The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 29, 16:30z for portions of MOB556
WUUS01 KWNS 291632
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 AM CDT THU MAY 29 2025
VALID TIME 291630Z - 301200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 33929138 34759319 36569392 36829319 37428890 37438512
36908472 36108484 34538648 34058952 33929138
0.02 29928721 30538731 31058725 31558583 30918480 30278427
29608397
0.02 30928220 31508273 32428255 33208194 33588118 33788057
33627971 33217946 32847956 32348011 32088060 31398116
30768130 30928220
0.02 32010294 32870382 33700390 34260342 34350241 34170153
33119854 32169709 31559706 30999767 30879954 31090103
31410209 32010294
0.05 32880319 33280331 33720303 33690132 33270051 33020016
32680007 32520024 32330083 32630252 32880319
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 27939628 28349799 28080064 99999999 30990632 32500584
34710606 37200505 37430453 37080324 36510308 34730305
34610218 34600115 34650009 35159931 35879595 36819310
37448871 37448512 36918472 36098485 34538648 33998952
33749087 33199246 32239391 31549443 30959439 30439397
29879209 29979016 30468763 34278172 34667945 33477614
99999999 27227950 27568105 28298220 28278347
0.15 31480271 32180386 32860444 33590417 34100344 34120176
33189859 32209717 31639704 30939759 30539910 30650134
31480271
0.30 32640252 33000264 33400250 33410156 33100076 32510083
31980157 32640252
SIGN 34110175 33690025 32550029 31380084 30910185 31550282
32180387 32860444 33590417 34100343 34110175
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 27939628 28349799 28080064 99999999 30990632 32500584
34710606 37200505 37430453 37080324 36500308 34730305
34610217 34600117 34650008 35159932 35799612 36809326
37418901 37458515 36918473 36108484 34538648 33928868
33599063 33049235 32119379 31509416 31009420 29099365
99999999 27217949 27568105 28298220 28278347
0.05 28659151 29939067 30408758 32998596 34538280 36557997
36947853 36737615 36397500
0.15 30048078 30188149 30848349 31468383 33438233 34168065
33777890 33327762
0.15 30650134 32190388 32840443 33600417 34090344 34110177
33199861 32209717 31629704 30919760 30539910 30650134
0.30 31310061 32640254 33020265 33410251 33440162 32569937
31919928 31309982 31310061
SIGN 30960054 32490232 33000206 33420104 32569934 31619890
31019941 30960054
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
ENH 31310060 32620253 33010264 33410250 33430161 32559936
31919928 31309981 31310060
SLGT 34090344 34120176 33189859 32209717 31629704 30919760
30539910 30640132 32190387 32860445 33610416 34090344
SLGT 30048078 30188149 30848349 31468383 33438233 34168064
33777890 33327761
MRGL 30990632 32500584 34710606 37200505 37430453 37080324
36500308 34730305 34610217 34600114 34660008 35159931
35819608 36819322 37438892 37438513 36918473 36108485
34538648 33928869 33599063 33049236 32119378 31509416
30979415 30509382 29889209 29959049 30398757 32988599
34578277 36517994 36967852 36727605 36367509 99999999
27227950 27568105 28298220 28278347 99999999 27939628
28349799 28080064
TSTM 49650832 47810894 45820895 44150834 43190780 42450717
42170663 42140589 41860527 41230472 40070411 38930365
38440311 38070234 37820110 37759942 37619820 37739710
38309682 39239729 39689852 40429956 42090040 43059972
45479585 46269317 46119114 45488930 44588817 43738756
42568803 42188879 41698896 41168843 40608743 40238561
40038425 39598278 39178174 38887980 39177857 39757671
39727557 39657457 39417290 99999999 31280684 32760686
33670702 34770705 36070671 36880767 37460856 37870918
37931015 37631210 37821257 38421285 38951272 39591283
40381303 40651339 40731393 40811496 41211630 41641692
42561726 43781745 45501749 47651858 49552023
&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM SJT 40
E HOB 40 NE HOB 45 WSW LBB 20 SE LBB 20 ENE ABI 20 WNW BWD 40 E SJT
SJT.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW
CVS PVW 40 NW MWL 40 N ACT 10 E ACT 20 SSW TPL 40 E JCT 65 NE 6R6 25
ESE CNM 30 S ROW 30 NE ROW 20 SSW CVS.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E
SGJ 15 NNW SGJ 15 WNW VLD 20 ESE ABY 20 WNW AGS 30 ENE CAE CRE 70
SSE ILM.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S
ELP 30 SSE ALM 40 SE ABQ 40 W TAD 15 NW TAD 35 WSW SPD CAO 30 NNE
CVS 40 NW PVW 45 NE PVW 20 NE CDS 15 SSW CSM 30 SSW TUL 30 SSE SGF
25 NNW PAH 50 SW LEX 40 WSW LOZ 15 NE CSV 20 ESE HSV 25 NW CBM 20
ENE GLH 30 ESE ELD 25 S SHV 40 ENE LFK 40 ESE LFK 40 NNE BPT 7R4 15
WSW MSY 25 WSW PNS 40 NW AUO AND 30 N GSO 30 NW AVC 15 SE ORF 60 E
ECG ...CONT... 50 NE PBI 20 ESE AGR 40 NE PIE 55 WNW PIE ...CONT...
55 S PSX 20 W NIR 80 WNW LRD.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 100 NE HVR 60 NNE LWT
20 W BIL 20 NW WRL 35 ENE RIW 45 N RWL 40 NE RWL 50 SSW DGW 45 NNE
LAR CYS 45 ENE DEN 25 S LIC 35 NW LAA 20 E LAA 20 WSW GCK 30 E DDC
30 NE P28 20 ENE ICT 35 W EMP 30 SE CNK 45 WNW CNK 35 SW EAR 35 E
MHN 35 NNE ANW 30 ENE VVV 45 ESE BRD 30 SSW ASX 15 SE RHI GRB 30 SSE
MTW 20 SW RAC 15 E RFD 25 NNW MMO 20 SE MMO 30 WNW LAF 10 W MIE 10 N
DAY 30 S CMH 20 SW PKB EKN 35 WSW MRB 35 SSE CXY ILG 15 N ACY 90 ESE
NEL ...CONT... 45 SW ELP 40 SE TCS 25 SSW ONM 30 SW ABQ 15 ENE 4SL
20 SSE DRO 10 NNE CEZ 25 NE 4BL 40 NE U17 BCE 25 WNW BCE 10 E MLF 30
SSW U24 20 NW U24 15 NNW DPG 35 E ENV ENV 45 E EKO 40 NW EKO 45 WSW
OWY 30 E REO 65 WNW BOI 50 NNE BKE 50 W GEG 80 NNW OMK.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 29, 16:30z for portions of MOB---------------
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