Author Topic: [Alert]Storm Prediction Center issues Mesoscale Discussion #1367 concerning SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY [watch prob: 20%] [Most Prob: Gust: UP TO 60 MPH]  (Read 104 times)

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Storm Prediction Center issues Mesoscale Discussion #1367 concerning SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY [watch prob: 20%] [Most Prob: Gust: UP TO 60 MPH]

603 
ACUS11 KWNS 191817
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191817
PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-192015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1367
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0117 PM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025

Areas affected...Upper Ohio Valley Vicinity

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 191817Z - 192015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Widely scattered strong to near-severe gusts may produce
wind damage this afternoon. Weak thermodynamics should limit a more
widespread/organized threat this afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Stronger forcing from the upper trough as well as the
surface cold front has promoted thunderstorm development in the
upper Ohio Valley region. Recent surface observations show a 46 kt
gust in Parkersburg, WV along with a few wind damage reports. Given
the enhanced low-level winds near the surface low, additional strong
to near-severe winds are possible through the afternoon. The
greatest threat will be with linear segments moving east through
West Virginia. Marginal low-level and mid-level lapse rates should
keep the threat less organized and more sporadic in nature.

..Wendt/Hart.. 06/19/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...

LAT...LON   37848376 39758164 39868165 40758093 41048037 40617905
            40077906 39387962 38128102 37588199 37428371 37848376

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH

Source: Storm Prediction Center issues Mesoscale Discussion #1367 concerning SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY [watch prob: 20%] [Most Prob: Gust: UP TO 60 MPH]

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