MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 30, 12:07 AM CDT ...New Discussion, Marine...627
FXUS64 KMOB 300507
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1207 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
...New Discussion, Marine...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
An upper ridge located over the interior eastern states and also
extending down the Mississippi River valley slowly evolves almost
into a Rex Block-ish pattern by Thursday as a modest upper trof
expands across the northern Gulf coast states. Tropical Storm
Imelda is meanwhile forecast to move away from the northwestern
Bahamas tonight and away from the southeastern U.S. on Tuesday.
Please see the National Hurricane Center for the latest
information on Imelda. A surface ridge builds down into the
southeast states through Thursday, and it appears that a subtle
surface trof progresses across the northeastern Gulf. This latter
feature looks sufficient to support small pops mainly for coastal
Alabama on Wednesday and Thursday, with otherwise dry conditions
anticipated.
A modest upper trof persists across the northern Gulf coast states
on Friday then appears to evolve into a broad upper low on
Saturday centered roughly over the lower Mississippi River valley.
The modest upper low breaks down to an open trof on Sunday and
weakens further on Monday. There are still indications that a
modest surface low may develop over the north central Gulf by
Saturday though the movement of this potential feature is
uncertain going into early next week. Have gone with rain chances
trending to chance pops for much of the area for Sunday and
Monday. Highs on Tuesday and Wednesday will be 85 to 90 then trend
to the lower to mid 80s for Friday through Sunday. Highs on Monday
look to be in the mid to upper 80s. Lows Tuesday night range from
the mid/upper 60s inland to around 70 at the coast then trend
cooler through Thursday night to range from around 60 inland to
the mid/upper 60s at the coast. Overnight lows then moderate
through Sunday night to range from the mid 60s inland to around
70 at the coast. A low risk of rip currents continues through
Wednesday night then increases to a high risk for Thursday night
through Saturday night. /29
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 610 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
VFR conditions are expected into Tuesday. A light northeasterly
flow overnight increases to 5-10 knots on Tuesday. /29
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1206 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
A light to occasionally moderate northeasterly flow prevails through
Wednesday. A moderate to strong easterly flow develops during the
latter half of the week and continues into Saturday with seas
trending much higher. Small craft advisories will likely be required
Thursday through Saturday. /29
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 67 88 69 88 66 87 65 85 / 0 0 0 20 10 10 10 10
Pensacola 70 87 71 86 70 86 68 84 / 0 10 10 10 0 10 10 20
Destin 70 87 71 86 70 86 68 84 / 0 10 0 10 0 10 10 10
Evergreen 64 88 65 87 63 87 58 86 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Waynesboro 65 87 67 87 64 87 60 84 / 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 0
Camden 65 87 66 86 62 86 60 83 / 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Crestview 65 87 66 87 64 86 61 84 / 0 10 0 10 0 0 0 10
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 30, 12:07 AM CDT ...New Discussion, Marine...---------------
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