Storm Prediction Center issues Mesoscale Discussion #2314 concerning TORNADO WATCH 723732
ACUS11 KWNS 290907
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290906
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-291030-
Mesoscale Discussion 2314
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0306 AM CST Sun Dec 29 2024
Areas affected...parts of GA to the FL Panhandle
Concerning...Tornado Watch 723...
Valid 290906Z - 291030Z
The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 723 continues.
SUMMARY...Potential for brief tornadoes and sporadic damaging winds
from strong gusts should persist through sunrise as a QLCS
progresses across Georgia and the Florida Panhandle.
DISCUSSION...Overall severe potential has subdued slightly in the
early morning hours as the faster-moving/north-south oriented
portion of the QLCS spread into GA from AL. Despite the presence of
a 60-kt rear inflow jet per the MXX and EOX VWP data, measured
surface gusts have largely ranged from 40-55 mph. The forward motion
of this line at around 45 kts appears to be outpacing MLCAPE in
excess of 500 J/kg. Still, low to mid 60s surface dew points have
become common across central GA and will support scant to meager
buoyancy downstream. This should be sufficient for a sporadic wind
damage and brief tornado threat given the strong low-level
winds/SRH.
The trailing portion of the QLCS in the western FL Panhandle has
been steadily moving east at around 25 kts, lagging well behind the
west-central GA portion. Rich low-level moisture combined with
sufficient shear will support potential for tornadogenesis and
occasional strong gusts. These threats may tend to be focused near
the coast where inflection in the large-scale convective outflow is
maintained.
..Grams.. 12/29/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CAE...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...
LAT...LON 30208662 30838623 31228559 32158479 32988467 33738480
34028395 34028316 33898273 33558256 33168249 32638267
32148325 31488411 29808538 30208662
Source:
Storm Prediction Center issues Mesoscale Discussion #2314 concerning TORNADO WATCH 723---------------
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