The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 10, 16:30z for portions of LMK594
WUUS01 KWNS 101632
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2026
VALID TIME 101630Z - 111200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 38828840 36988834 36658890 37259000 37769148 37639361
38069481 38869579 39549598 40019536 40349425 40429261
40009063 39418907 38828840
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 46079492 45389503 43089646 42849686 42579763 42589807
42789832 43149852 45199811 46159734 46439651 46439574
46329515 46079492
0.05 36379040 36489252 36879627 36599904 36210039 35460145
34850230 34600300 34700375 35060427 35600447 36250452
38770485 39560461 39890384 39860293 39520206 39210115
38990005 38899828 39189691 40159568 40529454 40599258
40439050 40068928 39678861 39068806 38418790 37678808
37018849 36478915 36379040
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 28888342 28998284 28928243 28688205 28318186 26698127
26088152 25658212
0.05 31538053 32388213 33848582 35319006 35999294 36239634
36139742 35829876 35449980 34290211 33810300 33790349
33920387 34620436 38760485 39570460 39890386 39850287
39330189 38970126 38600014 38519830 39189690 40189570
40559461 40629268 40469045 39828839 38968645 38298508
37458360 37268261 37398159 37728048 38387958 39087930
39667970 39628123 39618283 39798374 40258433 41018443
41428380 41468285 41808081 42257919 42357799 42097653
41647539 40677426 40017385 39377360
0.05 43129853 45199811 46159736 46429654 46429576 46329516
46059493 45399503 43079646 42849684 42569762 42589806
42799835 43129853
0.05 31501292 32101238 32581152 33481113 33511039 32760894
32350864 30960878
0.15 39419007 38518871 38088818 37488804 36968836 36658892
36698992 36899088 36989202 36989323 37109464 37309538
37789568 38529563 39339535 39859455 40069355 40039199
39419007
0.15 35440221 35540292 35980346 36500381 37530397 38230379
38510347 38680266 38420200 37910156 37390123 37010116
36330109 35790132 35470161 35440221
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 38230379 38510347 38680266 38420200 37390123 36330109
35790132 35470161 35440221 35540292 35980346 36500381
37530397 38230379
SLGT 38529563 39339535 39859455 40069355 40039199 39419007
38088818 37488804 36968836 36658892 36698992 36899088
36989202 36989323 37109464 37309538 37789568 38529563
MRGL 28888342 28998284 28928243 28688205 28318186 26698127
26088152 25658212
MRGL 31501292 32101238 32581152 33481113 33511039 32760894
32350864 30960878
MRGL 31538053 32388213 33848582 35319006 35999294 36239634
36139742 35829876 35449980 33810300 33790349 33920387
34620436 38760485 39560461 39890386 39860293 39210115
38990005 38899828 39189691 40189570 40559461 40629268
40469045 39828839 38298508 37458360 37268261 37398159
37728048 38387958 39087930 39667970 39618283 39798374
40258433 41018443 41428380 41468285 41808081 42257919
42357799 42097653 41647539 40677426 40017385 39377360
MRGL 45199811 46159736 46439651 46439574 46329515 46079492
45389503 43079646 42849684 42569762 42589807 42799835
43129853 45199811
TSTM 48798819 47539106 46749250 46119318 45579315 45319283
45339211 45579109 45889005 45988890 45938786 45728735
45468719 44848730 44468739 43878803 43558810 43238792
42998671 42988615 43328374 43548132 99999999 29320219
29890158 30330095 30540042 30819973 31049910 31339833
31959646 32449446 32909286 33109261 33469229 33959224
34549258 35149340 35499449 35529571 35309824 35039928
33850109 33130213 32580293 31740384 31030445 30280517
99999999 43327946 43077626 42907375 42577106 42066916
99999999 31501364 33471169 34581109 35111052 35550971
35710913 35790852 35830805 35810769 35970732 36190702
36440679 36820670 37460680 37940708 38940828 39580985
39781056 40071138 40731279 41871445 42241481 42711502
43301477 44941380 45351345 46081228 46910983 47220607
47080478 46780362 46260327 45620304 44590314 43330332
42290336 41670311 41360299 41100288 40900254 40900208
41060129 41240073 41420063 42240058 42670062 44010029
45199979 46349965 47399977 47800021 47990081 47940172
48020246 48580398 49360498
&&
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20
NW LHX 35 N LHX 40 N LAA 45 ENE LAA 30 NNW LBL 35 SE GUY 10 NE BGD
20 NNE AMA 30 WNW AMA 40 SSW DHT 35 SSW CAO 35 W CAO 25 NE TAD 20
NW LHX
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40
S TOP 25 NE TOP 20 ENE STJ 15 N CDJ 30 E IRK 35 N ALN 35 W EVV 45
SW EVV 25 ESE PAH 30 SSW PAH 30 E POF 25 WNW POF 20 NNW UNO 20 SSE
SGF 10 WSW JLN 25 SSE CNU 15 NW CNU 40 S TOP
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
55 SSW CTY 40 WSW OCF 20 SW OCF 35 SSE OCF 35 WSW ORL 40 ENE FMY
15 ESE APF 40 SSW APF
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
100 S GBN 60 SSE GBN 45 NW TUS 50 E PHX 55 SSW SOW 40 E SAD 35 SW
SVC 60 SE DUG
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
55 SE SAV 20 NE VDI 20 N ANB 20 NNW MEM 25 SSE HRO 25 W TUL 30 ESE
END 40 NE CSM 35 WNW CSM 45 SSE CVS 40 SSW CVS 45 SW CVS 60 SW TCC
10 WSW COS 20 SE DEN 45 NNW LIC 25 SE AKO 30 ESE GLD 30 SSW HLC 30
E RSL 15 WNW MHK 10 NW FNB 35 W LWD 35 SSW OTM 40 ESE BRL 15 SSW
CMI 30 NW LEX 15 WSW JKL 55 NNW TRI 20 WNW BLF 10 WSW SSU 35 SSE
EKN 30 ENE EKN 10 E MGW 25 S CMH 25 ESE DAY 25 NNW DAY 40 E FWA 10
S TOL 45 NNW MFD 40 N YNG 10 NNE JHW 55 SSW ROC 20 ESE ELM 25 NE
AVP 0 - EWR 25 E NEL 55 E ACY
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM
25 SE ABR 60 SSW FAR 35 SSE FAR 30 SSE DTL 35 NNE AXN 25 ENE AXN
40 SSE AXN 40 SSE FSD 30 E YKN 30 SSW YKN 30 ENE ONL 30 NE ONL 45
N ONL 25 SE ABR
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 115 N CMX 30 NE BFW
15 WSW DLH 50 ESE BRD 50 N MSP 35 NNE MSP 45 NW EAU 50 NNE EAU 35
WNW RHI 35 NE RHI 15 ENE IMT 10 W ESC 20 SSW ESC 50 NNE MTW 25 NNE
MTW 25 SW MTW 35 SE OSH 20 N MKE 25 WSW MKG 15 SSE MKG 25 N FNT 85
E BAX ...CONT... 50 S 6R6 40 ESE 6R6 65 N DRT 40 W JCT 20 N JCT 55
S BWD 50 SE BWD 0 - CRS 15 ENE GGG 20 S ELD 15 SE ELD 35 WSW LLQ
25 SW PBF 25 WSW LIT 20 WSW RUE 15 NNW FSM 20 WSW MKO 20 NW CHK 20
SSW CSM 40 ESE PVW 40 SSW LBB 20 ESE HOB 40 W INK 50 NNW MRF 70 W
MRF ...CONT... 45 NW BUF 10 WSW SYR 10 NNE ALB 15 NNW BOS 65 ENE
HYA ...CONT... 95 SE YUM 20 E PHX 35 SW INW 15 ENE INW 50 W GUP 25
NW GUP 25 NE GUP 45 N GNT 45 NNE GNT 20 W 4SL 10 NNW 4SL 30 NNE
4SL 55 NNE 4SL 50 W ALS 40 SSW GUC 20 SE GJT 45 NNE U28 15 NE PUC
45 NW PUC 40 N DPG 40 S TWF 25 SW TWF 30 WNW TWF 25 WSW SUN 15 SSE
SMN 25 NE SMN 15 NE BTM 20 WSW LWT 55 N MLS 0 - GDV 40 NE BHK 45
SSW DIK 25 E 2WX 40 N RAP 35 NNW CDR 30 NNE BFF 30 SSW AIA 20 N
SNY 0 - SNY 25 ESE SNY 35 NW IML 30 W LBF 10 NNW LBF 20 N LBF 30
ENE MHN 15 SSW VTN 25 S PIR 40 SE MBG 65 NNE MBG 65 SW DVL 75 NNE
BIS 30 SE MOT 25 NW N60 55 WNW N60 30 NNW ISN 90 NNE OLF
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 10, 16:30z for portions of LMK---------------
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