Please read the newsposts on the homepage! Some are rules some are archives from past events.
917 FXUS64 KMOB 120952AFDMOBArea Forecast DiscussionNational Weather Service Mobile AL352 AM CST Thu Dec 12 2024...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE....NEAR TERM...(Now through Friday night)Issued at 352 AM CST Thu Dec 12 2024A rather cold start to the day in the wake of the cold frontleading to widespread frost across the area. Zonal flow willquickly develop across the area as upper troughing digs into thewestern US. Shortwave ridging will build over the southeast through Friday night leading to dry conditions across the area.Forecast will mainly be a temperature forecast with slowlymoderating temperatures through Friday. Today will remain coolafter a cold start with highs only climbing into the 50s. Thewarmup will be noticeable on Friday as the surface high moves east and a more easterly surface flow sets up. Temperatures will climb into the upper 50s to low 60s on friday. BB/03&&.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 352 AM CST Thu Dec 12 2024An upper trof over the central/southern Plains lifts into the interior eastern states through Sunday, and an associated surface low over Kansas is anticipated to weaken and later dissipate while progressing towards the Great Lakes. A strong surface ridge meanwhile remains in place over the southeastern states and will promote an easterly to southeasterly surface flow over the forecast area. Saturday will be mostly dry except for small pops mostly near the Alabama coast, then chance to likely pops follow for Saturday night along and west of I-65 due to improving deep layer moisture and isentropic lift seen in the 290-305K layer. Slight chance to chance pops are expected east of I-65. Isentropic lift weakens by Sunday though looks sufficient to support mainly slight chance pops generally along and west of I-65. A larger upper trof advances into the central states Sunday night then progresses into the interior eastern states on Tuesday. An associated surface low looks to pass well north of the region and brings a weak trailing cold front through the forecast area Tuesday morning. Dry conditions prevail on Monday, then have gone with slight chance to chance pops for Monday night with chance pops for Tuesday as the front moves through. The upper trof over the interior eastern states moves off into the western Atlantic Tuesday night, then another large upper trof looks to evolve over the central CONUS on Wednesday. A return flow sets up over the forecast area on Wednesday and have opted to keep in slight chance pops for Wednesday afternoon. Instability looks rather limited through the entire period, so continue to not anticipate any severe weather. /29&&.MARINE...Issued at 352 AM CST Thu Dec 12 2024Offshore winds will continue to slowly subside before turningeasterly on Friday. Winds will once again increase this weekendand advisory headlines are possible by late Friday night into early Saturday for the Gulf waters. Easterly flow will prevailthrough most of the forecast. BB/03&&.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...Mobile 56 37 61 47 67 54 71 54 / 0 0 0 0 20 30 20 10 Pensacola 57 41 61 51 67 57 70 56 / 0 0 0 10 10 30 10 10 Destin 58 44 65 53 71 59 72 59 / 0 0 0 0 10 30 10 10 Evergreen 56 33 61 42 67 52 70 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 20 10 10 Waynesboro 55 33 59 42 66 51 69 51 / 0 0 0 0 10 50 20 10 Camden 54 33 57 42 64 50 67 50 / 0 0 0 0 0 50 20 10 Crestview 57 32 64 45 70 52 74 51 / 0 0 0 0 0 20 10 0 &&.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...AL...None.FL...None.MS...None.GM...None.&&$$This product is also available on the web at:www.weather.gov/mob
