The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 14, 12:32z for portions of JKL746
WUUS01 KWNS 141234
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 AM CDT FRI JUN 14 2024
VALID TIME 141300Z - 151200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 39999819 39039729 37999782 38079925 38520068 38800216
38690411 38960451 40500427 41050401 41690329 41740106
39999819
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 49500176 48580180 47200193 45910210 44790198 43610176
42720047 41149814 40029729 38789740 38099849 38040010
37470184 36420319 35300400 35060497 35070555 35890583
37570582 39010613 40260604 41840508 43040496 43910525
44650622 44800722 44980849 44831003 44331114 44201245
44361273 44731257 45541153 46350947 46720764 47010575
47500510 49230501
0.05 46056628 43926924 42177094 41157263 40237425 39247597
38837776 38498015 38078293 38308397 38788439 39288480
39668443 40328389 41277981 42147711 42957478 44477126
45456972 47286729
0.15 42250353 42230253 41600114 40830091 40390101 39730164
38790342 38020441 38030501 38550549 39120537 41080474
42250353
0.15 40907847 41137786 41287684 41717505 42687322 43497170
44776994 44716932 44346929 43457034 42977077 42177177
41277340 40627463 39917591 39967692 40037761 40157852
40567859 40907847
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 43990530 44690637 44970829 44910988 44791061 44761112
45241151 45661122 46460915 46640804 46940553 47760386
47650208 46150228 44800204 43539985 42509826 41579730
39979577 39339521 38739523 38199633 37669741 37319836
36440153 35460257 34470338 34070435 34200547 34690619
35510607 37630583 39720568 41890507 42920490 43990530
0.05 42936903 42087017 40617230 40267363 38387638 38127765
36398033 36428171 36778289 39258496 39668462 40368395
41088081 42427670 43167452 44667128 45476970 47246736
0.15 39827853 40167857 40577863 40927848 41167788 41327675
41747505 43507175 44387052 44806994 44736929 44296929
42437094 42147126 41637216 41207324 40747402 40387458
39997523 39357659 39237730 39257795 39827853
0.15 41100465 42280348 42460236 42380131 42170025 40079817
39209826 38429885 37020229 36680363 36950458 38030501
38730508 39850485 41100465
SIGN 37000346 36930394 37320450 38100459 38940448 40170420
40730376 41260303 41790176 41760106 41200010 39729962
38919979 38620034 38200137 37480253 37000346
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 41080474 42280348 42460236 42380131 42170025 40079817
39209826 38429885 37020229 36680363 36950458 38030501
38550549 41080474
SLGT 40927848 41167788 41327675 41747505 43507175 44806994
44736929 44296929 42147126 41637216 41207324 39997523
39357659 39237730 39257795 39827853 40577863 40927848
MRGL 42526957 40617230 40267363 38387638 38127765 36398033
36428171 36778289 39258496 40368395 41088081 43167452
45476970 47246736
MRGL 49490179 48580180 45910210 44760197 43539985 42509826
39339521 38739523 37669741 37319836 36440153 35460257
34470338 34070435 34200547 34690619 37620583 39010613
40260604 41830509 43040496 43930528 44670634 44970839
44831003 44331114 44201245 44361273 44731257 45541153
46350947 46460915 47010575 47500510 49230501
TSTM 44966620 41866995 39527328 39527328 37297636 35707768
34637954 34438127 34678321 35638650 34759024 34589173
34779410 35689653 36079823 35899969 33940076 32880283
31560498 31330554 31510617 32740742 33600996 35061226
36171288 37911282 39391227 41821178 43181182 44161359
44911409 45971342 46981217 47601004 48030815 48660667
49740581 99999999 49729601 46479551 45179602 42989556
39959431 38219356 37569311 37229066 37389005 38228733
39258559 40818552 42238573 43248501 43708384 44288128
99999999 27178311 28938304 29938309 30268213 28717982
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM CYS 30
NNE BFF 35 NE AIA 25 NNW MHN 30 SSW ANW 40 SSE HSI 40 NE RSL 30 S
RSL 20 W EHA 30 WNW CAO 15 NNW RTN 35 WSW PUB 45 WSW COS CYS.
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE
DUJ 20 N UNV 10 ENE IPT 15 WNW MSV 15 WSW LCI 35 NNW AUG 25 WSW BGR
25 E AUG 20 SW BOS 20 NNW GON BDR 10 N PHL 10 NNE BWI 30 NNW DCA 10
S MRB 35 SSW AOO 25 NW AOO 30 SE DUJ.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 NNE
HYA 45 ESE ISP 25 SSE JFK NHK 45 E CHO 30 NW GSO 40 E TRI 35 NW TRI
30 WNW LUK 35 NNE DAY 15 SSW YNG 45 E UCA 65 NW BGR 40 NE CAR.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 NNW
MOT 30 NW MOT Y22 50 NNW PHP 30 WSW 9V9 20 E ONL 15 W FLV 30 WSW OJC
ICT 10 E P28 15 S GUY 40 S DHT CVS 55 N ROW 15 ENE 4CR 35 SE ABQ 15
N ALS 40 ESE ASE 55 WSW FCL 45 NE LAR 30 NE DGW 30 SSE GCC 30 ESE
SHR 45 NE COD 55 WNW COD 25 S WEY 25 SSW MQM 25 SW MQM 15 NW MQM 25
SW BZN 20 ESE 3HT 30 E 3HT 40 N MLS 30 NNW GDV 80 NNE OLF.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E EPM 20 NE HYA 65
ESE NEL 65 ESE NEL 30 NNW ORF 15 SE RWI 30 NNE FLO 35 NNW CAE 30 WNW
AND 35 SSE BNA 25 SW MEM 30 ESE LIT 35 ESE RKR 15 E CQB 25 SW END 50
NW CSM 45 SW CDS 25 ENE HOB 20 SSW GDP 55 SW GDP 25 SSE ELP 35 SSW
TCS 45 S SOW 30 NNE PRC 45 WNW GCN 20 NE CDC 15 E U24 35 SE MLD 25
SSE IDA 60 NE SUN 20 SW SMN 45 W BTM 25 NNW HLN 45 NW LWT 70 W GGW
30 N GGW 110 NNE GGW ...CONT... 60 NNW ROX 30 SE DTL 20 ESE VVV 25
WSW SPW 35 ENE STJ 35 S SZL 30 NNE SGF 35 NNW POF 30 WNW CGI 15 NE
EVV 50 SE IND 20 WSW FWA 10 W AZO 35 NE GRR 15 NE MBS 90 ENE BAX
...CONT... 40 WSW SRQ 50 S CTY 20 N CTY 30 WSW JAX 65 NE MLB.
Source:
The Storm Prediction Center issues Day 1 Marginal Convective Risk at Jun 14, 12:32z for portions of JKL---------------
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