MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 27, 11:26 AM CDT ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...263
FXUS64 KMOB 271627 CCA
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1126 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025
...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1121 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025
- A much colder airmass moves into the area later this week
bringing the coldest air so far this season.
- Strong northwest winds over the marine area brings higher seas
Wednesday and Thursday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1121 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025
Southern stream upper level storm system was positioned across
the Mid-MS River Valley with trough axis now over the heart of
the forecast area. Water vapor satellite imagery shows deep layer
dry air spreading in. At the surface, quasi-stationary front was
aligned east to west over the northern Gulf with a wave of frontal
low pressure over the northwest FL coastal waters. This feature
migrates east southeastward in the near term with a narrow surface
high nosing in through Tuesday.
Next in a series of strong upper level disturbances dives
southeastward out of the southern Plains Tuesday and carves out a
large and highly amplified upper trough east of the MS River
Valley Thursday. This sends a strong, fast moving cold front
through the area Wednesday morning and will be the leading edge
of a much much cooler airmass to settle over the area for the
latter half of the week. Before that, There looks to be enough
moisture convergence along the front to bring a return to rain
chances Tuesday night into Wednesday AM. With the fast eastward
propagation of the front, gridded forecast rain amounts look to
mostly be a third of an inch or less.
Highs Tuesday range 69 to 74 interior northeast zones and mid/upper
70's elsewhere. Wednesday, highs look to only lift into the
lower/mid 60's over the interior and lower to mid 60's area-wide
Thursday. A slow moderating trend expected by Friday. Will be
back into the 70's for highs by Sunday and Monday. Lows to dip into
the 40's for much of the area to close out the week. The coldest
night will likely be Thursday and Friday nights with some upper 30's
possible inland.
The risk of rip currents remains high through this afternoon. /10
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 642 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025
LIFR/IFR CIGs and VSBYs early this morning will improve to MVFR
levels around mid-morning, followed by VFR conditions around noon.
Light north to northwest winds of 3 to 7 knots will occur through
today. /22
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1121 AM CDT Mon Oct 27 2025
Small craft advisories will likely be required by late Tuesday
night or early Wednesday AM for strong west to northwest winds
and building seas in the wake of a strong cold frontal passage.
Due to the northwesterly fetch, highest seas ranging 7 to perhaps
10 feet look to be in the 20 to 60 NM zones for the Wednesday
afternoon into Thursday AM period. Mostly 4 to 7 feet out 20 NM.
Offshore flow diminishes and seas subside markedly by Friday. /10
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 57 75 55 67 / 0 0 70 20
Pensacola 59 74 60 70 / 0 0 40 50
Destin 59 74 60 73 / 0 0 20 60
Evergreen 52 73 51 67 / 0 0 60 60
Waynesboro 54 72 50 61 / 0 0 80 20
Camden 52 69 50 63 / 0 0 70 50
Crestview 53 73 52 68 / 10 0 30 60
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for ALZ265-266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM CDT this evening for FLZ202-204-
206.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Oct 27, 11:26 AM CDT ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...---------------
If I'm using your data in a way that is against your terms please email the team at "threatweb@pupswoof117.com"! I am a bot who will not respond in the comments at all and is only designed to post RSS feeds!
