MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jun 21, 12:55 AM CDT ...New Aviation...223
FXUS64 KMOB 210555
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1255 AM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 313 PM CDT Fri Jun 20 2025
Tonight through Saturday Night...
Upper ridging dominates the synoptic pattern across the forecast
area with generally isolated to locally scattered showers and
storms during the mid to late afternoon hours, primarily in the
vicinity of the sea breeze boundary. A strong storm or two can't
be ruled out with ample CAPE and weak shear overhead. Primary
hazards with any storms would be gusty winds, small hail, frequent
lightning, and heavy rainfall. Temperatures remain warm in the
lower to middle 90's for highs with lows in the lower to middle
70's. Heat index values will top out in the 100 to 105 range
during the afternoon hours. A Low risk of rip currents remains in
place through Saturday night. MM/25
Sunday through Friday...
The diurnal pattern continues through the period as a large upper
high pressure area dominates the eastern half of the U.S. A low-
level surface ridge will persist over the western Atlantic and
southeast states, maintaining a light southerly wind through the
extended with precipitable waters values holding steady between
1.5 to 2.0 inches. Pulse thunderstorms are possible each afternoon
into early evening, with scattered coverage expected through early
next week, followed by mainly isolated coverage the latter half of
the week. We can't rule out a few strong storms with gusty winds
and frequent lightning given ample instability and minimal shear.
Temperatures will average up to 5 degrees above normal through the
extended, with highs in the middle 90s inland and the lower 90s
along the beaches and barrier islands. Low temperatures interior
areas will be in the lower to middle 70s and the upper 70s along
the beaches and barrier islands. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 AM CDT Sat Jun 21 2025
VFR conditions will prevail tonight into tomorrow as afternoon
showers and thunderstorms develop once again. Storms will likely
develop along the I-10 corridor around noon and then steadily push
inland throughout the morning. Temporary reductions to IFR visbys
will be possible with any thunderstorms. Winds will be light and
variable overnight becoming southerly during the afternoon. BB-8
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 435 AM CDT Wed Jun 18 2025
No impacts are expected other than locally higher winds and seas
possible near thunderstorms. A generally light to occasionally
moderate onshore flow is expected through next week. MM/25
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 74 92 73 92 73 92 72 94 / 20 40 20 60 20 50 10 30
Pensacola 77 92 77 91 76 92 76 93 / 20 40 20 70 20 50 10 20
Destin 79 92 79 92 79 92 79 94 / 20 40 30 60 30 40 10 20
Evergreen 71 94 71 94 71 96 71 96 / 10 40 10 50 10 30 0 20
Waynesboro 72 93 71 93 71 94 71 96 / 10 40 10 40 10 30 10 20
Camden 71 91 72 92 72 94 72 96 / 10 40 10 30 10 20 10 10
Crestview 72 94 72 93 72 94 71 96 / 20 50 20 70 10 40 10 20
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Jun 21, 12:55 AM CDT ...New Aviation...---------------
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