[Alert]The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 20, 12:30z for portions of MOB

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The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 20, 12:30z for portions of MOB

418 
WUUS01 KWNS 201231
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0730 AM CDT WED AUG 20 2025

VALID TIME 201300Z - 211200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   49389731 48230056 47670198 48030385 49390429
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   49389725 48679936 48280038 47730217 47260466 46870959
       47121072 47611123 48131112 49480952
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   49339729 48729928 48300026 48030093 47660192 46780406
       46160718 46110966 46761070 47531127 48031126 49450968
0.05   33119263 33689016 35388690 35718509 35548443 34968428
       34068507 31938642 30968920 30219131 29589386 29389803
       29190070 30630267 32200201 32309761 32849574 33119263
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MRGL   32200201 32309761 32849574 33119263 33689016 35388690
       35718509 35548443 34968428 34068507 31938642 30219131
       29589386 29190070 30630267 32200201
MRGL   49339729 48519978 46780406 46160718 46110966 46761070
       47531127 48031126 49450968
TSTM   31391329 33271298 36401582 36951136 38390998 39270784
       40670657 41820577 41830483 39590363 38710360 37720353
       37490300 38090218 40280215 41730162 42419985 41939578
       40909237 40139249 39609384 39349612 38709693 37749721
       37019696 36659627 36519544 36539405 36409264 35779092
       36258881 37158551 38328359 40368115 41608023 43137953
       43917841 44117696 44077510 43787340 43427278 42797225
       42487209 41077138 40287046 99999999 33458264 32098340
       31088344 30328353 29898293 30318202 32318003 33147925
       34797846 35817793 36707769 37387791 37567843 36907965
       34818149 33458264 99999999 49619429 48499607 47409859
       46500210 45990563 45040700 43980816 43620918 42361027
       40921169 39091357 38821541 40101641 41631603 46171415
       47451330 48221344 49561665

&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE
MAF 35 E SEP 40 NNW TYR 15 SE ELD 15 NNW GWO 50 N HSV 15 S CSV 30 SW
TYS 50 E CHA 20 SSE RMG 25 W TOI 40 E LFT 25 SSE BPT 20 SE DRT 25 SE
FST 20 NNE MAF.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW
HCO 50 NW DVL 30 NNE BHK 65 WSW MLS 25 SSE 3HT 45 WNW 3HT GTF 40 N
GTF 60 N HVR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 SSW GBN 30 NW GBN
20 SSE DRA PGA 30 SSW CNY 40 ENE GJT 50 ENE CAG 35 N LAR 40 WSW TOR
20 N LIC 40 S LIC 20 S LHX 25 NW SPD 25 E LAA 30 WSW IML 35 SW MHN
15 SSE ANW 20 W DNS 15 SSE OTM IRK 20 SW CDJ 35 NW TOP 35 SSW MHK 15
ENE ICT 20 NNE PNC 15 WSW BVO 35 NE TUL 25 SSW UMN 15 NW FLP 15 WSW
JBR 35 ENE DYR 50 ENE BWG 55 NNW JKL 30 WNW HLG 25 NW FKL 40 WNW BUF
65 NNW ROC 45 W ART 45 E ART 30 NW RUT 10 SE RUT EEN 20 NW ORH 10
ESE BID 70 SSW ACK ...CONT... 40 W AGS 45 SSE MCN 20 E MGR 35 SSW
VLD 20 NNE CTY 25 WSW JAX 40 S CHS 40 SSW CRE 25 ESE FAY RWI 20 N
RZZ 35 WSW RIC 40 S CHO 30 NW DAN 30 ESE SPA 40 W AGS ...CONT... 65
NE RRT 30 N TVF 35 N JMS 40 ESE DIK 35 SSE MLS 20 N SHR 10 W WRL 55
NW RIW 15 SSW BPI 20 NE SLC 55 NNW MLF 45 SW ELY 40 SE BAM 25 SSE
OWY 50 S MSO 50 NE MSO 40 E GPI 140 NW GPI.

Source: The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Aug 20, 12:30z for portions of MOB

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