The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 23, 16:37z for portions of LIX617
WUUS01 KWNS 231638
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1137 AM CDT FRI MAY 23 2025
VALID TIME 231630Z - 241200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 37339878 37129719 36779607 36239484 35889458 35159444
34459484 34419562 35409778 36019997 36540104 37200174
40340389 41000415 41640395 41850327 41580258 40720167
38460010 37339878
0.05 41290290 40810228 39950185 39660225 40030321 40580368
41120377 41430344 41290290
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 25047965 25348071 26478131 27758173 28558121 28878013
0.05 29790507 32410438 34680229 35940171 38220227 40620428
41720470 42600434 42980341 42560088 41599928 40809904
40249846 39749770 39409629 38449408 36859147 35989038
35429017 34519080 34049185 33419397 33569691 33029885
31180119 30030189 29280217
0.05 31289273 31259006 30858935 30248938 29588978 29509082
29879213 30629276 31289273
0.15 40890380 41530354 42030200 41360113 40380042 39629948
39009795 38729653 37559434 35989310 34749340 34399458
34629627 35789830 36229929 35849979 34659993 33030004
32390105 32610167 33650184 34940154 36240094 36940161
37260174 38190183 40280337 40890380
SIGN 35760110 36070060 35819997 33020005 32400109 32670162
33570171 34910146 35760110
SIGN 36749950 36660086 36780141 37240163 37670173 38370192
38900225 40300324 40880378 41300360 41220245 40540172
39210041 37169831 36709804 36319803 36089833 36199877
36319902 36749950
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 24997943 25328074 26478131 27758173 28568120 28878013
0.05 29800506 31860450 34590226 35920170 38220227 40620428
41730470 42600435 42980341 42560088 41589928 40809904
40229843 39749770 39409629 38449408 36939158 36009039
35419018 34509082 34049185 33419395 33569690 33029883
31180120 30030189 29280217
0.05 30529294 31349278 31299012 30948933 30018931 29498973
29389064 29949220 30529294
0.15 42020201 41350112 40380042 39629948 39019795 38729650
37559435 35999311 34749341 34399460 34609626 35779824
36829992 38190163 40310328 40970372 41530354 42020201
SIGN 36959899 37209846 36479455 35539453 34749481 34979636
36459890 36959899
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 41120377 41530354 42030200 41360113 40380042 39629948
39019795 38729650 37559434 35989310 34749340 34399458
34609626 35789830 36229929 35849979 33030004 32390105
32610167 33650184 34940154 36240094 36940161 37260174
38190183 40030321 40580368 40890380 41120377
MRGL 25097982 25328074 26478131 27758173 28568120 28878013
MRGL 31349278 31299012 30948933 30018931 29498973 29389064
29879213 30529294 31349278
MRGL 29800507 32410438 34680229 35940171 37840218 39320319
40620428 41720470 42600435 42980341 42560088 41599928
40809904 40229843 39749770 39409629 38449408 36939158
36009039 35429017 34519080 34049185 33419395 33569690
33029883 31180119 30030189 29350214
TSTM 27609625 28999685 30609651 31619519 32309514 33019604
32999671 32039894 30350055 28480100 99999999 30760615
31890554 33010525 33650471 34510342 35330268 36140264
37430298 38720381 39640489 40740752 41080807 41790806
42340772 42700729 43000700 43510675 43770681 44110698
44280727 44360780 44270891 44021023 43711134 43311242
43171270 42921331 42411447 42201509 42011550 41691605
41441664 41271725 41151768 41081847 41321964 41951982
42412017 43131990 43711970 44311929 44671869 45001774
45201686 45341616 45511557 45831473 46191408 46871369
47381368 47871419 48281500 48741597 48981674 49311807
49631851 99999999 49980902 48810770 48050636 45690369
44189894 41519413 39719067 38098880 37328798 34848485
34078478 32988519 31468708 30588745 29748715 99999999
27348339 28508289 29868031
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W
SNY 25 S BFF 40 E AIA 30 NW LBF 15 NE MCK 25 NE HLC 20 NW SLN 30 SSE
MHK 30 NNE JLN 20 S HRO 25 NW HOT 25 NNW DEQ 35 SW MLC 45 SSW END 50
SW AVK 50 NW CSM 45 NNW ABI 30 ENE BGS 30 NNW BGS LBB 20 SSE AMA 45
SE GUY 15 ESE EHA 20 NNE EHA 45 E LAA 10 S AKO 35 NW AKO 45 WSW SNY
40 W SNY.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE
MIA 45 SW MIA 35 ESE FMY 25 WNW AGR 10 E ORL 60 ESE DAB.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W
ESF 20 ENE MCB 35 S PIB 30 SSW GPT 25 WNW BVE 15 S HUM 7R4 30 NNE
LCH 30 W ESF.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 WSW
MRF 10 NW CNM 50 NW PVW 25 NW BGD 30 ESE LAA 25 E LIC 40 ENE FCL 35
SW TOR 40 NNW TOR 20 WNW CDR 25 SW VTN 15 SSW BUB EAR 25 S HSI 15 N
CNK 30 NE MHK 35 SW SZL 20 NE UNO 20 NE JBR 30 NNW MEM 60 SW MEM 10
SSE PBF TXK 15 SW GYI 45 WNW MWL 45 WSW SJT 20 E 6R6 50 S 6R6.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 75 E CRP 10 NNE VCT
10 W CLL 35 NW LFK 15 ESE TYR 50 ENE DAL 15 NE DAL 15 N BWD 50 WSW
JCT 60 S DRT ...CONT... 75 S ELP 45 W GDP 35 SSE SRR 25 NNW ROW 10
NNW CVS 50 S DHT 10 NNW DHT 20 WNW SPD 40 S LIC 10 S DEN 15 N CAG 50
NW CAG 45 W RWL 45 NW RWL 45 WSW CPR 30 WNW CPR 45 NNW CPR 60 ESE
WRL 45 S SHR 35 SSW SHR 30 NNE WRL 20 SSE COD 40 NE JAC 30 WNW JAC
25 SW IDA 20 NNW PIH 35 NE BYI TWF 35 WSW TWF 35 E OWY 20 SSE OWY 40
SW OWY 40 NE WMC 20 NNE WMC 35 WNW WMC 50 ESE AAT 35 ESE LKV 20 NE
LKV 55 SW BNO 40 W BNO 50 NNW BNO 45 WSW BKE 10 NNE BKE 45 WNW MYL
30 N MYL 45 S P69 45 ESE P69 50 S MSO 20 E MSO 35 NNE MSO 30 S GPI
35 W GPI 85 NNW 3TH 100 NNE GEG 90 NE OMK 95 NNE OMK ...CONT... 105
NNE HVR 65 NW GGW 15 SE GGW 10 NW 2WX 35 NE 9V9 25 W DSM 35 ESE UIN
15 SSE MVN 45 ENE PAH 25 SE CHA 30 SE RMG LGC GZH 20 WNW PNS 50 S
PNS ...CONT... 50 W SRQ 40 NNW PIE 60 E SGJ.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at May 23, 16:37z for portions of LIX---------------
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