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979 FXUS64 KMOB 122151AFDMOBArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Mobile AL349 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE....NEAR TERM...(Now through Friday Night)Issued at 349 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024Surface high pressure will move east of the area tonight into Friday. This will allow sfc winds to turn easterly on friday with moisture levels slowly increasing. One more cold night tonight with clear skies and light winds, lows will fall into the low 30s inland to low 40s along the coast. Increasing clouds expected on Friday with warmer temps. Highs on Friday will be in the upper 50sand low 60s. Lows Friday night will range from the upper 30s and low 40s inland to low 50s along the coast. /13&&.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 349 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024An upper trough pushes across the region to begin the periodSaturday bringing with it the opportunity for isolated toscattered showers. Best chances for rain will likely stay closer to and north of the Highway 84 corridor where better forcing for ascent will exist. The associated cold front with this system willremain well northwest of the forecast area, so we will stay in a warm advection regime through at least the early to middle part of next week. Another upper trough glances the forecast area to the north early in the week, and may help bring some increased rain chances over interior portions of the forecast area Monday into Tuesday. Temperatures will remain in the lower to perhaps even middle 70's for highs through at least Monday while overnightlows remain in the lower to middle 50's through Monday night.Models suggest a more amplified upper trough will push across thecentral and eastern CONUS by midweek, bringing a more defined coldfront towards the forecast area to end the extended period. There's a decent spread in the guidance on timing of this, which will determine when better rain chances could exist during the Wednesday into Thursday timeframe. Temperatures will likely remainin the upper 60's to lower 70's through Wednesday, with somewhat cooler temperatures by Thursday depending on how quickly the cold front comes through the area. Overnight lows to end the periodwill fall into the lower to middle 40's over the interiorWednesday night with upper 40's nearer the coast. A High risk ofrip currents will be in place Saturday, becoming a Moderate riskby Sunday, and a Low risk by Monday. MM/25&&.MARINE...Issued at 349 PM CST Thu Dec 12 2024A light to moderate easterly flow develops Friday, strengthens Friday night, then slowly diminishes Saturday night. Easterly to southeasterly flow persists through early next week. /13&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...Mobile 38 62 48 68 55 72 55 73 / 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 10 Pensacola 42 62 51 68 58 71 57 71 / 0 0 10 10 20 10 10 0 Destin 45 65 54 69 58 71 59 73 / 0 0 0 0 20 10 10 0 Evergreen 34 61 43 67 52 71 51 74 / 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 Waynesboro 34 59 42 68 52 71 52 73 / 0 0 0 10 20 10 10 10 Camden 33 58 42 65 52 69 51 72 / 0 0 0 0 20 10 10 0 Crestview 34 64 45 70 53 75 51 75 / 0 0 0 0 10 0 0 0 &&.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...AL...None.FL...None.MS...None.GM...None.&&$$This product is also available on the web at:www.weather.gov/mob
