PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 7, 6:42 AM CDT257
FXUS63 KPAH 071142
AFDPAH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
642 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Sunny skies and near to slightly below normal temperatures are
forecast today into Monday.
- A significant warming trend will begin Tuesday, and
temperatures will climb into the lower 90s for the latter
half of next week.
- No precipitation is forecast the next seven days, which will
lead to a deterioration of ongoing abnormally dry or moderate
drought conditions.
&&
.UPDATE...
Issued at 642 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
Updated Aviation discussion for the 12z TAF issuance.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 208 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
The surface cold front that brought light rain to the area
yesterday has cleared the region, and a secondary 850 mb front
will move through the region early today. With temperatures at
850 mb falling to around 7-10C now through Monday, temperatures
will stay near to slightly below normal temperatures today and
Monday. As H5 ridging increases over the region from the central
and southern Great Plains, temperatures will warm back to near
normal values on Tuesday. As 850 mb temperatures warm to 16-18C
for the latter half of this week, high temperatures will climb
into the lower 90s by next Friday and Saturday, about 5 to 10
degrees above normal.
With no mentionable rain forecast for the next week, abnormally
dry to moderate drought conditions will likely deteriorate
despite Saturday's light rain. There may also be some elevated
fire weather concerns by the end of the week as well, as daily
minimum RH values are forecast to fall to the 25-35% range.
However, forecast gradient winds will be quite modest (4-8 kts
during the afternoon hours at most), which should act as a check
on the fire danger concerns.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 642 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
The TAFs are VFR. As a secondary cold front passes through the
region, ongoing FEW-SCT mid-level cloud decks will diminish
with clear skies following the the remainder of the forecast
period. Winds will be pick up from the N after 15z, sustained at
8-12 kts with gusts up to 15-20 kts. Winds will relax to 5 kts
or less after 00z Monday.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DWS
AVIATION...DWS
Source:
PAH issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Sep 7, 6:42 AM CDT---------------
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