 0 - BCE 15 NNE CDC 25 N
P38 55 S P68 40 NNE U31 45 NNW BAM 40 S REO 25 WSW REO 40 WSW REO
40 E LKV 40 WSW AAT 25 E MHS 15 S LMT 65 S PDT 30 WNW P69 30 NW
MSO 10 WSW GTF 15 ESE GTF 95 NNE BIL 25 NW GDV 35 W DIK 40 NE 2WX
35 E 2WX 50 S Y22 35 NE PHP 0 - 9V9 15 W ONL 20 N BBW 10 NW IML
45 N ITR 15 SSW LBL 20 NW LTS 25 ENE LTS 20 SW CHK 30 ESE OKC 30
NNW MLC 30 WNW BVX 10 W JBR 0 - DYR 45 WSW HOP 40 ENE BWG 60 SSE
SDF 50 SW LEX 15 ENE LEX 10 E LUK 15 WSW FDY 10 SE ARB 0 - MTC 60
ENE MTC ...CONT... 55 NNW ERI 30 NW ERI 25 SW ERI 40 S DUJ 20 ESE
MRB 25 SE NHK 80 ESE WAL ...CONT... 30 SSE MMO 20 NW SPI 20 NE UIN
10 ENE BRL 35 WSW RFD 0 - RFD 30 ENE RFD 50 SSW RAC 35 E MMO 30
SE MMO 30 SSE MMO ...CONT... 100 S LRD 40 W ALI 35 SSE BAZ 20 WNW
AUS 35 ENE JCT 60 NNW DRT 15 ESE 6R6 70 SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 25 WNW
GWO 25 WNW GWO
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Sep 22, 16:24z for portions of MOB---------------
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