Author Topic: [Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 3, 5:56z for portions of JKL  (Read 304 times)

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 3, 5:56z for portions of JKL

837 
WUUS02 KWNS 030558
PTSDY2

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1256 AM CDT WED JUL 03 2024

VALID TIME 041200Z - 051200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... TORNADO ...

0.02   40799366 40839487 41259546 42069547 43049504 43579412
       43659265 42529197 41589228 41029267 40929285 40799366
0.02   38189662 39719523 39889403 38729081 37828960 37378934
       37079002 36999067 37679229 37689319 37479434 36739533
       36889652 38189662
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   44749608 45819584 46389452 45299113 44518981 43898877
       43248884 43038978 42779086 41299138 40869224 40959399
       41549545 42309629 44749608
0.05   37669314 37469432 37009527 37109682 38199664 39709544
       39949423 39109162 38819082 37878966 37158942 37079010
       36989068 37379158 37679232 37669314
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   41189639 44539609 45789580 46419452 45319115 43918884
       43208886 42779086 41499132 40639147 40259144 39449062
       38838880 38948734 39648485 39628281 40137847 40307628
       40187526 39477475 38207548 37297604 36127710 36437882
       36868007 36868195 36458333 35768496 35228845 35099036
       35539159 35549409 35469487 34949663 34309851 33780029
       33950105 34210206 35070269 35850252 36630088 37319935
       38439804 41189639
0.15   36939686 38199668 39739541 39959428 39449254 38839081
       37878966 37148942 36428951 36118973 36099039 36489213
       36519358 36359535 36209635 36939686
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 2

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   38199668 39739541 39959428 38839081 37878966 37148942
       36428951 36118973 36099039 36489213 36519358 36209635
       36939686 38199668
MRGL   35850252 37319935 38439804 41189639 44749608 45819584
       46419452 45319115 43898877 43208886 42779086 41439133
       40639147 40259144 39449062 38838880 38948734 39648485
       39628281 40137847 40307628 40187526 39477475 37297604
       36127710 36437882 36868007 36868195 36458333 35768496
       35228845 35099036 35539159 35549409 35469487 33780029
       34210206 35070269 35850252
TSTM   28159537 29099605 30859553 31209490 31909380 32599373
       33279397 33469451 33439554 33159716 32509919 32280063
       31210160 29410209 99999999 31231189 31861176 32291063
       32280911 32420782 32930648 33400588 34660559 36700574
       37860549 38940566 39820574 40840601 41690689 42130827
       42550956 43351062 45111277 47031463 47881527 49571622
       99999999 44658128 44458209 44468403 43838574 43338611
       42568550 42298381 42538212 43088143 99999999 36057463
       35677700 34418079 33608171 32458159 31288007 99999999
       46296674 46146890 44887146 44377325 43817355 43217325
       43017208 41837096 40877072 40547076

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW
EMP 25 SSE FNB 35 ENE STJ 25 WNW STL 25 WNW MDH 10 SE CGI 30 NNW DYR
20 WNW DYR 25 NE JBR 25 SW UNO 30 NW HRO 25 W TUL 20 NE PNC 30 WSW
EMP.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S
DHT 40 W P28 25 NNW HUT 25 WSW OMA 45 SSE VVV 20 W AXN 20 W BRD 35
NNE EAU 15 WSW OSH 25 ENE MSN 25 NNW DBQ 35 SSE CID 20 WSW BRL 25
NNW UIN 45 SE UIN 15 NE SLO 35 S HUF 40 WSW DAY 25 S CMH 15 SW AOO
30 E CXY 20 N PHL 10 W ACY 30 NNE ORF 40 ESE RZZ 30 ESE DAN 30 S ROA
35 NE TRI 45 NW HSS 15 SSE CSV 35 SE MKL 20 W MEM 15 SSE BVX 20 NE
FSM 30 WNW FSM 45 S CDS 20 W PVW 50 E TCC 10 S DHT.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SE PSX 25 NNE PSX
10 NNW UTS 10 WSW LFK 40 S SHV 10 NNE SHV 10 S TXK 30 W TXK 15 SSW
PRX 25 NNE FTW 30 E ABI 50 E BGS 60 SE MAF 45 S 6R6 ...CONT... 80 SW
TUS 50 WSW TUS 20 NE TUS 50 SE SAD 15 NNW DMN 25 WNW ALM 20 WSW SRR
40 N 4CR 50 S ALS 35 NE ALS 50 W COS 45 W DEN 35 SSW LAR 20 ESE RWL
55 SSE LND 30 E BPI 20 SSE JAC 15 SW DLN 25 WNW MSO 20 NNE 3TH 125
NW GPI ...CONT... 105 NE BAX 65 NE BAX 30 W OSC 40 SE MBL 10 NNE MKG
20 S GRR ARB 35 E MTC 80 ENE MTC ...CONT... 80 NE HSE 40 N EWN 40
NNE CAE 20 NE AGS 30 NW SAV 80 E SSI ...CONT... 50 ENE HUL 55 W HUL
20 NW BML 10 SW BTV 35 N GFL 20 ESE GFL 10 NE EEN 10 N EWB 45 SW ACK
60 SE BID.


Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 2 Marginal Convective Risk at Jul 3, 5:56z for portions of JKL

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