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391 FXUS64 KMOB 082137AFDMOBArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Mobile AL336 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2025...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE....NEAR TERM...(Now through Thursday)Issued at 336 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2025Cold, dry conditions will continue through Thursday as a large Canadian high pressure system maintains its hold over our local area. Even under mostly sunny skies during the afternoons, highs for today and Thursday will be in the upper 40s to low 50s. With upper ridging also building in, we are not anticipating as much low-level cloud cover as we have seen over the past couple nights.Therefore, lows tonight are expected to plummet into the 20s areawide. A Cold Weather Advisory will be in effect from midnight tonight through 9 am tomorrow across the entire area for apparent temperatures (wind chills) in the 15 to 20 degree range. /96&&.SHORT TERM...(Thursday night through Saturday night)Issued at 336 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2025Moisture levels will begin to increase as an upper trough digsacross the southern plains and ejects eastward. A sfc low willdevelop near the southeast Texas coast and track along the Gulfcoast. Rain chances will increase from west to east late Thursdaynight and continue through much of the day on Friday. There remains some uncertainty with regard to the type of precipitationexpected, at least initially. Temperatures Thursday evening will fall into the mid to upper 30s prior to the onset of precip and increasing warm air advection as the surface low moves closer to the area. Drier air in the lower levels will increase the potentialfor surface temperatures to fall to near freezing just as the precipbegins to move into the area. This will set the stage for a briefperiod of snow/sleet, generally across areas north of US 84. Warmair advection will quickly warm the vertical column early Friday morning, and any wintry precip will transition to all rain before any accumulations or impacts occur. This will keep significant impacts well north of the area. However, trends will continue to be monitored as a difference of just a few degrees could have a significant impact.Very breezy conditions will develop near the coast as the lowtrack across the Gulf Coast and the pressure gradient increasesacross the marine area and along the coast. A wind advisory may beneeded along the coast Thursday night into Friday morning. A coldrain will continue across the area through much of the day onFriday with highs in the lower 40s across northern areas. Highsnear the coast will reach the low/mid 60s as the warm front movesjust inland along the coast before quickly cooling as the lowmoves east. Rain clears the area by Friday night as the low moveseast. Dry and cold on Saturday with highs in the low to mid 40sinland to upper 40s along the coast. /13&&.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)Issued at 336 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2025Another shot of cool and dry air moves in behind a cold front Sunday night into Monday morning. This will maintain cool and dryconditions through midweek with highs in the 50s and lows in thelow to mid 20s inland to mid/upper 30s along the coast. /13 &&.MARINE...Issued at 336 PM CST Wed Jan 8 2025Moderate northerly flow will continue through tonight.Winds will shift to southeasterly by Thursday night. By Friday, a storm system will pass along the Gulf Coast bringing a very strong onshore flow, and building seas, to the marine zones. Gale force conditions are becoming increasingly likely over the Gulf zones on Friday and watches/warnings will likely become necessary in a future forecast package. Further upward adjustments to winds and wind gusts will be possible over the coming days, as this will be dependent on the strength and track of the storm system. Winds quickly return back to an offshore flow by Friday night in the wake of a cold front and will subside through the weekend. /96&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...Mobile 26 49 38 60 33 48 28 56 / 0 0 70 100 30 0 0 10 Pensacola 29 50 42 65 36 47 32 54 / 0 0 30 90 50 0 0 10 Destin 32 52 44 65 40 50 34 55 / 0 0 20 90 70 10 0 10 Evergreen 22 49 31 49 31 44 23 54 / 0 0 60 100 50 0 0 0 Waynesboro 21 47 31 44 29 44 22 54 / 0 0 90 100 10 0 0 0 Camden 21 46 30 43 28 41 21 51 / 0 0 80 100 40 0 0 0 Crestview 24 51 34 59 35 47 25 55 / 0 0 30 90 70 0 0 10 &&.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...AL...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Thursday for ALZ051>060-261>266.FL...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Thursday for FLZ201>206.MS...Cold Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 9 AM CST Thursday for MSZ067-075-076-078-079.GM...None.&&$$This product is also available on the web at:www.weather.gov/mob
