The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 24, 12:42z for portions of MOB895
WUUS01 KWNS 241243
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 AM CDT SAT MAY 24 2025
VALID TIME 241300Z - 251200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 41000427 39900371 39500332 38790329 38330369 38170497
38860542 39830572 41110672 41640692 42600679 42950634
42960550 42750489 41000427
0.02 32698979 33259258 33929566 33389877 32540052 32760159
33760188 35270036 36030004 36559984 37169959 37509846
37529695 37159562 36509451 35579345 35039185 35028912
34988727 34658599 34048550 33448552 32778633 32578788
32698979
0.05 34889583 34209815 33330061 34600064 36359867 36949779
36939701 36619627 35709558 35139544 34889583
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 29490473 29870468 30930424 33220322 35340066 36549986
37220075 37350388 37830491 38880568 39980579 41450726
41920769 42590788 43200766 43800728 43830627 42820396
41540285 40240186 39250007 38739814 38639592 38189392
37099158 35868914 34938563 34698385 34048218 33468171
32048299 30958661 30728869 30629046 30989211 31429318
32639502 33049620 33179765 32809885 31590063 30470159
29050213
0.05 25958174 27368229 28458242 29138219 29458169 29278112
27798039 26808000 25908009 25388029 25208072 25348114
25958174
0.15 31960104 32300259 33260248 34960057 36949873 37309782
37349728 37069568 36539461 35869157 34778866 34658670
34348600 34078575 33288575 32718595 32198658 32118937
32849205 33819557 33609768 33149905 31960104
SIGN 31970105 32290251 33140227 34820026 36849855 37239787
37269727 37119664 36499582 35969562 35379575 34879636
33949768 33159906 31970105
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 25968175 27358229 28448242 29148219 29458169 29278112
27808039 26798000 25928009 25388029 25208072 25348114
25968175
0.05 29490473 29870468 33230322 35340067 36549987 37220075
37360390 37840491 38890569 39980580 41450728 41760817
42650854 43350845 43800745 43840627 42980470 41570326
40240187 39250007 38729814 38129589 37289331 36629139
35858913 34928563 34698385 34048218 33468171 32048299
30948661 30638901 30549041 30829250 31119342 31839415
32599517 33049620 33179765 32799886 31590063 30460160
29050212
0.15 35869159 34788863 34658669 34348599 34088575 33348571
32728587 32198658 31998844 31839041 32199204 32739405
33479612 33619769 33139905 31960105 32300263 33240248
34960059 36919874 37039756 36549462 35869159
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 35869158 34788865 34658669 34348600 34088575 33338571
32738588 32218652 32008847 31849042 32199205 32719401
33479613 33619768 33159904 31960104 32310259 33260248
34960057 36939874 37299785 37349728 37069567 36539458
35869158
MRGL 25958174 27368230 28448242 29148219 29458169 29278112
27788038 26798000 25908009 25378030 25208072 25348114
25958174
MRGL 29500473 29870468 33220322 35340067 36549986 37220075
37350390 37840491 38890568 39970579 41440727 41760817
42650854 43350844 43800745 43840628 42820396 41530284
40240187 39250008 38739815 38639591 38189392 37099158
35858915 34928562 34698385 34048218 33468171 32048299
30958661 30638904 30549041 30829249 31119342 31849415
32599519 33049620 33179766 32799886 31590063 30460160
29050212
TSTM 29600491 32810410 34700282 35740175 36470211 36890432
37730539 39230678 40320754 40121008 39341174 37601563
36801731 36391871 36691927 37381972 38402041 39632124
40402107 40432053 39831955 39361906 39781802 41371637
41821380 41791253 42801107 44531121 47001063 47320856
46940494 44880288 43460081 40959791 39589518 38429208
37658995 36218694 36088662 34998242 34417885 33687681
99999999 28519472 29259543 29999564 30859538 31719519
32339539 32649614 32709714 32329860 31899938 31210031
30400090 28750134
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNE
BVX 35 N TUP HSV 25 N GAD 20 ENE GAD 20 SSE ANB 25 WNW AUO 10 SW MGM
30 SE MEI 45 N MCB 20 S MLU 20 NNW SHV 35 ESE GYI 55 ESE SPS 60 WNW
MWL 30 ESE BGS 35 NW MAF 50 SW LBB 40 NNW CDS 10 NNW AVK 35 SW ICT
25 SSE ICT 30 NE BVO 10 ESE GMJ 10 NNE BVX.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 S
APF 15 E SRQ 40 NNE PIE OCF 35 ENE OCF DAB 10 NNE VRB 10 NE PBI 15
ENE MIA 30 S MIA 40 NNE MTH 40 N MTH 15 S APF.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SW
MRF 50 SW MRF 35 N HOB 50 ESE BGD 70 WSW AVK 15 NE LBL 25 ENE TAD 40
SW PUB 50 W COS 50 WNW DEN 25 S RWL 50 ENE RKS 15 SE LND 20 N RIW 30
ESE WRL 50 SW GCC 45 W CDR 30 NNE SNY 25 SW IML 15 WSW HLC 25 W SLN
25 NE EMP 40 SSW SZL 30 NE UNO 15 SE DYR 25 WSW CHA 60 NNW AHN 45 SE
AND 15 ENE AGS 40 WSW VDI 15 NNW CEW 15 N GPT 35 WNW ASD 40 SSW ESF
15 WNW POE 45 SSW SHV 20 NE TYR 40 ENE DAL 30 NW FTW 45 W MWL 15 NNW
SJT 45 NE 6R6 70 S 6R6.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 SW MRF 35 NNE CNM
35 NE CVS 20 W BGD 35 WSW GUY 15 NE RTN 35 NE ALS ASE 10 S CAG 35 SW
VEL 40 E U24 60 W P38 70 ESE BIH 60 ESE FAT 25 ESE FAT 40 N FAT 40
SSW TVL 65 ESE RBL 65 ENE RBL 75 S AAT 25 NNE RNO 20 WSW NFL 35 SE
LOL 40 SSW OWY 50 S BYI 30 SSW MLD 50 WNW BPI 10 SSW WEY 50 SE GTF
45 ENE LWT 15 SSW GDV 55 SSE 2WX 45 NNW VTN 20 E GRI 20 SW STJ 15
SSE JEF 25 ESE FAM 15 WNW BNA BNA 15 WNW GSP 40 S FAY 75 ESE ILM
...CONT... 55 S GLS 10 NNE LBX 30 NW HOU 10 NE UTS 40 NW LFK TYR 45
ESE DAL 15 ESE FTW 25 WNW SEP 25 WNW BWD 15 SE SJT 70 W JCT 50 SSW
DRT.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Slight Convective Risk at May 24, 12:42z for portions of MOB---------------
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