MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 25, 11:35 AM CST ...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...820
FXUS64 KMOB 251735
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1135 AM CST Wed Dec 25 2024
...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1135 AM CST Wed Dec 25 2024
VFR flight category continues to prevail across the forecast area
this afternoon before isolated to scattered rain showers begin
moving in late afternoon into the evening hours. These showers
may bring temporary reductions in ceiling and/or visibility to
MVFR flight category at times. Best chances for rain will be
across coastal counties late this afternoon through the early
overnight hours. Overnight tonight into Thursday morning, expect
MVFR ceilings to linger across the area. Winds will remain out of
the east at 5 to 10 knots for most locations, perhaps gusting to
near 15 knots nearer the coast at times. MM/25
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Now through Thursday)
Issued at 1135 AM CST Wed Dec 25 2024
Chilly start to Christmas across a good chunk of the area.
Temperatures are just above the freezing mark across our far inland
communities (34 in Evergreen and Greenville as of 10z) while
hovering in the low 50s at the beaches. Moisture continues to
gradually slide into the area with patchy, light fog occasionally
being observed along the coast and generally west of I-65.
Winds aloft remain southwesterly through tonight ahead of an
approaching shortwave trough. At the surface, light easterly winds
turn southeasterly by the afternoon and PWATs quickly begin to
rebound to 1.0+ inches across the southwestern portion of the area.
While rain chances increase this afternoon (mainly across southeast
Mississippi), we don't anticipate a washout with isolated to widely
scattered rain showers. POPs were tapered back for Christmas
afternoon and evening based on current trends and CAM guidance.
Highest rain chances are across southeast Mississippi late this
afternoon with 30-40% POPs. Rain showers remain possible through the
overnight hours, but Thursday is looking slightly drier. Can't rule
out some isolated showers through the day on Thursday, but most
locations should stay dry after the shortwave trough passes
overhead.
No White Christmas this year as temperatures remain quite mild on
both Christmas and Thursday. Highs will top out in the 60s both
afternoons. Temperatures on Christmas night will dip into the 40s
and 50s area wide.
Beach Note: For those of y'all heading to the beaches, the risk of
rip currents remains LOW on Christmas. The risk increases to a
MODERATE tonight through Thursday for coastal Alabama and northwest
Florida beaches as onshore flow increases. The surf builds to 3-5
feet on Thursday and a HIGH risk of rip currents is forecast by
Thursday night. 07/mb
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Mobile 53 68 58 72 61 73 57 72 / 30 10 20 30 60 70 60 20
Pensacola 54 67 60 69 64 71 62 72 / 40 10 10 30 40 70 70 30
Destin 53 68 57 72 64 73 63 74 / 30 10 10 20 30 70 70 40
Evergreen 44 66 50 71 59 72 57 72 / 10 10 10 20 40 70 70 30
Waynesboro 48 65 55 72 60 72 53 70 / 30 10 20 30 60 70 50 10
Camden 45 63 51 69 58 71 56 69 / 20 10 10 20 40 70 70 30
Crestview 46 68 52 73 59 74 58 74 / 20 10 10 20 30 70 70 40
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
This product is also available on the web at:
www.weather.gov/mob
Source:
MOB issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) at Dec 25, 11:35 AM CST ...New AVIATION, NEAR TERM...---------------
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